4/28/2006

GS- Goldman Sachs Group Inc - On top of the world



If you own Goldman Sachs Group Inc - GS shares, you should be very worried based on what has happened to companies featured on Economist cover. Go back and look at EBAY (eBay Inc)and WMT (Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.) in recent years.



Update: Roberto's Nasdaq Trader has more on this.
Here is how the Brokerage services group performed today.
Lazard Ltd LAZ 44.40 -0.35 (-0.78%)
The Bear Stearns Companies Inc. BSC 142.51 -2.58 (-1.78%)
Morgan Stanley MS 64.30 -0.67 (-1.03%)
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. LEH 151.15 -4.86 (-3.12%)
Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. MER 76.26 -2.20 (-2.80%)
Jefferies Group, Inc. JEF 66.45 -2.08 (-3.04%)
First Albany Companies Inc. FACT 5.33 -0.10 (-1.84%)
UBS AG (USA) UBS 116.85 +0.19 (0.16%)
Piper Jaffray Companies PJC 69.90 -1.95 (-2.71%)
Friedman, Billings, Ramsey Group, Inc. FBR 10.81 +0.46 (4.44%)


Stock picks

Stocks with exceptional earnings and sales momentum in recent quarters showing price and volume surge.


AMKR,Amkor Technology Inc
ASPV,Aspreva Pharmaceuticals
CBHI,Centennial Bank Holdings Inc
CROX,Crocs Inc
DXPE,Dxp Enterprises Inc
ECOL,American Ecology Corp
EPE,Enterprise Group Holdings LP
EQIX,Equinix Inc
GB,Greatbatch Inc
JAH,Jarden Corp
LYO,Lyondell Chemical Co
PEG,Public Service Enterprise Group Inc
PHTN,Photon Dynamics Inc
PTRY,Pantry Inc
RACK,Rackable Systems Inc
SIRF,Sirf Tech Holdgs Inc
TER,Teradyne Inc
TTES,T-3 Energy Services Inc
UNT,Unit Corp
VLO,Valero Energy Corp

Stock picks

Not a recommendation. Stocks with high momentum having price and volume advance.

AEPI,Aep Industries Inc
AIM,Aerosonic Corp
AKAM,Akamai Technologies Inc
AMKR,Amkor Technology Inc
ANK,Atlantic Tele-Network
ASF,Administaff Inc
ASPV,Aspreva Pharmaceuticals
ASX,Advanced Semicondctr Ads
CECE,Ceco Environmental Corp
CELG,Celgene Corp
CIB,Bancolombia Sa
CLB,Core Laboratories N.V.
CRUS,Cirrus Logic Inc
CTRP,Ctrip.com International
DXPE,Dxp Enterprises Inc
ECMV,E Com Ventures Inc
ECOL,American Ecology Corp
ELSE,Electro-Sensors Inc
FRNS,First Avenue Networks Inc
GEHL,Gehl Co
GEX,Globix Corp
ISIS,Isis Pharmaceuticals Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
LMNX,Luminex Corporation
LPTH,Lightpath Technolgies Inc
LSI,Lsi Logic Corp
MCRI,Monarch Casino & Resort
MNST,Monster Worldwide Inc
MRVC,Mrv Communications Inc
MXO,Maxtor Corporation
PMTI,Palomar Medical Tech
PTRY,Pantry Inc
QDEL,Quidel Corp
QUIK,Quicklogic Corporation
RACK,Rackable Systems Inc
RMKR,Rainmaker Systems Inc
SHOO,Steven Madden Ltd
SIRF,Sirf Tech Holdgs Inc
SKX,Skechers Usa Inc
SPNC,Spectranetics Corp. The
TMG,TransMontaigne Inc
TTES,T-3 Energy Services Inc
TTMI,Ttm Technologies Inc
TWTR,Tweeter Home Entertainmt
UHAL,Amerco
URGI,United Retail Group Inc
VLO,Valero Energy Corp
VPRT,VistPrint Ltd
WFR,Memc Electronic Material

Stocks- up 50% or more in a month

ERS,Empire Resources
GNT,Gentium SpA
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc
IDSA,Industrial Svcs Of Amer
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
LBY,Libbey Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
NCOC,National Coal Corp
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
SHOO,Steven Madden Ltd
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp

Stocks with extreme volume

CTX,Centex Corp
DIO,Diomed Holdings Inc
DP,Diagnostic Products Corp
FLYR,Navigant International Inc
FNF,Fidelity National Finl
FNT,Fidelity National Title Group Inc
GXY,Galaxy Nutritional Foods
ISIS,Isis Pharmaceuticals Inc
IWM,iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund ETF
NGA,N Amer Galvanizing & Coatings
OMX,Officemax Inc
TEN,Tenneco Inc
WIA,Wstn Asst Clay Us T Infl Prot

Stocks- Top 100

As some of you have requsted industry/sector data, I have added the same.

ACSEF,A.C.S. Electronics Ltd,MANUFACTURING - Industrial Electrical Equipment
ACTG,Acacia Research Acacia Tech,TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
AE,Adams Resources & Energy,WHOLESALE - Wholesale, Other
AEHR,Aehr Test Systems,ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
AIM,Aerosonic Corp,AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products & Services
AMKR,Amkor Technology Inc,ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Integrated Circuits
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The),WHOLESALE - Wholesale, Other
AP,Ampco-Pittsburgh Corp,MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery
APN,Applica Inc,CONSUMER DURABLES - Appliances
ASX,Advanced Semicondctr Ads,ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
AVCI,Avici Systems,COMPUTER HARDWARE - Networking & Communication Dev
AVNC,Advancis Pharmaceutical,DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
BUF,Minrad International Inc,HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments & Supplies
CBEY,CBeyond Communications Inc,TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Wireless Communications
CFK,Ce Franklin Ltd,WHOLESALE - Industrial Equipment Wholesale
CHRK,Cherokee Intl,MANUFACTURING - Industrial Electrical Equipment
CHRT,Chartered Semiconductor,ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
CLEC,Us Lec Corp Cl A,TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Telecom Services - Domestic
CXN,Circle Group Hldgs,INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
DIL,Dyadic International Inc,DRUGS - Biotechnology
DTLK,Datalink Corporation,COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Business Software & Services
DVW,Covad Communications Group Inc,TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
DXCM,DexCom Inc,HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments & Supplies
DXPE,Dxp Enterprises Inc,WHOLESALE - Industrial Equipment Wholesale
ECOL,American Ecology Corp,MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Waste Management
ELSE,Electro-Sensors Inc,ELECTRONICS - Scientific & Technical Instruments
ERS,Empire Resources,METALS & MINING - Aluminum
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc,METALS & MINING - Industrial Metals & Minerals
EZM,EuroZinc Mining Corp,METALS & MINING - Industrial Metals & Minerals
FIZ,National Beverage Corp,FOOD & BEVERAGE - Beverages - Soft Drinks
FJC,Fedders Corp,CONSUMER DURABLES - Appliances
FRG,Fronteer Development Group Inc,REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Development
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A,WHOLESALE - Wholesale, Other
GEX,Globix Corp,INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
GIGM,Gigamedia Limited,INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
GNT,Gentium SpA,DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
GRA,W.R. Grace & Co,CHEMICALS - Specialty Chemicals
GROW,U.S. Global Invest Inc A,FINANCIAL SERVICES - Asset Management
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc,METALS & MINING - Gold
GV,Goldfield Corp,MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Heavy Construction
GVP,Gse Systems Inc,COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Business Software & Services
HOM,Home Solutions Of America,DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
HSR,Hi-Shear Technology Corp,AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products & Services
IDSA,Industrial Svcs Of Amer,DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
IIP,Internap Network Svcs Cp,INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
ININ,Interactive Intelligence,COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Business Software & Services
INTN,Intac International,TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Diversified Communication Services
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc,MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - General Building Materials
ISV,Insite Vision Inc,DRUGS - Drug Delivery
JOBS,51job Inc Ads,DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing & Outsourcing Services
KNOL,Knology Inc,TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Wireless Communications
KRY,Crystallex Internat Corp,METALS & MINING - Gold
LDSH,Ladish Co Inc,MANUFACTURING - Metal Fabrication
LIHRY,Lihir Gold Ltd Adr,METALS & MINING - Gold
LNUX,Va Software Corp,COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Business Software & Services
LVLT,Level 3 Communications,TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Processing Systems & Products
MDTL,Medis Technologies Ltd,HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances & Equipment
MED,Medifast Inc,SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
MFRI,Mfri Inc,MANUFACTURING - Pollution & Treatment Controls
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc,FOOD & BEVERAGE - Processed & Packaged Goods
MKTY,Mechanical Technology,ELECTRONICS - Scientific & Technical Instruments
MWAV,M-Wave Inc,ELECTRONICS - Printed Circuit Boards
MZT,Matritech Inc,DRUGS - Diagnostic Substances
NAVI,Navisite Incorporated,INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
NGA,N Amer Galvanizing & Coatings,MANUFACTURING - Industrial Equipment & Components
NSU,Nevsun Resources Ltd,METALS & MINING - Gold
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc,DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Consumer Services
NXG,Northgate Minerals Corp,METALS & MINING - Gold
NXXI,Nutrition 21 Inc,DRUGS - Biotechnology
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc,DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
PJC,Piper Jaffray Companies,FINANCIAL SERVICES - Asset Management
PLB,American Italian Pasta,FOOD & BEVERAGE - Processed & Packaged Goods
PMTI,Palomar Medical Tech,HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances & Equipment
QSC,Questcor Pharmaceuticals,DRUGS - Biotechnology
REFR,Research Frontiers Inc,DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Research Services
RMKR,Rainmaker Systems Inc,DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
SHOO,Steven Madden Ltd,CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear & Accessories
SOFO,Sonic Foundry Inc,COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Application Software
STRL,Sterling Construction Comp Inc,MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Heavy Construction
SVVS,SAVVIS Inc,DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc,TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
TGB,Taseko Mines Ltd,METALS & MINING - Gold
TGC,Tengasco Incorporated,ENERGY - Independent Oil & Gas
TGE,TGC Industries Inc,METALS & MINING - Nonmetallic Mineral Mining
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New,METALS & MINING - Industrial Metals & Minerals
TMG,TransMontaigne Inc,ENERGY - Oil & Gas Pipelines
TSCM,Thestreet.Com,MEDIA - Publishing - Periodicals/News
TTES,T-3 Energy Services Inc,WHOLESALE - Industrial Equipment Wholesale
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc,INTERNET - Internet Information Providers
UAHC,United American Healthcare Cor,INSURANCE - Insurance Brokers
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy,METALS & MINING - Steel & Iron
USEY,U.S. Energy Systems Inc,UTILITIES - Electric Utilities
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp,METALS & MINING - Gold
VLTS,Valentis Inc,DRUGS - Biotechnology
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc,MANUFACTURING - Farm & Construction Machinery
WBD,Wimm Bill Dann Foods Ojsc,FOOD & BEVERAGE - Beverages - Soft Drinks
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc,MANUFACTURING - Industrial Electrical Equipment
ZP,ZAP (Zero Air Pollution),
ZRAN,Zoran Corp,ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc,HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances & Equipment

