Up stocks and down stocks
Sometimes a major one day move kicks off a multi month or multi year rally.Most of such significant moves are precipitated by a new information about the company in terms of earnings, new products, new management, new industry dynamics, new discovery, new regulation, new news from sector,new overall market trend, new earning cycle, new pricing power, new merger/takeover industry dynamics, etc. New information creates price shocks.The new information in some case is so significant that it fundamentally alters market participants view of the stock or sector.
Most stocks which make 100% plus moves in a year have such "episodic pivots" at the beginning of their major moves.Analysing "episodic pivots" can get you in to a stock with low risk at the beginning of a major move. Most stocks or sectors over their entire life span have very few "episodic pivots".
Now that is something to think about!!!! I will say no more on this :-)
Up stocks
APOG,Apogee Enterprises Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ASFI,Asta Funding Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BW,Brush Engineered (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CYTX,Cytori Therapeutics Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DMGI,Digital Music Group (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LCAV,Lca-vision New (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MED,Medifast Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MMA,Municipal Mtg & Equity (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MSON,Misonix Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ONXX,Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VSNT,Versant Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
APOG,Apogee Enterprises Inc up more than 10% on news that raised its fiscal 2007 earnings forecast Monday.
ASFI,Asta Funding Inc up more than 10% on earnings release. Debt collector Asta Funding Inc. said Friday its fiscal first-quarter profit rose 22 percent on a jump in revenue.
BW,Brush Engineered Was up 33% on earning release and good forward guidance. Brush Engineered Materials Inc., which supplies beryllium metal to the medical and electronics industries, issued an outlook for full-year 2007 profit above Wall Street's expectations.
CYTX,Cytori Therapeutics Inc is currently loss making company which was up on news of intention to commercialize its Celution(TM) System in Europe in early 2008 for use in reconstructive surgery in breast cancer patients following a partial mastectomy (lumpectomy), in advance of the original anticipated timeline.
DMGI,Digital Music Group was up 34 on news of revenue-sharing content deal with YouTube.
LCAV,Lca-vision New was up more than 7 dollars on earnings and guided 2007 earnings above Wall Street estimates.
MED,Medifast Inc was up 19% on sharply higher revenue forecast for full-year 2006.
MMA,Municipal Mtg & Equity stocks rebounded on news that it does not engage in subprime or any other single family mortgage lending activities.
MSON,Misonix Inc was up 12 post earnings.
ONXX,Onyx Pharmaceuticals Incup sharply on the news that Nexavar trial met its primary endpoint
VSNT,Versant Corporation was up 14% on no news.
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc was up 10% on earning release.
Down Stocks
ASF,Administaff Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CHDX,Chindex International Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CTRP,Ctrip.com International (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DO,Diamond Offshre Drilling (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GSOL,Global Sources Ltd. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ICE,Intercontinental Exchange Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TWLL,Techwell Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ASF,Administaff Inc down more than 9 dollar after cutting its growth forecast.
CHDX,Chindex International Inc a China health care provider dropped 8% post earnings.
CTRP,Ctrip.com International the Chinese online travel company was down more than 7 dollars after it reported higher fourth-quarter profit, but warned that operating margins may decline in 2007.
DO,Diamond Offshre Drilling move related to special dividend of $4/share.
GSOL,Global Sources Ltd. the Chinese solar panel company down 3% in sympathy with general drop in Chinese stocks
ICE,Intercontinental Exchange Inc was down more than 5 dollars along with other exchange stocks. ICE has been up 212% from its 260 day low and recently had good earnings.
TWLL,Techwell Inc declined 10% in sympathy with other chip plays.
11 comments:
nice chart breakout on CSX
Good chart but CSX float is 433 milion. Difficult for it to move very rapidly in short time frames.
JOYG - rejected @ MA50
BOOM - rejected @ MA200
Something must be brewing with VSNT. It's up almost 12% again today on volumne. Bought some this morning and sold half this afternoon. Will hold th rest to see what happens. A buyout maybe?
It is an earnings plus low float story. See the recent earnings, it darted off since August earnings and is up over 100% since then. Float is only 3.5 million so it has the right explosive mix. Also James Altucher helped pop it by highlighting holdings of Renaissance Technologies Portfolio.
http://www.thestreet.com/_dm/newsanalysis/stockpickr/10338396.html
Renaissance Technologies is a NY-based hedge fund started by Jim Simons in 1982. Its $5 billion Medallion Fund has averaged 35% annual returns, after fees, since 1989, and is considered in the industry to be the most successful hedge fund, yielding returns ten percentage points higher than legendary investors Bruce Kovner, George Soros, or Paul Tudor Jones. Because it is so successful, it charges a 5% management fee and a 44% incentive fee.
Simons only hires PhDs and the fund mainly employs computer based models to predict price changes in easily-traded financial instruments. The fund is highly secretive and we are putting in some of their top holdings and some of their more speculative holdings.
CSX intraday range last two days is $3 - thats not too bad
The float in VSNT is 3.52M shares and its average 3 month vol is 78k shares. The ratio of float vs which other parameter would you look to tell if a stock has low float?
Thanks
Only the float is important, if there is catalyst volume follows. 3.52 million is very low float. The company did a reverse split in 2005 to reduce float.
sorry newbee question, but how can you tell that the float of VSNT is 3.5 million? How do you tell what the float is? I am looking at finance.google.com data for VSNT and can see a daily volume and a market cap, but non of them come close to the 3.5 mil number
The total number of shares publicly owned and available for trading. The float is calculated by subtracting restricted shares from outstanding shares.
Also known as "free float".
For example, a company may have 10 million outstanding shares, but only seven million are trading on the stock market. Therefore, this company's float would be seven million.
Stocks with small floats of less than three million shares tend to be a lot more volatile than others.
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/float.asp
You will find floats on yahoo finance.
I get my float data from Telechart. Float can change from time to time based on stock splits, private sells, secondaries etc. Sometime different sites show diferent float amounts.
As Pradeep mentioned, one of the first places I go when wanting to get deatils of a stock is the Yahoo Finance, Key statistics page. Most of a companies financial data is here including float, shares sold short, sales and profit data.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=VSNT
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