Big Moves

Some big movers from yesterday:

AATI,Advanced Analogic Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ACTU,Actuate Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AG,Agco Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AMED,Amedisys Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ATHR,Atheros Communications Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CFSG,China Fire & Security Group` Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CPHD,Cepheid (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ELMG,Ems Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FELE,Franklin Electric Co Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ININ,Interactive Intelligence (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
IVC,Invacare Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LPX,Louisiana-Pacific Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LUNA,Luna Innovations Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PWRD,Perfect World Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SEPR,Sepracor Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SKS,Saks Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SNWL,Sonicwall Incorporated (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SSRX,3Sbio Inc Ads (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TXRH,Texas Roadhouse Inc Cl A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
UA,Under Armour Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
WATG,Wonder Auto Technology Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
XRA,Exeter Resource Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 


Out of this AATI ACTU AG AMED ATHR ELMG SNWL SSRX TXRH UA , have recent catalyst. This being earnings season in many of these cases the catalyst is earnings.

Methods and Philosophy Blog:
Trading Big Moves

Market weakness creates opportunities in IBD 100

As the overall market consolidated for some weeks, many stocks in IBD 100 pulled back. Now some of them are breaking out. Now those who are following the one month weakness to time entry in IBD 100 system which I talked about couple of times last month would find many attractive breakouts.

CRNT,Ceragon Networks Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CTRP,Ctrip.com International (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CYNO,Cynosure Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FMCN,Focus Media Holding Ltd ADR (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GRMN,Garmin Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SNHY,Sun Hydraulics Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SYNA,Synaptics Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TDG,TransDigm Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)

These stocks have a 4% breakout plus month price growth of less than 10%.
You get best results for IBD 100, IBD 200 or Double Trouble system after a overall market weakness. Overall market weakness acts as a drag on high performing momentum stocks, where they have orderly pullback, once the market starts rallying again, they rebound. For playing the swing, that is the sweet spot for low risk entry.

Do you know him- the worlds richest person

With the Mumbai Sensex crossing 20000 level yesterday, Mukesh Ambani for the time being is the richest person in the world.

Billionaire Mukesh Ambani on Monday became the richest person in the world, surpassing American software czar Bill Gates, Mexican business tycoon Carlos Slim Helu and famous investment guru Warren Buffett, courtesy the bull run in the stock market.

Following a strong share price rally today in his three group companies - India's most valued firm Reliance Industries , Reliance Petroleum and Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Ltd - the net worth of Mukesh Ambani rose to $63.2 billion (Rs 2,49,108 crore).

In comparison, the net worth of both Gates and Slim is estimated to be slightly lower at around $62.29 billion each, with Slim leading among the two by a narrow margin.

Earnings trends

At the beginning of every earnings season, bears put forth the argument, earnings are going to be bad, for over 20 quarters they have been wrong. See the current earnings trends from Zacks.

So far, 37% of the S&P 500 firms have reported (185 companies). The results have been better than most have feared, and over the past few days the results have been getting better. The median year-over-year growth rate has climbed sharply. We are now back in double digits, which if maintained would make this the 21st straight quarter of double-digit growth. Just last week, the median growth rate stood at 7.14%, the surprise ratio at 2.1:1 and a median surprise of 2.90%. Well, in just a few days, the median growth has jumped to 10.6%, and the surprise ratio to 2.56:1. The median surprise has declined slightly to 2.70%, but that is still a very healthy level. While the surprise ratio is still below the 3:1 that we have come to expect, it is not that far away anymore.

Every sector now has more positive than negative surprises. Energy is now in the lead with 25.8% median year over year growth. That, however, should fade since the unreported firms in the sector have a median expected growth rate of -7.3%. Both Energy and Telecom, which holds the number two slot on the leader board, have had relatively few companies report.

Health Care might be having the most impressive earnings season overall, with a median growth rate of 18.7%, a surprise ratio of 4.67:1 and a median surprise of 3.30%.

The Little Book That Makes You Rich

CXO Advisory group has done a chapter by chapter summary of The Little Book That Makes You Rich: A Proven Market-Beating Formula for Growth Investing, Louis Navellier. I am currently reading this book. The CXO summary is excellent. While on that blog check out their other stuff. It is one of the best source for proven strategies and insight in to latest research.