Banks on the move

Number of banks like - BAC, C, JPM, WFC, WB, etc. are making a move in recent days. Looks like a broadbased move. There are some good opportunities shaping up in this sector.
AIB,Allied Irish Banks Plc
ANZ,Australigen Idec Inc
BAC,Bank Of America Corp
BCM,Canadian Imprl Bnk Of Co
BCS,Barclays Plc Adr
BK,Bank Of New York Co Inc
BMO,Bank Of Montreal
BNS,Bank Of Nova Scotia (the)
C,Citigroup
COOP,Cooperative Bankshares
DB,Deutsche Bank Ag
GGAL,Grupo Financiero Galicia
HBC,Hsbc Holdings Plc
IBN,Icici Bank Ltd Ads
ITU,Banco Itau S A Adr
JPM,JPMorgan Chase & Co
KEY,Keycorp
MEL,Mellon Financial Corp
MG411,Money Center Banks
MTU,Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc
NAB,National Australia Bank
NAU,National Australia Bank
NBG,National Bk Greece Ads
OFG,Oriental Financial Group
OLCB,Ohio Legacy Corp
PNC,Pnc Financial Svcs Grp
RY,Royal Bank Of Canada
SBP,Santander Bancorp Holdng
STD,Banco Sntndr Cen Hsp Ads
STI,Suntrust Banks Inc
TCB,Tcf Financial Corp
TD,Toronto Dominion Bank
UBS,Ubs Ag Ord. Shares
WB,Wachovia Corp
WBK,Westpac Banking Cp
WFC,Wells Fargo & Co New

4/27/2006

Zacks.com - Newsroom - Earnings Trends

Zacks.com - Newsroom - Earnings Trends:
"Earnings reports continue to flood in; through the close of Tuesday, 45.2% of the S&P 500 (226 companies) have reported. The median year-over-year growth rate of the firms that have reported so far is 13.0%, making it very likely that this will be yet another quarter of double-digit growth. So far, the reports have been amazingly positive, far more so than in the fourth quarter. Positive surprises are out numbering disappointments by a staggering 5.9:1, at this point in the fourth quarter reporting cycle, positives were beating negatives by “only” 3.2:1. The magnitude of the positive surprises is also impressive, the median firm has reported earnings that are 3.70% (and two cents) higher than expected.

The good news is extremely widespread, every sector has more positive surprises than disappointments, and with the exception of Consumer Staples and Utilities, the margin is at least 3:1. "

Even though the market is stuck and not going anywhere, the earning picture so far is above expectation.

Momentum strategies performing well - MarketWatch

Momentum strategies performing well - MarketWatch
This is an interesting article about earning momentum strategies and how they are performing currently. Most well known systems like Value Line, Zacks, CANSLIM have earning momentum as one component. Studying these approaches in microscopic details can help you formulate your own earning strategy to trade stocks.
The research firm quoted in this article- Ford Equity research has excellent information on various factors affecting stock prices and details about various stock selection models used by them.

Earnings Momentum Break outs

Stocks with exceptional earnings and sales momentum in recent quarters showing price and volume surge.

ACLI,American Commercial Lines Inc
AMKR,Amkor Technology Inc
ARRS,Arris Group Inc
ASPM,Aspect Medical Systems
BDY,Bradley Pharmaceuticals
CFK,Ce Franklin Ltd
CGNX,Cognex Corp
CROX,Crocs Inc
HSR,Hi-Shear Technology Corp
HW,Headwaters Inc
ICUI,Icu Medical Inc
IFO,Infosonics
ILSE,Intralase Corp
ISYS,Integral Systems Inc
JLL,Jones Lang Lasalle Inc
KLIC,Kulicke & Soffa Ind
KOMG,Komag Inc
LDSH,Ladish Co Inc
LIFC,Lifecell Corporation
MATR,Matria Healthcare Inc
MEK,Metretek Technology Inc
MTW,Manitowoc Co Inc
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
PDS,Precision Drilling Corp
RICK,Rick's Caberet Intl
SMSI,Smith Micro Software Inc
SNTO,Sento Corporation
TLAB,Tellabs Inc
TRN,Trinity Industries Inc
UARM,Under Armour Inc
WHQ,W-h Energy Services Inc
WIRE,Encore Wire Corp
WLSC,Williams Scotsman International Inc

Momentum Stocks Breakouts

Not a recommendation. Stocks with high momentum having price and volume advance.

ACLI,American Commercial Lines Inc
ACTG,Acacia Research Acacia Tech
AEY,Addvantage Tech Group
AIM,Aerosonic Corp
AKN,Akorn Inc
AMKR,Amkor Technology Inc
AMT,American Tower Corp
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
ARRS,Arris Group Inc
ASTSF,Ase Test Limited Ord Shr
AVZ,Amvescap Plc
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
CBG,Cb Richard Ellis Svcs
CFK,Ce Franklin Ltd
COGO,Comtech Group Inc
CPTS,Conceptus Inc
DAKT,Daktronics Inc
ELSE,Electro-Sensors Inc
FIX,Comfort Systems Usa Inc
FJC,Fedders Corp
GLW,Corning Inc
HLF,Herbalife
HSR,Hi-Shear Technology Corp
ICTG,Ict Group Inc
ININ,Interactive Intelligence
INTN,Intac International
IPS,Ipsco Inc
ITRI,Itron Inc
JLL,Jones Lang Lasalle Inc
KFRC,Kforce.Com Inc
KOMG,Komag Inc
LDSH,Ladish Co Inc
LIFC,Lifecell Corporation
MDR,Mcdermott Internat Inc
MNST,Monster Worldwide Inc
MTW,Manitowoc Co Inc
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
ODP,Office Depot Inc
OMG,Om Group Inc
PZZA,Papa Johns International Inc
RBAK,Redback Networks Inc
RFMD,Rf Micro Devices Inc
RICK,Rick's Caberet Intl
RIO,Companhia Vale Do Rio Doce
SBAC,Sba Communications Corp
SID,Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.
SMSI,Smith Micro Software Inc
SNTO,Sento Corporation
SPNC,Spectranetics Corp. The
STO,Statoil Asa
STRL,Sterling Construction Comp Inc
TASR,Taser International Inc
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TLAB,Tellabs Inc
TNB,Thomas & Betts Corp
TRF,Templeton Russia And East Euro
TRN,Trinity Industries Inc
TSCM,Thestreet.Com
TWIN,Twin Disc Inc
VIMC,Vimicro International Inc
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc
VPRT,VistPrint Ltd
WBD,Wimm Bill Dann Foods Ojsc
WHQ,W-h Energy Services Inc
WIRE,Encore Wire Corp

Momentum Stocks- up 50% or more in a month


ERS- Empire Resources was 4.43 a year ago. It has gone up more than 10 times, offering several buy opportunities along the way.

ANDE,Andersons Inc
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
ERS,Empire Resources
GNT,Gentium SpA
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc
IDSA,Industrial Svcs Of Amer
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
LEA,Lear Corp
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MOSS,Mossimo Inc
NCOC,National Coal Corp
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc

Stocks with extreme volume


The MCO - Moody's corporation high volume drop shows what happens when the earnings disappoint.
ANDE and the ethanol sector is making a runaway move.


ACSEF,A.C.S. Electronics Ltd
ANDE,Andersons Inc
CDS,Cold Spring Capital Inc
EFV,iShares MSCI Value Index Fund ETF
ELSE,Electro-Sensors Inc
EMG,streetTRACKS DJ Wilshire Mid Cap Growth ETF
GLE,Glencairn Gold Corp
MARSB,Marsh Supermarkets Inc B
MCO,Moody's Corporation
NWEC,Northwestern Corp
POR,Portland General Electric Co
SANM,Sanmina-sci Corp

4/26/2006

HSR- Hi Shear technology Corp


HSR- Hi Shear Technologies Corp is up 70% in last 11 days. What triggered this move: earnings. Keep an eye on the daily Earnings momentum breakouts scan and you will see some of these rockets.
It was featured in the breakouts list here.

