- gnw
- lvs
- aixg
- vvus
- mgm
- mpel
- eljnpr
- ire
- hov
- cno
10/30/2009
10/29/2009
10/28/2009
10/27/2009
The Amazing Review
In a previous post, I mentioned one blog(and so far the only one I can recall) that actually resulted in $$$ in my pocket. That blog is the excellent Stock Bee run by Pradeep Bonde aka EasyGuru. If memory serves me correct, EasyGuru originally started out as a marketing/advertising consultant in India and also taught MBA level courses in marketing. At some point he took his earnings and began researching methods of speculating in financial markets.
10/26/2009
10/23/2009
AMZN the power of earning surprize
AMZN: Amazon.com Inc
A big earning surprize kicked off todays move. A 25% move till now for a 50 billion market cap company is really significant move. That too when market is down 1%.
Today morning I told someone that Amazon might go up 25% today. He said over his dead body. Now I have to find whether he is dead or alive!!!
Top 10 ETF by relative strength
- edc
- fas
- uym
- bgu
- tna
- agq
- ure
- uyg
- mvv
- uwm
Excluding the leveraged ETF
- ewz
- tur
- kol
- bkf
- epi
- slv
- thd
- gdx
- pin
- gxc
10/22/2009
Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low
Stocks up 50% plus in a month
Symbol | Price per share | price 20 days ago | %change month |
HTE | 9.35 | 6.10 | 53 |
DDRX | 29.88 | 18.40 | 62 |
BWS | 12.01 | 7.83 | 53 |
TSTC | 10.51 | 6.61 | 59 |
MEG | 11.37 | 7.57 | 50 |
ETM | 9.57 | 5.08 | 88 |
POWR | 10.17 | 6.36 | 60 |
ASPM | 12.01 | 7.64 | 57 |
SR | 8.43 | 5.42 | 56 |
ICTG | 16.04 | 10.56 | 52 |
SRI | 8.90 | 5.78 | 54 |
DEER | 12.80 | 8.50 | 51 |
NTL | 16.00 | 9.85 | 62 |
Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low
Symbol | price per share | price 260 days ago | % change from 260 days low |
LVS | 16.82 | 1.42 | 1077 |
GNW | 11.04 | 0.84 | 1200 |
TCK | 33.54 | 2.67 | 1152 |
HGSI | 20.41 | 0.48 | 4067 |
PALM | 15.83 | 1.42 | 1008 |
DNDN | 28.09 | 2.61 | 975 |
ODP | 7.52 | 0.59 | 1155 |
CAR | 10.96 | 0.36 | 2865 |
CNO | 6.24 | 0.26 | 2215 |
AXL | 7.02 | 0.29 | 2243 |
RINO | 23.74 | 2.00 | 1082 |
TRW | 18.71 | 1.52 | 1124 |
ARM | 9.43 | 0.35 | 2522 |
DTG | 25.64 | 0.62 | 3971 |
AIB | 7.62 | 0.76 | 891 |
DAN | 7.24 | 0.20 | 3352 |
CHRS | 5.80 | 0.48 | 1086 |
BZH | 5.31 | 0.25 | 1946 |
NG | 5.05 | 0.45 | 1000 |
PMI | 2.86 | 0.30 | 826 |
MOD | 9.39 | 0.83 | 1019 |
VCI | 20.16 | 1.11 | 1701 |
OFG | 13.69 | 0.91 | 1389 |
RODM | 5.13 | 0.19 | 2470 |
DDRX | 29.88 | 0.30 | 9542 |
COT | 8.02 | 0.66 | 1089 |
SRZ | 5.24 | 0.27 | 1775 |
LNET | 6.00 | 0.48 | 1127 |
PNX | 4.23 | 0.21 | 1827 |
PIR | 4.57 | 0.11 | 3717 |
OGXI | 32.06 | 2.23 | 1332 |
KOG | 2.51 | 0.18 | 1226 |
BZ | 6.06 | 0.24 | 2328 |
IRE | 15.87 | 0.72 | 2075 |
TRGT | 21.20 | 1.63 | 1193 |
SMRT | 11.05 | 0.99 | 1006 |
JAZZ | 7.81 | 0.55 | 1296 |
HSNI | 17.71 | 1.44 | 1122 |
LZB | 9.11 | 0.60 | 1395 |
QTM | 1.53 | 0.11 | 1183 |
SCSS | 5.78 | 0.19 | 2795 |
MIC | 9.43 | 0.79 | 1080 |
OMN | 7.57 | 0.40 | 1749 |
ETM | 9.57 | 0.55 | 1611 |
PLAB | 4.82 | 0.35 | 1242 |
LEE | 3.68 | 0.27 | 1218 |
UEC | 3.49 | 0.18 | 1742 |
FTWR | 1.49 | 0.07 | 1775 |
CVGI | 7.79 | 0.47 | 1525 |
FRZ | 5.12 | 0.44 | 1040 |
CATM | 9.20 | 0.65 | 1295 |
JRN | 4.48 | 0.40 | 995 |
EVC | 2.75 | 0.15 | 1625 |
KERX | 2.16 | 0.11 | 1708 |
LTXC | 1.53 | 0.09 | 1440 |
ATSG | 3.30 | 0.12 | 2446 |
KGN | 4.71 | 0.40 | 1068 |
CMRG | 3.08 | 0.26 | 1044 |
CKEC | 10.91 | 1.00 | 981 |
VVTV | 3.77 | 0.18 | 1889 |
CLZR | 3.24 | 0.27 | 1061 |
ROIAK | 1.59 | 0.07 | 1900 |
MERC | 2.76 | 0.27 | 889 |
SALM | 4.07 | 0.32 | 1136 |
VOCL | 1.56 | 0.15 | 881 |
IDT.C | 3.23 | 0.27 | 1057 |
If none of these showed up in your scans or trades in last few months, may be you need a different method.