In his 2007 book The Little Book That Makes You Rich: A Proven Market-Beating Formula for Growth Investing, Louis Navellier, Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer of Navellier & Associates, Inc., outlines his systematic approach to investing in timely growth stocks. This approach derives from his analysis-based belief that the market does not efficiently incorporate key indicators of growth into stock prices. Here is a chapter-by-chapter review of some of the key points in this book, along with some links to relevant research summaries:

Bottom Performing Stocks in S&P

ABK,Ambac Financial Group (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BC,Brunswick Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CC,Circuit Cty Strs Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CFC,Countrywide Financial (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CIT,Cit Group Cl A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
COH,Coach Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CTX,Centex Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DDS,Dillard's Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DHI,D.R. Horton Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ETFC,E Trade Financial Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FHN,First Horizon Natl (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FITB,Fifth Third Bancorp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
HAR,Harman Internat Ind Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
JNY,Jones Apparel Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KBH,Kb Home (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KG,King Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LEN,Lennar Corp Cl A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MCO,Moody's Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MTG,Mgic Investments Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ODP,Office Depot Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PHM,Pulte Homes Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RSH,Radioshack Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SOV,Sovereign Bancorp Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TER,Teradyne Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
THC,Tenet Healthcare Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TSN,Tyson Foods Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
WM,Washington Mutual Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 

Top performing stocks in S&P

That looks like a very good breakout on WFR after long consolidation. It is a play on alternative energy sector.

AAPL,Apple Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMZN,Amazon.Com Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
APOL,Apollo Group Inc Cl A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BIIB,Biogen Idec Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BTU,Peabody Energy (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CIEN,Ciena Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CNX,Consol Energy Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EMC,Emc Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FCX,Freeport Mcmoran C&G B (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FLR,Fluor Corp (New) (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GOOG,Google (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
JNS,Janus Capital Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LUK,Leucadia National Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MON,Monsanto Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MUR,Murphy Oil Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NOV,National Oilwell Varco Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
OXY,Occidental Petro Cp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TAP,Molson Coors Brewing Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TSO,Tesoro Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WAT,Waters Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WFR,Memc Electronic Material (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
YHOO,Yahoo! Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)

Top and Bottom Sectors

Top Sectors
Agricultural Chemicals
Major Integrated Oil & Gas
Independent Oil & Gas
Steel & Iron
Copper
Industrial Metals & Minerals
Gold
Silver
Nonmetallic Mineral Mining
Farm Products
Beverages-Soft Drinks
Music & Video Stores
Education & Training Services
Technical Services
Personal Computers
Data Storage Devices
Computer Peripherals
Scientific & Technical Instr
Wireless Communications
Telecom Services-Foreign
Internet Information Providers

Bottom Sectors
Sporting Goods
Confectioners
Regional-Mid Atlantic Banks
Regional-Southeast Banks
Regional-Pacific Banks
Savings & Loans
Credit Services
Surety & Title Insurance
Mortgage Investment
Health Care Plans
Hospitals
Residential Construction
Cement
General Building Materials
Catv Systems
Home Improvement Stores
Home Furnishing Stores
Sporting Goods Stores
Apparel Stores
Building Materials Wholesale
Computer Based Systems
Information Technology Service
Semiconductor-Memory Chips
Semiconductor-Equipment & Mate

It is all about techs

The market is at interesting crossroads. The correction in progress is leading to lot of stocks breaking down. While at the same time there is clear and visible rotation in to technology stocks and growth stocks. Good earnings are being handsomely rewarded. The question is , can a narrow focused rally continue. Yes, in the past such rallies have persisted much longer than anyone anticipated.

The shorter term picture looks risky because of daily gyrations and lot of selling in numbers of stocks with individual issues or those which had peaked in their earnings. So short term how much selling is still their is the question. Yesterday the market reversed again after a dose of morning selling. That strength has to persist in to broader reversal. Today the market has a catalyst in the form of MSFT earnings to take us higher.

The weakness of 5-6 days has set us up for a possible bounce. The FOMC meeting will be eagerly watched and market participants will try and position themselves ahead of that event. Given current conditions a rally in to that period or post that period is likely scenario.

But till the market tips its hand preserving capital is important, because any more selling at this stage sets us for accelerated selling in many names. So overall many of my short term indicators or Market Monitor are at stage where they look risky for market, but longer term indicators are still in positive territory.

I very much see the same thing as Wishing Wealth sees:

The GMI rose to 5 (of 6) and the GMI-R to 90%. There were 189 new highs and 165 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks. But my very short term indicators look horrendous with only 13% being positive. A close of the QQQQ below 52 would be a serious break in support. If the bounce in the QQQQ from MSFT's rise does not keep the QQQQ up on Friday, I will become very defensive. Something about this market really bothers me. Can techs continue to resist the downward momentum in the other stocks? Or will another reduction in interest rates by the Fed next week bring them all back? I still think the best place to be right now is mainly in cash.

Trouble Brewing

Market has not been acting well. It is extremely tough environment to trade in . Unless you are in it for very short term trades and earnings trade, most things are not working.