Earnings momentum breakouts

Stocks with exceptional earnings and sales momentum in recent quarters showing price and volume surge.
AP,Ampco-Pittsburgh Corp
ARLP,Alliance Resource Partners LP
ATHR,Atheros Communications Inc
BTJ,Bolt Technology Corp
CBHI,Centennial Bank Holdings Inc
EFII,Electronics For Imaging
IFO,Infosonics
ISYS,Integral Systems Inc
LDSH,Ladish Co Inc
MATR,Matria Healthcare Inc
MLI,Mueller Industries Inc
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
PGH,Pengrowth Energy Trust
PLLL,Parallel Petroleum Corp
PWEI,Pw Eagle Inc
RES,RPC Inc
SIRF,Sirf Tech Holdgs Inc
TLAB,Tellabs Inc
UCTT,Ultra Clean Holdings
WIRE,Encore Wire Corp
ZRAN,Zoran Corp

Momentum Stocks breakouts

Not a recommendation. Stocks with high momentum having price and volume advance.
ACGY,Acergy S.A. Ads
AEIS,Advanced Energy Ind Inc
AIXD,Access Integrated Tech Inc
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
AP,Ampco-Pittsburgh Corp
ATHR,Atheros Communications Inc
BTJ,Bolt Technology Corp
CCI,Crown Castle Intl Corp
CHRK,Cherokee Intl
CRM,Salesforce.com Inc
CRS,Carpenter Technol Corp
DECK,Deckers Outdoor Corp
DRIV,Digital River Inc
FJC,Fedders Corp
FORM,Formfactor Inc
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A
GRMN,Garmin Ltd
HLF,Herbalife
ININ,Interactive Intelligence
JEF,Jefferies Group Inc
LCC,US Airways Group Inc
LDSH,Ladish Co Inc
MED,Medifast Inc
MEND,Micrus Endovascular Corp
MFN,Minefinders Corp
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MWRK,Mothers Work Inc
MX,Metso Corp
NAK,Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
NFLX,Netflix Inc
NSS,Ns Group Inc
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
OMCL,Omnicell Inc
OMG,Om Group Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
PLLL,Parallel Petroleum Corp
PWEI,Pw Eagle Inc
RADN,Radyne Comstream
RATE,Bankrate Inc
RBAK,Redback Networks Inc
RES,RPC Inc
RNOW,Rightnow Technologies Inc
SA,Seabridge Gold Inc
SBAC,Sba Communications Corp
SIRF,Sirf Tech Holdgs Inc
SMSI,Smith Micro Software Inc
SPN,Superior Energy Svcs Inc
STAK,Staktek Corp
TGC,Tengasco Incorporated
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TLAB,Tellabs Inc
TRE,Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corp
TSCM,Thestreet.Com
TWIN,Twin Disc Inc
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy
VDM,Van Der Moolen
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc
WAB,Wabtec Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp
WFT,Weatherford International Ltd
WIRE,Encore Wire Corp
ZONA,Zonagen Inc
ZRAN,Zoran Corp

Momentum Stocks- up 50% or more in a month

Stocks with extreme momentum. Some of them are in blowout phase. The question is what triggers such moves.
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
ERS,Empire Resources
GNT,Gentium SpA
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
MED,Medifast Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MOSS,Mossimo Inc
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc


PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
SWFT,Swift Transportation Co
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc

Momentum Stocks- Top 100 stocks

AE,Adams Resources & Energy
AEHR,Aehr Test Systems
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
AP,Ampco-Pittsburgh Corp
APN,Applica Inc
AVCI,Avici Systems
AVNC,Advancis Pharmaceutical
BDCO,Blue Dolphin Energy Co
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
BUF,Minrad International Inc
CHRK,Cherokee Intl
CLEC,Us Lec Corp Cl A
CRS,Carpenter Technol Corp
CXN,Circle Group Hldgs
DIL,Dyadic International Inc
DTLK,Datalink Corporation
DVW,Covad Communications Group Inc
DXCM,DexCom Inc
DXPE,Dxp Enterprises Inc
ECOL,American Ecology Corp
ERS,Empire Resources
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc
EZM,EuroZinc Mining Corp
EZPW,Ezcorp Inc Cl A
FCL,Foundation Coal Holdings
FIZ,National Beverage Corp
FJC,Fedders Corp
FRD,Friedman Industries Inc
FRG,Fronteer Development Group Inc
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A
GEX,Globix Corp
GIGM,Gigamedia Limited
GNT,Gentium SpA
GOLD,Randgold Resources Ltd Ads 1:2
GRA,W.R. Grace & Co
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc
GV,Goldfield Corp
GVP,Gse Systems Inc
HOM,Home Solutions Of America
HSR,Hi-Shear Technology Corp
HSTM,Healthstream Inc
ICAD,Icad Inc
IDSA,Industrial Svcs Of Amer
IIP,Internap Network Svcs Cp
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
ISV,Insite Vision Inc
KNOL,Knology Inc
KRY,Crystallex Internat Corp
LDSH,Ladish Co Inc
LIHRY,Lihir Gold Ltd Adr
LNUX,Va Software Corp
LVLT,Level 3 Communications
MDTL,Medis Technologies Ltd
MED,Medifast Inc
MFRI,Mfri Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MKTY,Mechanical Technology
MWAV,M-Wave Inc
MZT,Matritech Inc
NAVI,Navisite Incorporated
NEU,Newmarket Corp
NSU,Nevsun Resources Ltd
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
NXG,Northgate Minerals Corp
NXXI,Nutrition 21 Inc
OMNI,Omni Energy Services Cp
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
PGS,Petroleum Geo-services Asa
PJC,Piper Jaffray Companies
PLB,American Italian Pasta
PLLL,Parallel Petroleum Corp
QSC,Questcor Pharmaceuticals
QSND,Qsound Labs Inc
SATC,Satcon Technology Corp
SHOO,Steven Madden Ltd
SOFO,Sonic Foundry Inc
STIZ,Scientific Technologies
STKL,Sunopta Inc
SVVS,SAVVIS Inc
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TGB,Taseko Mines Ltd
TGC,Tengasco Incorporated
TGE,TGC Industries Inc
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TSCM,Thestreet.Com
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
UAHC,United American Healthcare Cor
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy
USEY,U.S. Energy Systems Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp
VLTS,Valentis Inc
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc
WBD,Wimm Bill Dann Foods Ojsc
WEL,Boots & Coots Intl Well
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc
ZONA,Zonagen Inc
ZP,ZAP (Zero Air Pollution)
ZRAN,Zoran Corp
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc

4/25/2006

Stocks with extreme volume

ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
CRB,Courtside Acquisition Corp
DOVP,Dov Pharmaceutical Inc
DSCO,Discovery Labs Inc
ELSE,Electro-Sensors Inc
HBNC,Horizon Bancorp Indiana
HGT,Hugoton Royalty Trust
MEA,Metalico Inc
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
QRCP,Quest Resource Corp
SERO,Serologicals Corp
SIL,Apex Silver Mines Ltd
ZRAN,Zoran Corp

TSCM- the street.com


TSCM is up nicely today. You can make more money trading Mad man's stock than by following his picks on Maddmoney.

ZRAN - Zoran Corp


Another earnings breakout.

Earnings momentum breakouts

Stocks with exceptional earnings in last two quarters showing price and volume surge.
AE,Adams Resources & Energy
ARLP,Alliance Resource Partners LP
AVCI,Avici Systems
BEAV,Be Aerospace Inc
DRC,Dresser-Rand Group Inc
DTLK,Datalink Corporation
ECOL,American Ecology Corp
FCL,Foundation Coal Holdings
LDSH,Ladish Co Inc
RTI,Rti Internat Metal Inc
RYI,Ryerson Tull Inc
SEPR,Sepracor Inc
TGE,TGC Industries Inc
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
WLB,Westmoreland Coal Co
ZRAN,Zoran Corp
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc

Travelzoo TZOO


TZOO has sky rocketed post earnings. There are many other stocks like this. Earnings act as catalyst and there are numerous studies to show effect of earnings and earnings surprises on future price moment. It is easy to build a system based on earning as catalyst.
The earning season always brings out new surprises and as a consequence new stock ideas. Stocks react to earnings immediately in cases where there is a surprise or stock is not followed by most of the analyst. This can set up rallies which last from 6 weeks to sometime years. On the short side also you will find stocks reacting up to 25% post earning.
These trends are not only short lived but have legs. Many of these stocks go on to make triple digits in just few quarters. The breakouts following earnings are some of the most powerful breakouts you will ever see. Some of these stocks just take off like rockets. The overall market direction does not matter.
Obviously with over 7000 stocks reporting earnings, you need some systematic way to reduce the universe to track earnings on, you need your own database to track it and covert it in to proper system using risks management and stops.

Update : You can find more about this here Tops or bottoms- it's a stock pickers market

Momentum Stocks breakouts

Not a recommendation. Stocks with high momentum having price advance on higher volume.
ACI,Arch Coal Inc
ADLR,Adolor Corporation
AE,Adams Resources & Energy
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
AOM,AnorMed Inc
AVCI,Avici Systems
BEAV,Be Aerospace Inc
BITS,Bitstream Inc
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
BMI,Badger Meter Inc
CAS,A.M. Castle & Company
CHRT,Chartered Semiconductor
CNX,Consol Energy Inc
CRS,Carpenter Technol Corp
DTLK,Datalink Corporation
ECOL,American Ecology Corp
FCL,Foundation Coal Holdings
HLF,Herbalife
IBCA,Intervest Bncshs Cp Cl A
ICOC,Ico Inc
KNOT,The Knot Inc
LCC,US Airways Group Inc
LDSH,Ladish Co Inc
MDTL,Medis Technologies Ltd
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
NAK,Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
NFLX,Netflix Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
PGS,Petroleum Geo-services Asa
PLB,American Italian Pasta
RMBS,Rambus Inc
RTI,Rti Internat Metal Inc
RYI,Ryerson Tull Inc
SHOO,Steven Madden Ltd
SILC,Silicom Ltd
STKL,Sunopta Inc
TGE,TGC Industries Inc
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TTMI,Ttm Technologies Inc
TWIN,Twin Disc Inc
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy
VLTS,Valentis Inc
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc
WBD,Wimm Bill Dann Foods Ojsc
ZIGO,Zygo Corp
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc
ZONA,Zonagen Inc
ZRAN,Zoran Corp
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc

Momentum stocks up more than 50% or more in a month

AE,Adams Resources & Energy
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
ERS,Empire Resources
GNT,Gentium SpA
GPRE,Green Plains Renewable Energy
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc


MOSS,Mossimo Inc
NCOC,National Coal Corp
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc

4/24/2006

Stocks with extreme volume- Ford Motor - F



AVCI,Avici Systems
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
CCBI,Commercial Capital Bancorp
CECE,Ceco Environmental Corp
CRS,Carpenter Technol Corp
F,Ford Motor Co
NCOC,National Coal Corp
SCHK,Schick Technologies Inc
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
WFD,Westfield Financial Inc

NutriSystem Inc- NTRI


NTRI is up 10 points in after hours after announcing earnings. This stock is up over 655% this year. Stocks react to dramatic increase in earnings and sales. The key is to decide a threshold to track for this kind of data. I track the top 200 earnings and sales performer every quarter and find they have legs.
Revenues (million $) for Fiscal Year Ending Dec.
2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
1Q 37.43 13.28 7.20 10.44 6.98 5.17
2Q 40.94 9.18 6.32 7.56 6.22 25.55
3Q 64.52 7.66 4.87 5.46 6.33 6.46
4Q 69.62 7.88 4.20 4.11 4.27 N/A
Year 212.51 38.00 22.58 27.57 23.80 20.20