Are you serious about your trading?
If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.
It is only for those who want to develop their own self sufficient trading method. It is not a stock picking service. It is service for you to build your own scans and trading method to have your own daily pick based on your method.
Be warned it will take you time to learn to trade. Learning to trade is difficult art and unless you are willing to spend months or years to perfect your strategy and also develop your mental edge you are unlikely to succeed in this game. Unless you understand that no site, no service, and no mentoring is going to work.
Why traders come to stockbee?
The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. You will see no advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site, no free trial and no tall claims of making you instantly wealthy, and yet the site attracts new members everyday. Members come from all walks of life and all kinds of trading size and trading styles.
You will see that many trading bloggers have been using my market timing methods, scans , stock ranking lists and chart templates. They have developed their own methods based on my methods. Many paid newsletter site recommend my site to their subscriber for learning about trading and market.
Over the years thousands of traders have been members and those who benefited from the learning talk about the site to others or talk about the methods used and that is how new members learn about the site.
What will I learn in the members site?
The members site will give you in depth understanding to develop your own trading method. The emphasis is on making you self sufficient and confident of your own trading method and style.
As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and risk management.
You will learn about Stockbee Trend Intensity Breakouts method that uses momentum based swing trading to find 3 to 5 day swing trades for 8 to 40% profit.
You will learn about Stockbee Episodic Pivots Breakout method which uses Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) to find stocks that had a game changing earnings and that are likely to rally for 3 months to 12 months.
You will learn about Stockbee Dollar Breakout method that uses momentum, range expansion and swing trading approach to find 5 to 40 dollar moves in high priced stocks.
You will learn about Stockbee Lemonade Strategy for 401k which uses market timing and momentum to invest in 401k. You will get weekly update on how I am using the strategy on our 401k to do allocation decision.
You will learn about Stockbee Market Monitor method for market timing using breadth. It allows you to avoid risky periods in market and allows you to identify market turns. It is used for 401k allocation decisions.
You will learn about Stockbee Double Trouble method to find stock with confirmed upside momentum using anchored momentum and that are likely to continue their up move.
You will learn about Stockbee Night Time is Right Time method to find news catalyst based trade ideas for short term day trade and swing trade.
You will learn about Investor's Business Daily’s IBD 200 list and how it can be used to find swing trading candidates for explosive moves.
You will learn about Telechart 2000 and how to use it effectively to scan for swing and position trade ideas and to set up your 401k strategy.
You will learn about Jesse Livermore Range Breakout, Darvas Box setup, and many other member shared methods.
You will learn how to set up your own scans, select right kind of stocks, how to set up stops, when to enter , when to exit, how much to risk, how to track your trades and all other details about trading. You will learn about developing your own methods and not relying on others for trade ideas.
The site has hundreds of videos and trading methods and variation of methods. Members help each other in developing the methods and share actively their research and finding. A collaborative spirit allows you to get input from others on your trading ideas or problems.
The site gives you opportunity to interact with some of the most successful traders and learn from them about their trading methods. It is a vibrant community with members from different background and experience willing to help each other. The emphasis is on continuous learning and up gradation of market knowledge and setup knowledge. The members range from hedge fund employees, financial advisers, active swing traders, investors and new traders.
If you are looking to develop your own trading strategy the membership site might be for you. You have to be willing to put in the effort to build your own method. There are no silver bullets offered on members site. Every method, every scan, every nuance is detailed and all possible help is offered to design your own method.
Do you have a trial?
If you are just looking for trial you are better off trying thousands of other trading sites that offer free trial or one month trial and offer you promise of riches.
It is for those who are ready beyond the trial phase and ready to put serious months or years of efforts to learn to trade on their own. It is for those who want to learn to find their own fish.
The free blog has all the details about the methods I trade and if you go through the posts highlighted in the sidebar you will learn about them.
How can I become a member?
To sign up go to www.stockbee.biz and follow the sign up process. The site uses Paypal for payment processing.