We are possibly heading in to trouble. The Episodic Pivots on bearish side are fast rising today with several stocks falling more than 8%. As of now there are around 90 EP's on bearish side.

The stocks up 25% in month ratio is about to turn. This does not look good. Often it signals downturn. Stocks down 50% plus in month is rising.

The action does not feel and look good. So better to protect capital and fight this battle another day.

IBD 200 Anticipation

This is a list I pulled out of IBD 200 of select stocks with less than 10% growth on month time frame. If you look at all these stocks chart, bulk of them are having a very orderly pullback or consolidation. So even though the market looks shaky and volatile, leading stocks are holding up very well. So I am not negative on market. To make me negative I need to see 65 days ratio deteriorating rapidly.

ABB ABX AIRM AMTD AMX ANDE ARD ATNI BBL BHP BLUD BPHX CADA CAM CEDC CELG CHTT CIR CLB CMED CMTL CPLA CYNO DIOD DNR DWSN ESI FCN FCX FLIR FTI FTK GME GRMN GTLS HEI HK HPQ IDXX IVGN
========
LAYN LECO LKQX LWSN MBT MDR MEAS MR MT MUR NBG NOK NOV PCLN PCU POT RIG RIO ROP RRC SINA SNCR SNDA SSRX STRA TDG TGB TISI TKC TMB TNH VMI WGOV WMS XTO

Out of these if you use 65 days 10% or less filter you get

AMTD AMX ANDE CIR ESI GTLS HPQ LECO LWSN NBG RIG ROP TDG TGB TMB TNH WGOV XTO

Now breakouts on these is going to get in to possible long duration rally with low risk. You can further reduce this list by float, earnings growth rate and trends, forward guidance, P/E, margin, ROE, chart patterns, etc to just get handful candidates. Track them intra day and enter.

If you are feeling overwhelmed, you have to use slower filters. Be more selective, increase your breakout threshold volume from 100000 to 300000. The more pre planning you do , less surprised and overwhelmed you will be.

Roller Coaster

Market keeps swinging from one end to another. Yesterday market looked strong. Today it was very weak till mid day and then the futures started rallying and market recovered bulk of the losses.

Both bulls and bears lack conviction and a rumor of Fed discount rate cut had the panicky shorts covering in hurry. But overall the breakouts on downside exceeded the breakout on upside.

Stocks down 8% or more on high volume

ABK,Ambac Financial Group (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ALTR,Altera Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMIS,Amis Holdings (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMZN,Amazon.Com Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ANAD,Anadigics Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BCR,C.R. Bard Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BRCM,Broadcom Corp Cl A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CAVM,Cavium Networks Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CFC,Countrywide Financial (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CTS,Cts Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DDUP,Data Domain Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DSTI,Daystar Technologies Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EFII,Electronics For Imaging (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ELON,Echelon Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FFIV,F5 Networks Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HAFC,Hanmi Financial Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HYTM,Hythiam Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IMB,Indymac Bancorp Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
INFN,Infinera Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
JNPR,Juniper Networks (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LDK,LDK Solar Co Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MELI,Mercadolibre Inc. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NVTL,Novatel Wireless Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PLT,Plantronics Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PNRA,Panera Bread Co Cl A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RES,RPC Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RFMD,Rf Micro Devices Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RVBD,Riverbed Technologies Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SCA,Security Capital Assurance Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SIFY,Sify Ltd Adr (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SMDI,Sirenza Microdevices (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SUPX,Supertex Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SVVS,SAVVIS Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VLCM,Volcom Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WIRE,Encore Wire Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WSFG,WSB Financial Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WWY,William Wrigley Jr Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)

The upside breakouts were dominated by earnings related breakouts. The 65 days ratio continues to be bullish and till that turns, it is still better to keep bullish options open.

Select stocks up on high volume
ANO,Anooraq Resources Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ARCI,Appliance Recycling Centers of America Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ASIA,Asiainfo Holdings Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ATAC,Aftermarket Tech Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ATRM,Aetrium Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BTJ,Bolt Technology Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CEC,Cec Entertainment Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CIA,Citizens Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CME,Cme Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CRI,Carter Holdings Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CYD,China Yuchai Int Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EEFT,Euronet Worldwide Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EJ,E-House China Holdings Limit (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EXAS,Exact Sciences (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FLML,Flamel Technologies Sa (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FRPT,Force Protection Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ICE,Intercontinental Exchange Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ISRG,Intuitive Surgical Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ITI,Iteris Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
KMT,Kennametal Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LUNA,Luna Innovations Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NRMX,Neurochem (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PCAR,Paccar Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PFWD,Phase Forward Inc. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PKX,Posco (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
QLGC,QLogic Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SCON,Superconductor Tech (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TMTA,Transmeta Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TVIN,TVI Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VOCS,Vocus Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)