Earnings Per Share ($) for Fiscal Year Ending Dec.
2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
1Q 0.10 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.02 -0.05
2Q 0.12 0.02 0.08 0.05 0.01 0.10
3Q 0.19 Nil -0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.03
4Q 0.17 -0.02 -0.06 -0.03 Nil N/A
Year 0.59 0.03 0.03 0.09 0.04 -0.50

Stocks up 50% or more in a month

BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
ERS,Empire Resources
FIZ,National Beverage Corp
IF,Indonesia Fund
INTN,Intac International
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp


BTUI,Btu International Inc
GNT,Gentium SpA
GPRE,Green Plains Renewable Energy
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
MOSS,Mossimo Inc

Momentum Stocks breakouts

Not a recommendation. Stocks with high momentum and having a price advance on higher volume.
ACI,Arch Coal Inc
AEPI,Aep Industries Inc
ALO,Alpharma Inc
ARD,Arena Resources Inc
ASTE,Astec Industries
BGC,General Cable Corp
BITS,Bitstream Inc
BTU,Peabody Energy
BTUI,Btu International Inc
CGA,Corus Group Plc
CLEC,Us Lec Corp Cl A
CNX,Consol Energy Inc
CRZO,Carrizo Oil & Gas Inc
CTLM,Centillium Communication
CUP,Peru Copper Inc
ECOL,American Ecology Corp
EMKR,Emcore Corporation
EXFO,Exfo Electro-Optical Eng
FAL,Falconbridge Ltd
FCFS,First Cash Financial Svc
FCL,Foundation Coal Holdings
FJC,Fedders Corp
FLOW,Flow International Corp
FTK,Flotek Industries Inc
FUEL,Streicher Mobile Fueling
GFI,Gold Fields Ltd Adr
GLW,Corning Inc
GOOG,Google
HAL,Halliburton Co
HUBG,Hub Group Inc
IFN,India Fund
ILMN,Illumina Inc
IVAN,Ivanhoe Energy Inc
KCS,Kcs Energy Inc
KNDL,Kendle Internat Inc
LIFC,Lifecell Corporation
MDTL,Medis Technologies Ltd
MED,Medifast Inc
MSTR,Microstrategy Inc
NAK,Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
NITE,Knight Capital Group Inc Cl A
NTG,Natco Group Incorporated
OMCL,Omnicell Inc
OMG,Om Group Inc
PFWD,Phase Forward Inc.
PGS,Petroleum Geo-services Asa
PQ,Petroquest Energy Inc
RES,RPC Inc
RIO,Companhia Vale Do Rio Doce
SNP,China Petro & Chem Ads
STAA,Staar Surgical Co
SWC,Stillwater Mining Co
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc
VTS,Veritas Dgc
ZONA,Zonagen Inc
ZP,ZAP (Zero Air Pollution)
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc

4/23/2006

Stocks with extreme volume

ACI,Arch Coal Inc
AMTY,Amerityre Corp
CUK,Carnival Plc
HAQ,Healthcare Acquisition Corp
IIIN,Insteel Industries Inc
KCS,Kcs Energy Inc
LM,Legg Mason Inc
NCOC,National Coal Corp
OMRI,Omrix Biopharmaceuticals Inc
PDFS,Pdf Solutions
ROHI,Rotech Healthcare Inc
SCHK,Schick Technologies Inc
WTFC,Wintrust Financial Corp

Top 100 Stocks

Individual stocks behave differently from the index. Focus on what is moving, and moving rapidly.
ACLI,American Commercial Lines Inc
ANAD,Anadigics Inc
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
APN,Applica Inc
AVCI,Avici Systems
AVNC,Advancis Pharmaceutical
BCGI,Boston Communications Gr
BDCO,Blue Dolphin Energy Co
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
BTU,Peabody Energy
BTUI,Btu International Inc
CECE,Ceco Environmental Corp
CFK,Ce Franklin Ltd
CLEC,Us Lec Corp Cl A
CTLM,Centillium Communication
CXN,Circle Group Hldgs
DIL,Dyadic International Inc
DVW,Covad Communications Group Inc
DXPE,Dxp Enterprises Inc
ECOL,American Ecology Corp
EDAP,Edap Tms Sa Adr
ERS,Empire Resources
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc
EZPW,Ezcorp Inc Cl A
FIZ,National Beverage Corp
FJC,Fedders Corp
FRG,Fronteer Development Group Inc
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A
FUEL,Streicher Mobile Fueling
GIGM,Gigamedia Limited
GNT,Gentium SpA
GOLD,Randgold Resources Ltd Ads 1:2
GRA,W.R. Grace & Co
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc
GV,Goldfield Corp
GVP,Gse Systems Inc
HNAB,Hana Biosciences Inc
HOM,Home Solutions Of America
HSR,Hi-Shear Technology Corp
HSTM,Healthstream Inc
IF,Indonesia Fund
IIP,Internap Network Svcs Cp
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
IPSU,Imperial Sugar Company
ISV,Insite Vision Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
KNOL,Knology Inc
KRY,Crystallex Internat Corp
LIHRY,Lihir Gold Ltd Adr
LNUX,Va Software Corp
LTS,Ladenburg Thalmann Finl
MDTL,Medis Technologies Ltd
MED,Medifast Inc
MFRI,Mfri Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MOSS,Mossimo Inc
MWAV,M-Wave Inc
MZT,Matritech Inc
NABI,Nabi Biopharmaceuticals
NEU,Newmarket Corp
NITE,Knight Capital Group Inc Cl A
NSU,Nevsun Resources Ltd
NXG,Northgate Minerals Corp
NXXI,Nutrition 21 Inc
NYMX,Nymox Pharmaceutical Corp
OMNI,Omni Energy Services Cp
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
PGS,Petroleum Geo-services Asa
PJC,Piper Jaffray Companies
PLB,American Italian Pasta
PLLL,Parallel Petroleum Corp
PQ,Petroquest Energy Inc
QSC,Questcor Pharmaceuticals
RES,RPC Inc
SATC,Satcon Technology Corp
SFP,Salton Inc
SHOO,Steven Madden Ltd
SOFO,Sonic Foundry Inc
SVVS,SAVVIS Inc
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TGB,Taseko Mines Ltd
TGC,Tengasco Incorporated
THE,Todco
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TS,Tenaris Sa
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy
USEY,U.S. Energy Systems Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc
WBD,Wimm Bill Dann Foods Ojsc
WEL,Boots & Coots Intl Well
WJCI,Wj Communications Inc
WPSC,Wheeling-pittsburgh Corp
WTZ,Western Silver Corporation
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc
ZONA,Zonagen Inc
ZP,ZAP (Zero Air Pollution)
ZVXI,Zevex Internat Inc

4/22/2006

401(k) Fees Get Little Scrutiny - Los Angeles Times

Must read for anyone with 401(k). You will be shocked at how much you end up losing over the life of your 401(k) investment.

401(k) Fees Get Little Scrutiny - Los Angeles Times: "
As many employers scrap their traditional pensions and doubts grow about the future of Social Security, Americans' hopes for a secure retirement depend more than ever on their 401(k)s. About 44 million workers have more than $2 trillion invested in these accounts.

Yet unknown to many of them, obscure fees and deductions are quietly eroding the value of their nest eggs. In many cases, employers could bargain for lower charges, but don't.

Mutual fund management fees are the biggest expense. But they are prominently disclosed, have attracted wide publicity and have been declining as fund providers compete for customers.

Administrative fees are another matter. They usually don't show up on quarterly or annual statements. Brochures touting the benefits of 401(k) investing rarely mention them. Employees have to work hard to find out how much they're paying — for instance, by scouring their plan's website for a record of all activity in their accounts."

4/21/2006

Stock Screener

The Reuters stock screener is an excellent free tool. More than that you can get many good ideas from their standard screens. Look at the performance of their screens:

Indexed vs S&p vs NASDAQ
All Reuters Select Screens 312.12 +217.34 +252.94
Growth Screens 268.26 +173.48 +209.08
Accelerating EPS Growth 213.38 +118.61 +154.21
Relative Growth 453.33 +358.56 +394.15
Relative Momentum 163.80 +69.03 +104.62
Rising Expectations 174.45 +79.68 +115.28
Sales Growth Leaders 481.20 +386.43 +422.03
Value Screens 391.59 +296.82 +332.42
Contrarian Opportunities 1,489.57+1394.80+1430.40
Favored Value Plays 483.66 +388.89 +424.48
Income Stocks 227.81 +133.04 +168.64
Growth At A Reasonable Price 280.77 +186.00 +221.60
Relative Value 440.17 +345.40 +380.99
Quality Screens 285.14 +190.37 +225.96
Fastest Turnover 302.15 +207.38 +242.98
Industry Leaders 260.18 +165.41 +201.01
Return On Investment 197.46 +102.69 +138.29
Strong Operating Margins 394.46 +299.69 +335.28
Sentiment Screens 309.65 +214.88 +250.48

There are many ideas to work with in them. All of them beat the indexes handsomely, are mechanical and free to use. There is extensive detail on the methodology and philosophy behind each screen. Registration is required to access them. A good assignment for weekend.

Cash in loo

From nothing to do with trading department.
A German pensioner flushed 30,000 old Deutschmarks worth £10,400 down his toilet, mistakenly thinking that they were worthless, police said.

Luckily for him the notes caused a blockage and a plumber managed to retrieve the sodden currency.

The 64-year-old pensioner had not realised that the notes could be exchanged at a bank for 15,000 euros.

The man later handed the money over at a bank in the northern city of Kiel, receiving a credit note, police said.

Euros replaced Deutschmarks in Germany in 2002. But the old currency can still be exchanged for euros at German banks free of commission.

The pensioner still had another 30,000 Deutschmarks at his apartment, as well as about 14,000 euros, police said.

Small edge or large edge

As a speculator, there is always a choice between finding small edges and finding large edges. That also determines the frequency of your trades. Buffet is an example of someone with large edge. In his lifetime he has done very few trades. Compare that to the day traders or statistical based traders who do several in a day or week.
The mental make up required to make the transition is very difficult and that is why certain traders would rather continue to trade a mediocre small edge strategy than make a leap to using larger edge strategies.
The Market Wizards book has examples of both kinds of traders. There are examples of traders who make triple digit returns with few trades in that book and at the same time examples of the opposite.
Most of the small edge finding methodologies are similar to what you will find on the Tradefeed blog. There are number of other blogs devoted to high frequency techniques,personally I prefer systems or strategies with larger edge. All my effort is devoted to finding and developing larger edge involving lower frequency of trading.

Stocks up 50 % or more in a month


BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
ERS,Empire Resources
FIZ,National Beverage Corp
GNT,Gentium SpA
GPRE,Green Plains Renewable Energy
GROW,U.S. Global Invest Inc A
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
MFRI,Mfri Inc

MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MOSS,Mossimo Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
RIV,Riviera Holdings Corp
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc

Momentum Stock Trading - Top 100 Stocks

Individual stocks behave differently from the index. Focus on what is moving, and moving rapidly.
AEHR ANAD ANDE APN ARWR
AVCI AVNC AXTI BCGI BDCO
BLDP BTUI BUF CAMP CCOI
CECE CENX CFK CTLM CVM
CXN DIL DTLK DVW DXPE
EDAP ERS ETQ EZPW FIZ
FRG FSTR FUEL GIGM GMTC
GNT GRA GRZ GV GVP
HNAB HOM HSR HSTM ICOC
ICON IF IIP IPII IPSU
ISV JOBS KNOL KRY LNUX
LTS LVLT MDTL MED MGPI
MTEX MWAV MZT NABI NEU
NITE NSU NXG NXXI OMNI
OPTC PEIX PJC PLB PLLL
QSC RNAI RNWK SATC SFP
SHOO SIM SOFO STIZ STRL
SVVS TGB TGC THE TIE
TUNE TZOO USAP USEY VGZ
WBD WEL WPSC ZOLT ZONA
Expanded list with company names
AEHR,Aehr Test Systems
ANAD,Anadigics Inc
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
APN,Applica Inc
ARWR,Arrowhead Research Corp
AVCI,Avici Systems
AVNC,Advancis Pharmaceutical
AXTI,Axt Inc
BCGI,Boston Communications Gr
BDCO,Blue Dolphin Energy Co
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
BTUI,Btu International Inc
BUF,Minrad International Inc
CAMP,Calamp Corp
CCOI,Cogent Communications Group Inc
CECE,Ceco Environmental Corp
CENX,Century Aluminum Company
CFK,Ce Franklin Ltd
CTLM,Centillium Communication
CVM,Cel-Sci Corp
CXN,Circle Group Hldgs
DIL,Dyadic International Inc
DTLK,Datalink Corporation
DVW,Covad Communications Group Inc
DXPE,Dxp Enterprises Inc
EDAP,Edap Tms Sa Adr
ERS,Empire Resources
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc
EZPW,Ezcorp Inc Cl A
FIZ,National Beverage Corp
FRG,Fronteer Development Group Inc
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A
FUEL,Streicher Mobile Fueling
GIGM,Gigamedia Limited
GMTC,Gametech Internat Inc
GNT,Gentium SpA
GRA,W.R. Grace & Co
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc
GV,Goldfield Corp
GVP,Gse Systems Inc
HNAB,Hana Biosciences Inc
HOM,Home Solutions Of America
HSR,Hi-Shear Technology Corp
HSTM,Healthstream Inc
ICOC,Ico Inc
ICON,Iconix Brand Group
IF,Indonesia Fund
IIP,Internap Network Svcs Cp
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
IPSU,Imperial Sugar Company
ISV,Insite Vision Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
KNOL,Knology Inc
KRY,Crystallex Internat Corp
LNUX,Va Software Corp
LTS,Ladenburg Thalmann Finl
LVLT,Level 3 Communications
MDTL,Medis Technologies Ltd
MED,Medifast Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MTEX,Mannatech Inc
MWAV,M-Wave Inc
MZT,Matritech Inc
NABI,Nabi Biopharmaceuticals
NEU,Newmarket Corp
NITE,Knight Capital Group Inc Cl A
NSU,Nevsun Resources Ltd
NXG,Northgate Minerals Corp
NXXI,Nutrition 21 Inc
OMNI,Omni Energy Services Cp
OPTC,Optelcom-Nkf Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
PJC,Piper Jaffray Companies
PLB,American Italian Pasta
PLLL,Parallel Petroleum Corp
QSC,Questcor Pharmaceuticals
RNAI,Sirna Therapeutics
RNWK,Realnetworks Inc
SATC,Satcon Technology Corp
SFP,Salton Inc
SHOO,Steven Madden Ltd
SIM,Grupo Simec S A Adr
SOFO,Sonic Foundry Inc
STIZ,Scientific Technologies
STRL,Sterling Construction Comp Inc
SVVS,SAVVIS Inc
TGB,Taseko Mines Ltd
TGC,Tengasco Incorporated
THE,Todco
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TUNE,Microtune Inc
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy
USEY,U.S. Energy Systems Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp
WBD,Wimm Bill Dann Foods Ojsc
WEL,Boots & Coots Intl Well
WPSC,Wheeling-pittsburgh Corp
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc
ZONA,Zonagen Inc

4/20/2006

Momentum Stocks- breakouts

Not a recommendation. Stocks with high momentum and having a price advance on higher volume.
ALKS,Alkermes Inc
ANX,Adventrx Pharmaceuticals Inc
APN,Applica Inc
ARWR,Arrowhead Research Corp
AVCI,Avici Systems
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
CBST,Cubist Pharmaceuticals
CECE,Ceco Environmental Corp
COGO,Comtech Group Inc
CRUS,Cirrus Logic Inc
CTRP,Ctrip.com International
DECK,Deckers Outdoor Corp
ET,E Trade Financial Corp
FORM,Formfactor Inc
GOL,Gollinhas Aereas Inteligentes
GRA,W.R. Grace & Co
HAL,Halliburton Co
HUBG,Hub Group Inc
INFA,Informatica Corporation
IPSU,Imperial Sugar Company
MCRI,Monarch Casino & Resort
MDTL,Medis Technologies Ltd
POZN,Pozen Incorporated
RATE,Bankrate Inc
RBAK,Redback Networks Inc
RES,RPC Inc
RTK,Rentech Inc
SHOO,Steven Madden Ltd
SKX,Skechers Usa Inc
SLB,Schlumberger Ltd
SURG,Synergetics USA Inc
SWIR,Sierra Wireless Inc
TSU,Tim Partcipacoes S.A.
TTM,Tata Motors Ltd Ads
TUNE,Microtune Inc
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
UACL,Universal Truckload Srvcs
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy
WBD,Wimm Bill Dann Foods Ojsc
WCC,Wesco International Inc
WG,Willbros Group Inc
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc
ZONA,Zonagen Inc

Stocks with extreme volume

As you can see, bulk of the selling today was in two hot sectors, gold and silver. When extreme volume shows up a lot of players from one sector, most of the time a reversal is close by. The gold sector for couple of weeks had many stocks with extreme volume, signaling a climax move was coming to an end.
AVCI,Avici Systems
CASM,CAS Medical Systems Inc
CDE,Coeur D'alene Mines Corp
CYN,City National Corp
EFV,iShares MSCI Value Index Fund
FLYR,Navigant International Inc
GLD,streetTRACKS Gold Shares ETF
GRS,Gammon Lake Resources
IF,Indonesia Fund
MDV,Medivation Inc
MEA,Metalico Inc
PLAY,Portalplayer
PPA,PowerShares Aerospace & Defense Portfolio ETF
QCC,Quest Capital Corp (Canada)
ROHI,Rotech Healthcare Inc
SLW,Silver Wheaton Corp
STO,Statoil Asa
SWFT,Swift Transportation Co
UPCS,Ubiquitel Inc

Sock picks

Not a recommendation. Look for new buy ideas in this.
ABB,Abb Ltd
AKAM,Akamai Technologies Inc
ALNY,Alnylam Pharmaceuticals
AMKR,Amkor Technology Inc
AMR,Amr Corporation
APN,Applica Inc
ARD,Arena Resources Inc
ARDI,@Road Inc
ARS,Aleris International Inc
ASGN,On Assignment Inc
ASTSF,Ase Test Limited Ord Shr
ATLS,Atlas America Inc
AXTI,Axt Inc
BBD,Banco Bradesco Sa
BGC,General Cable Corp
BGO,Bema Gold Corp
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
BLK,Blackrock Incorporated
BTU,Peabody Energy
BUCY,Bucyrus International Inc
CAL,Continental Airlines B
CAS,A.M. Castle & Company
CCJ,Cameco Corp
CECE,Ceco Environmental Corp
CELL,Brightpoint Inc
CFK,Ce Franklin Ltd
CLZR,Candela Corp
CYMI,Cymer Inc
DO,Diamond Offshre Drilling
ENER,Energy Conversn Devices
ESLR,Evergreen Solar Inc
ET,E Trade Financial Corp
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc
EVST,Everlast Worldwide Inc
FORM,Formfactor Inc
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A
FWLT,Foster Wheeler Ltd
GMXR,Gmx Resources Inc
GOL,Gollinhas Aereas Inteligentes
GRA,W.R. Grace & Co
GRP,Grant Prideco Inc
ICOC,Ico Inc
IED,Investools Inc
IF,Indonesia Fund
ILMN,Illumina Inc
ISE,International Securities Excha
ITG,Investment Technology
KNDL,Kendle Internat Inc
LCC,US Airways Group Inc
LFC,China Life Insurance Company
LUFK,Lufkin Industries Inc
MFN,Minefinders Corp
MGN,Mines Management Inc
NFLX,Netflix Inc
NRPH,New River Pharmaceuticals Inc
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc
NXY,Nexen Inc
OXPS,Optionsxpress Holdings
PBR,Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS
PBR.A,Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS Class A
PJC,Piper Jaffray Companies
RATE,Bankrate Inc
RCCC,Rural Cellular Corp
RRC,Range Resources Corp
RYI,Ryerson Tull Inc
SPIR,Spire Corp
STMP,Stamps.com Inc
STRL,Sterling Construction Comp Inc
SUPX,Supertex Inc
SWN,Southwestern Energy Co
TEN,Tenneco Inc
TFSM,24/7 Real Media Inc
TRE,Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corp
TRID,Trident Microsystems Inc
TRN,Trinity Industries Inc
TUNE,Microtune Inc
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy
USEY,U.S. Energy Systems Inc
VICR,Vicor Corp
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc
VRTX,Vertex Pharmaceuticals
WFR,Memc Electronic Material
WG,Willbros Group Inc
WIRE,Encore Wire Corp
WPSC,Wheeling-pittsburgh Corp
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc

Stocks up 50% or more in a month

The list has seen significant increase reflecting changed market circumstances.
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
BTUI,Btu International Inc
CHDX,Chindex International Inc
ERS,Empire Resources
FIZ,National Beverage Corp
FPP,Fieldpoint Petroleum Corp
GNT,Gentium SpA
GOLD,Randgold Resources Ltd Ads 1:2
GPRE,Green Plains Renewable Energy
GROW,U.S. Global Invest Inc A
GRVY,Gravity Co
IF,Indonesia Fund
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
MFRI,Mfri Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MOSS,Mossimo Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
RIV,Riviera Holdings Corp
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp

Stocks with extreme volume

AMTY,Amerityre Corp
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc
GST,Gastar Exploration Inc
IF,Indonesia Fund
PBW,Powershares Wilderhill Clean Energy Porfolio ETF
PIC,PowerShares Dynamic Insurance Portfolio ETF
PRH,VitaCube Systems Holdings Inc
QRCP,Quest Resource Corp
RFV,Rydex S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF
ROX,Castle Brands Inc
SGMS,Scientific Games Corp
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc
VTSS,Vitesse Semiconductor Cp
WPSC,Wheeling-pittsburgh Corp

4/19/2006

Earnings season early trends

Zacks has an early read on earnings trends, which so far seem to be significantly above expectations.
The first quarter earnings season is underway, and is off to a spectacular start. While it is still very early, with just 371. of the reports in, the numbers so far have been very strong. Positive surprises are leading disappointments by a staggering 13:1 ratio. I think it is extremely unlikely that such a ratio will hold as the reporting season wears on. In the fourth quarter, the ratio of positive surprises to disappointments was just a hair under 3:1.
The emerging star with regards to estimate revisions is the Materials sector. The strength there is mostly among the metals companies, largely in response to record, or at least decades old highs, in metals prices. However the strength is not limited to the metals alone, and chemical and paper companies are also showing significant strength. For the first quarter, the sector is now expected to post median growth of 9.1%, while a month ago it was only expected to show 4.6% growth.

Momentum Stock Trading - Top 100 Stocks

Update New updated list as of today is here


Individual stocks behave differently from the index. Focus on what is moving, and moving rapidly.
ACPW,Active Power Inc
AEM,Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd
ANDE,Andersons Inc (The)
APN,Applica Inc
ATI,Allegheny Technologies
AVNC,Advancis Pharmaceutical
BCGI,Boston Communications Gr
BDCO,Blue Dolphin Energy Co
BLDP,Ballard Power Systms Inc
BTUI,Btu International Inc
CAMP,Calamp Corp
CBJ,Cambior Inc
CECE,Ceco Environmental Corp
CENX,Century Aluminum Company
CHAP,Chaparral Steel Company
CHDX,Chindex International Inc
CLEC,Us Lec Corp Cl A
CLG,Cumberland Resources Ltd
CXN,Circle Group Hldgs
DDE,Dover Downs Entertainment Inc
DIL,Dyadic International Inc
DPW,Digital Power Corp
DTLK,Datalink Corporation
DVSA,Diversa Corporation
DVW,Covad Communications Group Inc
DXPE,Dxp Enterprises Inc
ERS,Empire Resources
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc
EXP,Eagle Materials Inc
EZM,EuroZinc Mining Corp
EZPW,Ezcorp Inc Cl A
FCX,Freeport Mcmoran C&G B
FRG,Fronteer Development Group Inc
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A
FUEL,Streicher Mobile Fueling
GIGM,Gigamedia Limited
GOLD,Randgold Resources Ltd Ads 1:2
GRZ,Gold Reserve Inc
HOC,Holly Corp
HOM,Home Solutions Of America
HSR,Hi-Shear Technology Corp
HSTM,Healthstream Inc
IF,Indonesia Fund
IIIN,Insteel Industries Inc
IIP,Internap Network Svcs Cp
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
ISV,Insite Vision Inc
IVAC,Intevac Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
KRY,Crystallex Internat Corp
LIHRY,Lihir Gold Ltd Adr
LNUX,Va Software Corp
LPSN,Liveperson Inc
LTS,Ladenburg Thalmann Finl
LVLT,Level 3 Communications
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MNG,Miramar Mining Corp
MOSS,Mossimo Inc
MSGI,MSGI Security Solutions Inc
MTW,Manitowoc Co Inc
MZT,Matritech Inc
NABI,Nabi Biopharmaceuticals
NAVI,Navisite Incorporated
NEU,Newmarket Corp
NSU,Nevsun Resources Ltd
NXG,Northgate Minerals Corp
NXXI,Nutrition 21 Inc
OLAB,OraLabs Holding Corp
OMG,Om Group Inc
OMNI,Omni Energy Services Cp
OTD,O2 Diesel Corp
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
PJC,Piper Jaffray Companies
PLB,American Italian Pasta
PLLL,Parallel Petroleum Corp
QSC,Questcor Pharmaceuticals
RMBS,Rambus Inc
RMTI,Rockwell Medical Techs
RTI,Rti Internat Metal Inc
SATC,Satcon Technology Corp
SIM,Grupo Simec S A Adr
SOFO,Sonic Foundry Inc
STRL,Sterling Construction Comp Inc
SVVS,SAVVIS Inc
SWC,Stillwater Mining Co
TGB,Taseko Mines Ltd
TGC,Tengasco Incorporated
TIE,Titanium Metals Corp New
TS,Tenaris Sa
TWW,Terremark Worldwide Inc
USAP,Universal Stain & Alloy
USEY,U.S. Energy Systems Inc
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp
VIMC,Vimicro International Inc
VLTS,Valentis Inc
WEL,Boots & Coots Intl Well
WPSC,Wheeling-pittsburgh Corp
WTZ,Western Silver Corporation
ZOLT,Zoltek Companies Inc

Stocks up 50% or more in a month

BTUI,Btu International Inc
CHDX,Chindex International Inc
ERS,Empire Resources
FIZ,National Beverage Corp
FPP,Fieldpoint Petroleum Corp
GNT,Gentium SpA
GPRE,Green Plains Renewable Energy
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
JOBS,51job Inc Ads
MFRI,Mfri Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
MOSS,Mossimo Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
RIV,Riviera Holdings Corp
TZOO,Travelzoo Inc

Stocks with extreme volume

DNE,Dune Energy Inc
IF,Indonesia Fund
MOSS,Mossimo Inc
PKB,PowerShares Dynamic Building & Construction Portfolio ETF
PSO,Pearson Plc Ads
RML,Russell Corp
UFPI,Universal Forest Prodcts

4/18/2006

Shorts get gored


What a move!!!

Welcome yahoo users if you are loking for NTRI go here.
HOME

Momentum Stock Trading

Most well known and successful systems use momentum. The most famous IBD CANSLIM system is an excellent example of using price and earning momentum to trade.
There are many variations of the momentum system , Darvas was also using momentum plus fundamentals.
At a very simple level if you just concentrate on the top 1 or 2% of the momentum stocks by yearly growth rate , you will find the double baggers and triple baggers in them.
Look at ERS, PWEI, TIE, DXPE, NTRI, BTUI, HOM, IIIN, BDCO, ANAD, ENG, GRZ, EVST, MYOG, HANS, ZOLT, RACK and some 170 stocks like these and you will likely get next momentum stock from them. Or you can look at the top 100 stocks list on this blog.
Also if you study regularly the stocks which show 50% plus move in a month, you will get an insight in to at what momentum level do these kind of move happen, what events trigger such moves, what are the other characteristics of such movers. If you study them over a sufficiently long period of time you will get many useful ideas to build a momentum trading system.
All momentum systems are basically same with slight variation in entry techniques, some enter on breakouts, some on weakness or retracements and some put buy stops at higher price .
The problem is do you have the risk profile to trade such stocks as they have high volatility, plus buying something which is up 100% or 200% already requires some nerves.

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Public domain profitable system

There is a very interesting journal on elitetrader by Spydertrader, which documents how he has developed and trades a very simple trading system. The essence of the system is equity selection using IBD criteria. The entries have been perfected to enter at low risk point. The exits have profit targets. It is a high frequency trading system with some degree of judgment and discretion but overall a very good system.
The journal also is an excellent example of how by focusing on simple idea and concept you can convert it in to profitable system. Lot of time traders spend too much time flirting from one thing to another rather than focusing on few things.

Stocks up 50% plus in a month

CHDX,Chindex International Inc
ERS,Empire Resources
FIZ,National Beverage Corp
GNT,Gentium SpA
GPRE,Green Plains Renewable Energy
INTN,Intac International
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
RIV,Riviera Holdings Corp
VGZ,Vista Gold Corp

Stocks with extreme volume

ALM,Allmerica Securities Tr
BDCO,Blue Dolphin Energy Co
CJBK,Central Jersey Bancorp
IF,Indonesia Fund
IFCJ,Interchange Financl Svcs
NR,Newpark Resources Inc
NXG,Northgate Minerals Corp
ONH,Orion Healthcorp Inc
QRCP,Quest Resource Corp
RBY,Rubicon Minerals Corporation

4/14/2006

Stocks up 50% or more in a month

BTUI,Btu International Inc
CACS,Carrier Access Corp
ERS,Empire Resources
GLBC,Global Crossing Ltd
GNT,Gentium SpA
GPRE,Green Plains Renewable Energy
IPII,Imperial Industries Inc
MGPI,Mgp Ingredients Inc
PEIX,Pacific Ethanol Inc
RIV,Riviera Holdings Corp



How many of these do yo have in your portfolio?

Stocks with extreme volume

CXN
FMDAY
MDT
SCR--A
UTI

The 100 Stocks to watch

ACTG AEHR AFOP ANAD ANDE APN ARD
ARGN ATPL AVNC AVNX BCGI BDCO BID
BTUI BWNG CBJ CCOI CECE CENX CHAP
CLEC CLG CTLM CXN CYTR DCEL DDE
DIL DPW DTLK DVW DXPE ERS ETQ
EXP EZPW FRG FSTR GETI GEX GIGM
GLBC GNT GPI GRZ HBX HOM HSR
HSTM IF IIG IIIN IIP IPII KNOL
KRY LBIX LNUX LPSN LVLT MED MGPI
MNG MTEX MWAV MZT NCTY NXG NXXI
NYMX OLAB OMNI OTD PEIX PILL PJC
PLB PRKR PTEK QD QSC RMBS RMTI
RTI RUN SATC SOFO SVVS TGB TGC
TIE TWW TXCC VGZ VIMC WEL WTZ
ZOLT ZP

Top 25 stocks

Top 25 stocks based on yearly growth, within 25% of high.
TRE 794
PWEI 779
ERS 702
RUN 699
ZP 655
NTRI 609
DXPE 603
TIE 592
BTUI 589
OTD 544
IIIN 535
ANAD 530
HOM 526
DPW 503
ENG 493
TGC 485
SURG 443
MNG 442
FNSR 424
CXN 411
DCEL 409
EVST 408
BMD 398
MYOG 397
CECE 391

Top earnings plays- BDCO, CHAP, ARD, RTI. PLLL







Percent move since earnings. Earnings out in last one month.
BDCO- 182%
CHAP- 32%
ARD- 31%
RTI- 30%
PLLL- 22%

4/13/2006

Speculators and databases

"let me warn you that the fruits of your success will be in direct ratio to the honesty and sincerity of your own effort in keeping your own records, doing your own thinking, and reaching your own conclusions." - Jesse Livermore How to trade in stocks


One of the ways to improve your trading is to maintain your own databases. With proliferation of databases on the net, the temptation is always to rely on such product as against building your own bases, but if you do it yourself, you will build a deeper understanding of what is behind such databases.
Many times people use databases like the IBD database of EPS ranking and RS, or Zacks ranking, or Value Line. Instead of relying on them building it yourself will give you a much better insight and different ideas. Most people even have no idea as to what is used to calculate some of these things but rely on them to take trading decision. If you for example figure out how IBD calculates its EPS ranking or RS ranking, you will find much better insights in to how to use them.
Most database owners have created the myth around the data which they provide by claiming it is generated using proprietary criteria, but instead of believing in it blindly if you build it yourself you will have several ways to interpret it.
I maintain several databases and by analyzing them over years have unique insights in to using them to build trading systems.

Google Calendar

Google continues to furiously add new futures, the latest is calendar. Henry Blodget has this to say about Google moves and a hint about where Google share price is headed.

Next Up for Google's Portal: New Front Page?


Despite the addition of Google Calendar (thanks to John Battelle) Finance, Real Estate, et al, Google will no doubt still insist that it is not a portal, and will go on insisting so until it finally relents and adds some more links to its front page. When it finally does add such links, however--and, perhaps, a few advertisements to go with them--it will be helping not only shareholders but users.

For those seeking general categories--Real Estate, Finance, etc.--clicking links is easier than typing in a search window. Yes, they clutter up the page, but for the added convenience, who cares. And as previously estimated, even with only an ad or two, the front page could likely bring in an additional $1-$2 million of super-high-margin revenue per day. For those interested in the company's bottom line, that's at least $125-$250 million of additional free cash flow per year ($0.50-$1.00 per share).

S&P earnings trend

Trouble in market/ sector is always reflected in earnings trends. Keep an eye on upcoming earnings.
The week of Apr. 10 is when the earnings-reporting season for the first quarter begins in earnest. As seen in the table below, which compares Standard & Poor's equity analysts' estimates on December 31, 2005, with those as of April 4, 2006, S&P believes companies in the S&P 500 will have increased operating results by 11%, driven by above-market gains for the Energy, Health Care, and Industrial sectors.
Below-market gains are expected to come from Financials, Information Technology, Telecom Services, and Utilities, along with year-over-year declines in earnings likely to be recorded by the Consumer Staples and Materials sectors.

Nothing to do with the market Department

There is an interesting behind the scene story about capture of the Godfather. More interesting facts at the end of the story.

How Godfather was betrayed by his need for clean pants
From Richard Owen in Rome

HE eluded capture for 43 years. But in the end he was betrayed by the need for clean underwear.

Bernardo Provenzano, the Mafia “boss of bosses” who was arrested this week, was traced to his Sicilian hideaway by police who tracked a delivery of laundry.

Provenzano, who had not been seen since going into hiding in 1963, asked his wife to send him “a pack of washed and ironed clothes” — underpants, shirts, and socks.

Police intercepted a telephone conversation between mafiosi indicating that Provenzano’s wife, Saveria Benedetta Palazzolo, who runs a laundry in Corleone, was about to return her husband’s clean clothes. The pack of laundry was handed to one of a team of trusted messengers who for years had taken notes and packages to and from “the Godfather”. This time, however, they were watched by police as well as by television surveillance cameras.

The watchers saw the door of the farmhouse open a tiny crack and a hand emerge to receive the package. A signal was given to storm the house. Provenzano, taken by surprise, turned out to be an elderly, pink-cheeked man with thick-lensed


UNDERLYING FIGURES
# Bill Clinton was asked by a 17-year- old girl in 1994 whether he wore boxers or briefs. He replied “usually briefs”

# Under the headline “Tyrant’s in his pants” Saddam Hussein was pictured by The Sun in 2005 wearing Y-fronts

# Superman prefers red pants, but likes to wear them over lycra trousers

# David Beckham changes his underwear a number of times daily and never wears any pants twice

# When Marlon Brando was fitted in tight jeans for A Streetcar Named Desire (1951) he insisted on wearing no underwear

Stocks up 50% or more in a month

ERS
GNT
IPII
PEIX
RIV
TAYD

Stocks with extreme volume

ANDE
AVNR
DLIA
EFG
PXPL
RTK
SEN
SYD
XLV

4/12/2006

Breakouts

Not recommendations. Do your own due diligence.
AIRM
AMD
ANDE
APAT
ARD
AVM
AVNC
BTUI
CLEC
CLRK
CRDN
DCEL
DTLK
EZPW
GAP
HOC
HSR
HSTM
ICON
IIN
IPII
KRY
LMS
MGPI
MZT
NEU
OLAB
OPTC
PAAS
PJC
RNWK
SKX
SWIR
TKF
VRTX
WEBM

All high flying markets are breaking down


MUMBAI, APRIL 12: Indian shares fell nearly 2.74 percent on Wednesday as foreign portfolio investors sold shares of frontline software services and consumer goods companies.

The benchmark BSE index dropped as much as 2.74 percent to 11,343.14 points by 03:06 p.m. (0936 GMT) a loss of -319.41 points.

There are no trends in stocks


Stock up 538 % in one year.

Earning trends

The Zacks earning trend commentary is out and their are some good pointers to where the action is likely to be for couple of quarters.
The emerging star with regards to estimate revisions is the Materials sector. The strength there is mostly among the metals companies, largely in response to record, or at least decades old highs, in metals prices. However the strength is not limited to the metals alone, as chemical and paper companies are also showing significant strength. For the first quarter, the sector is now expected to post median growth of 9.1%, while a month ago it was only expected to show 4.6% growth.

Estimates have turned up for the Financial Services sector, with the strength concentrated in the brokers and investment banks.

The estimate revision weakness we have been seeing over the last few weeks for the Energy sector for 2006 is starting to show signs of spreading to 2007, although on balance things are still positive for next year. However, oil prices have rebounded sharply over the last week and it will be interesting to see if things turn positive again as a result. Much of the weakness appears to be tied to lower natural gas prices and higher oilfield costs (i.e. higher day rates for drilling rigs).

The Consumer sectors are starting to show some signs of strength in estimate revision, moving back towards a more neutral position after having faced relentless cuts for many months. The Utilities sector has turned dramatically lower, although the big drop in the mean estimate appears to be mostly due to the weakness at DYN. However, the cuts seem broad based, and may be tied to the recent rise in long term interest rates. The Health Care remains sickly in terms of estimate revisions for both years. Looking at the S&P as a whole, on balance things are positive for both 2006 and 2007, although revisions for 2007 continue to be stronger than for 2006.

Pay close attention to the estimate revisions, since they are a much better predictor of stock market performance than growth rates are. Overweight sectors with rising estimates and underweight those will falling estimates.

A rare sighting- Alcoa


Rarely do you see a major stock that too a part of Dow Jones Index component in the extreme volume scan. Yesterday Alcoa- AA made an appearance after an year. So keep an eye on this one.

Stocks up 50% or more in a month

ERS
FIZ
GNT
LNOP
PEIX
RIV
TAYD
VGZ

4/11/2006

Stocks with extreme volume

AA
AU
AVM
BDCO
BOL
CGR
GPRE
HOM
LBTYK
NXG
PEIX
PLUG
POR
RTK
TRIS

Will tomorrow be up day

Several mean reversion systems will trigger buy after today's action, so expect a positive day tomorrow.

Earnings play





In spite of broad based weakness , some earning plays continue to perform very well. Look at HOM, ARD, ERS, BDCO

Sell offs , resilience, and sector rotation

Intense selling like that of few weeks changes market dynamics in many ways. Some sectors get sold off and new sectors or stocks emerge to take on new leadership role. Also it separates men from boys. Stocks which are resilient to selling bounce back with force once selling pressure abates.
What happens during such sell off phase is pulling down of bids and as the sell off wears off there is thickening of the market at new level and the stocks in trend resume their journey.

Gerard Baker from across the pond

Here is a good analysis of what might be happening in American economy.
But fourth, and most important, the US economy may be in more robust shape than people had feared. Until recently, forward short-term interest rates were pointing to a significant slowdown in the US economy late this year, driven by a weakening housing market. But that looks less likely now. Markets are still expecting a softening, but its timing and severity are both now in considerable doubt.

And that may be the largest truth in the events of the last week. The reversion of the US interest rate curve to a more normal shape — upward sloping at a gentle gradient — far from presaging a disaster, may simply represent market recognition that the outlook is actually rather good for the American economy. When you’re growing, ceilings might just have to be broken.

Stocks with extreme volume

ANDE
AU
CGR
FEZ
GEL
GPOR
HMT
NXG
OLAB
PEIX
TF
VEGF
VRLK

Stocks up 50% or more in a month

BW
DXPE
ERS
FIZ
FNET
GLBC
GNT
LNOP
PEIX
VGZ
VIMC

4/10/2006

Last quarter Earnings reactions top 5







NEU, RACK, ATHR, IVAC, DXPE
Refer my earlier post on earnings play. Here are the charts of the top five performer since last quarter earnings from my universe of 200 stocks I track. You can see where the earnings came out and what happened since then.

Red Hat


Look at this earning play which has just broken out today. The earnings were announced a few week ago.

Guy de Blonay and market corrections



“Corrections are like appetising menus — they make me hungry. While a down market is sterile, you can always find stocks that are decorrelated from a falling market and make money. Superior absolute performance is sustainable in any market conditions, as long as you pick the right stocks.”

*
Mr Guy de Blonay Star Fund Manager

Tops or bottoms- it's a stock pickers market

Most of the weekend commentary is about doom and gloom. The bearish commentators are out in force talking about this is "the top". Does anyone knows for sure? In a up move there are several tops along the way.
What I am focused on is stock picking. In any market you will find stocks not correlated to overall market. They have their own momentum.
Also the most important season for stock picking is ahead of us- the earnings season. The earning season always brings out new surprises and as a consequence new stock ideas.
Stocks react to earnings immediately in cases where there is a surprise or stock is not followed by most of the analyst. This can set up rallies which last from 6 weeks to sometime years. On the short side also you will find stocks reacting up to 25% post earning.
Here are some stocks which reacted favorably in last earning season and rallied 25% or more since announcing earnings.
NEU, IVAC, RACK, ATHR, DXPE, NOIZ, PWEI, CLZR, TRID, NICH, SWSI, CHAP, BGC, AMKR, LCRD, TMI, IIG, CHIC, ICON, RTI, KNXA, GLG, HANS, TLAB, CMG
These trends are not only short lived but have legs. Many of these stocks go on to make triple digits in just few quarters.
Here is a list of stocks from earnings track pool from three quarters ago with triple digit growth in three quarters.
MEK, OYOG, TIE, HOM, ARTG, NTRI, HANS, IVAC, ERS, CECE,HOLX, GROW, ICTG, ATI, ARD, MERX, RAIL, GMXR, KNXA, NVDA, JOYG, GFX, ISRG, BITS, ARS, ZUMZ, TMTA, STMP, NDAQ, NETL, KNOT
The breakouts following earnings are some of the most powerful breakouts you will ever see. Some of these stocks just take off like rockets. The overall market direction does not matter. You can see for yourself what was the market doing during those earning seasons.
Obviously with over 7000 stocks reporting earnings, you need some systematic way to reduce the universe to track earnings on, you need your own database to track it and covert it in to proper system using risks management and stops. More about it later.
In the meanwhile don't fret over the bearish or bullish top or bottom callers too much. If you are keen on tops and bottom picking head here
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4/09/2006

How to deal with sudden mineral wealth

If you are sitting on oil or mineral wealth, here is a sound advise on what to do.
In five years, the Barnett Shale natural gas boom has turned mineral leasing and royalties into a multibillion-dollar business affecting thousands in North Texas. Residents have had landmen knock on their doors asking about mineral rights as they seek leases for the drilling companies they represent.

Investors on Wall Street are thinking it's getting too easy for you to find a new job

Most business sections make dull reading and do poor job of explaining the economic news, but I have always found The Mercury News business section future-60-Second Biz Break has some of the best headlines. Look at some of these recent ones:
  • Your brighter job prospects upset investors on Wall Street
  • Mortgage rates rise, but so do your Apple shares
  • It's a Windows world, but now your new Mac can live in it
Investors on Wall Street are thinking it's getting too easy for you to find a new job. Worried about the impact of a tightening labor market on the economy, they sold off stocks today, sending the Dow Jones industrial average down 96.46, or 0.9 percent, to 11,120.04, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index down 22.15, or 0.94 percent, to 2,339.02.

Wall Street's worries were prompted by the Labor Department's monthly report today that showed the nation's employers added 211,000 payroll jobs in March, better than the 190,000 economists had expected. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, dropped to 4.7 percent, its lowest point in 4 1/2 years.

Of course, stock investors are pleased enough that people are working, spending money and contributing to corporate profits. But it seems that some of you are asking for -- and even getting -- raises, pushing average hourly earnings up 0.2 percent and sparking inflation fears.

That has traders worried that the Federal Reserve might keep raising its key interest rate, maybe as high as 5 1/4 percent, which would result in higher borrowing costs for corporations and consumers.

4/08/2006

The white knight of the global economy

No two economic cycles are exactly same. Different factors come in to play making long term predictions based on past data more of an art than science. The length and strength of this economic cycle has surprised many. The Morgan Stanley analysis page has some analysis of factors behind this long cycle.
When economies face inflationary pressure, their central banks do not have to raise interest rates by as much as before, because the global financial system does half the job by pushing up their currencies, which essentially transforms inflationary pressure into current account deficit. The global financial system is maximizing global growth by spreading inflationary pressure across the world.

Globalization of production has decreased inflationary pressure, and globalization of finance has made current account deficits easy to finance. The combination is behind the longevity of the current cycle.

Breakouts to watch

CME, SUMT, TRGL, WEBM

Stocks with extreme volume

OLAB, OTD, NLY, CGR, MRB, PHIIK, SFNT

Stcks up 50% or more in a month

ANDE
BW
DXPE
ERS
FIZ
FNET
GLBC
GNT
IPII
IRIX
IVAC
LNOP
PEIX
SBSE

Top 100 stocks

ACTG AEM AIRM AKS ANAD ANDE ARGN ATHR ATI
ATPL AUY AVM BID BKHM BLDP BRCD BW BWNG
CCOI CENX CHAP DDE DIL DXPE EMIS ERS EXP
EZPW FIZ FRG FSTR FTEK GEHL GEMS GETI GGBM
GIGM GLBC GLG GNT GPI GRA GRZ HANS HBX
HL ICOC ICON IFSIA IIG IIIN IPSU IVAC JCTCF
KNOL KRY LIHRY LNUX LTBG LVLT MED MERX MGPI
MOSS MTEX MTW NCTY NEU NOIZ NVDA OLAB OMG
OMNI OPTC PEIX PLB QUIK RACK RMBS RNAI RTI
SLW SMSI SNTS STAN STRL SWB TAYD TIE TOMO
TWGP TWTC TWW USAP USG VGZ VIMC WTZ XRTX
ZOLT

4/07/2006

Top 10 sectors

  1. Copper
  2. Silver
  3. Gold
  4. Semi Memory Chips
  5. Aluminum
  6. Industrial metals and mining
  7. computer based systems
  8. Steel and iron
  9. Oil and gas drilling and exploration
  10. Gen Building Material
Many traders are obsessed with technology stock, largely a hangover from the last big bull market. The real opportunity in this 3 year move was in all non technology sectors. Here are the top 5 sectors by 3 year performance.
  1. Steel and iron
  2. Medical practitioners
  3. Industrial metals and minerals
  4. Oil and gas refining and marketing
  5. Independent oil and gas

20 Fast Moving ETF

PXJ, OIH, IIH, EWY, XSD, ADRA, PSI, FXI, IAU, EWA, GLD, IGW, EZA, IGE, PIV, BHH, PXE, VDE, EWZ, ITF

The big picture is for big birds

There will be a lot of talk today about big picture as the job number is released. The problem with big picture is data gets released everyday and as Wall Street's appetite for data keeps increasing more data gets released. To make meaning out of it and trade is one way to trade, if you have a big bankroll, or your are an elephant doing asset allocation kind of trend.
For an individual speculator it is much better to spend time sweating over a profitable trading system, or systems and let the risk management and stops take you out if big picture changes.
I keep an eye on big picture, but that is as I have said more to kill time and keep the brain occupied.

Breakouts with potential

CBRX, GYMB, TWGP, EGY, AVGN,SIL, CYMI, CBK, CTRN, FMCN

4/06/2006

25 fast moving stocks

ANDE
ATPL
BMD
DIL
FC
FIZ
FRG
GGBM
GIGM
GNT
GRZ
IVAC
KRY
LIHRY
LMLP
LNUX
LVLT
MOSS
MPWR
PEIX
PLB
SNTS
TAYD
VGZ
WTZ

Top 100 Stocks

AEM AIRM AKS ANAD ANDE
APFC ARGN ATHR ATI ATPL
AUY AVM BID BKHM BWNG
CCOI CENX CHAP DDE DIL
DXPE EMIS ERS EXP EXP.B
EZPW FC FIZ FRG FTEK
FTO GEHL GEMS GGBM GIGM
GLBC GNT GPI GRA GRZ
HANS HL ICOC IFSIA IIG
IIIN INTN IPSU IRIX IVAC
KNOL KRY LIHRY LMLP LNUX
LVLT MED MERX MOSS MTEX
MTW NCTY NEU NG NOIZ
NVDA OPTC OS PEIX PLB
PMCS PWEI QUIK RACK RBAK
RMBS RNAI RTI SCHN SIL
SLW SMDI SMSI SNTS SWC
TAYD TGE TIE TOMO TWGP
TWTC TWW USAP USG VGZ
VIMC VSL WTZ XRTX ZOLT

Stocks with extreme volume

BW
CGR
CUP
GEX
KBX
KRY
PUI
QCC
SPC
XSD

Stocks up 50%or more in a month

ANAD
ANDE
AZR
CHAP
DXPE
EDAP
ERS
FIZ
FNET
GGI
GLBC
IRIX
IVAC
LNOP
VIMC

Wizetrade

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How I use the stock with extreme volume signal

A reader has asked how to use these lists. It all depends on your trading horizon and risk appetite. Over next few weeks I will talk about how I use some of this and why.
One of my favorite signal is the extreme volume signal, because I have found significant success with it over the years. It also gives very few candidates to work with.
I primarily use it for long side only but it also can be used for short side. Where the signal appears is also a good indicator. Some of the actual trades will illustrate this.
ABB First signal 11/04/05 at the price of 7.97. Now this was followed by second signal within a month on 12/02/05 giving another opportunity to double up. Since the first signal stock is up 50%.
TIE If you look at TIE over its run so far, you will see this signal many times. Also it illustrates how sellers get washed out or short sellers get trapped. In TIE case the signal on short side was followed by more strength. Same is the case with HANS.
GOOG GOOG had its extreme volume day on 01/20/06 which precipitated its slide.
If you look at today's list , there is one interesting candidate- TRAD. Now it had this same signal a month ago. It went down from 16 to around 13, and yesterday again it showed up so I will be watching it carefully. Appears like some major short position was reversed.
This signal also is very useful on the rare occasion when it appears on large cap stocks. You can see it for yourself on WMT, XOM and GM in recent time.

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