10/21/2009
Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low
1000 % plus
Symbol | price per share | price 260 days ago | % change from 260 days low |
LVS | 16.35 | 1.42 | 1044 |
TCK | 32.89 | 2.67 | 1128 |
GNW | 10.78 | 0.84 | 1169 |
HGSI | 19.08 | 0.48 | 3796 |
PALM | 15.48 | 1.42 | 983 |
DNDN | 28.26 | 2.61 | 979 |
ODP | 7.09 | 0.59 | 1083 |
TRW | 18.01 | 1.52 | 1078 |
DAN | 7.09 | 0.20 | 3281 |
AXL | 6.61 | 0.29 | 2107 |
CNO | 6.20 | 0.26 | 2200 |
CAR | 10.94 | 0.36 | 2859 |
DTG | 25.60 | 0.62 | 3965 |
ARM | 8.95 | 0.35 | 2389 |
RINO | 21.85 | 2.00 | 988 |
VCI | 19.88 | 1.11 | 1676 |
TRGT | 20.98 | 1.63 | 1180 |
CHRS | 5.37 | 0.48 | 998 |
NG | 5.28 | 0.45 | 1050 |
SRZ | 5.35 | 0.27 | 1814 |
PMI | 2.67 | 0.30 | 765 |
AIB | 7.78 | 0.76 | 912 |
BZH | 4.96 | 0.25 | 1812 |
OGXI | 30.31 | 2.23 | 1254 |
MOD | 9.63 | 0.83 | 1048 |
ETM | 9.40 | 0.55 | 1540 |
PNX | 4.21 | 0.21 | 1818 |
PIR | 4.33 | 0.11 | 3517 |
QTM | 1.47 | 0.11 | 1133 |
COT | 8.02 | 0.66 | 1099 |
BZ | 6.08 | 0.24 | 2336 |
DDRX | 28.17 | 0.30 | 8990 |
OFG | 12.03 | 0.91 | 1209 |
HSNI | 17.19 | 1.44 | 1086 |
IRE | 15.99 | 0.72 | 2092 |
JAZZ | 7.99 | 0.55 | 1329 |
SMRT | 11.23 | 0.99 | 1024 |
KOG | 2.47 | 0.18 | 1205 |
LZB | 8.90 | 0.60 | 1344 |
MIC | 9.51 | 0.79 | 1090 |
RODM | 5.89 | 0.19 | 2850 |
OMN | 7.54 | 0.40 | 1741 |
PLAB | 4.73 | 0.35 | 1217 |
LTXC | 1.56 | 0.09 | 1470 |
LEE | 3.68 | 0.27 | 1218 |
SCSS | 5.77 | 0.19 | 2790 |
FRZ | 5.29 | 0.44 | 1078 |
LNET | 6.88 | 0.48 | 1306 |
UEC | 3.66 | 0.18 | 1832 |
CVGI | 7.63 | 0.47 | 1492 |
CATM | 8.76 | 0.65 | 1229 |
JRN | 4.33 | 0.40 | 959 |
KERX | 2.12 | 0.11 | 1675 |
FTWR | 1.57 | 0.07 | 1875 |
ATSG | 3.22 | 0.12 | 2385 |
CKEC | 10.88 | 1.00 | 978 |
KGN | 4.90 | 0.40 | 1098 |
CMRG | 2.81 | 0.26 | 944 |
MERC | 2.73 | 0.27 | 879 |
EVC | 2.46 | 0.15 | 1444 |
ROIAK | 1.57 | 0.07 | 1875 |
VVTV | 3.67 | 0.18 | 1837 |
CLZR | 3.20 | 0.27 | 1046 |
SALM | 3.68 | 0.32 | 1018 |
VOCL | 1.58 | 0.15 | 894 |
IDT.C | 3.59 | 0.27 | 1186 |
Small moves dominate
Market Monitor Market monitor is market breadth based market timing tool | Current Readings Market is slowly rolling over. Big 500 plus negative day will indicate need for caution. However earnings continues to provide individual stock trades. | ||
Type | Indicator | Value | Comments |
Daily | # of stocks up >4% on high volume | 82 | 16 stocks with 100 million plus dollar volume.(M$V) |
Daily | # of stocks down>4% on high volume | 261 | 21 stocks with 100 million plus M$V Second negative breadth day in last 3 days. |
Primary | # of stocks up >25% in a quarter | 1737 | |
Primary | # of stocks down>25% in a quarter | 274 | |
Secondary | # of stocks up> 50% in a month | 6 | There are fewer big moves happening. |
Secondary | # of stocks down>50% in a month | 3 | |
Secondary | # of stocks up>25% in a month | 57 | This shows same thing. Follow through is a problem. |
Secondary | # of stocks down>25% in a month | 40 | |
Primary fast | # of stocks up>13% in 34 days | 1935 | |
Primary fast | # of stocks down>13% in 34 days | 615 | |
MMA+ | % of stocks in confirmed uptrend | 61 | |
MMA- | % of stocks in confirmed downtrend | 16 | |
10 day cumulative breadth ratio | #of stocks up> 4% in last 10 days/ #of stocks down>4% in last 10 days | 1.98 | |
10/19/2009
Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low
Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low
Symbol | Price per share | % change from 52week low | Price 260 days ago | Learnings |
LVS | 16.85 | 1079 | 1.42 | |
GNW | 11.23 | 1222 | 0.84 | |
HGSI | 19.96 | 3976 | 0.48 | |
TCK | 32.55 | 1115 | 2.67 | |
PALM | 16.09 | 1026 | 1.42 | |
CNO | 6.53 | 2322 | 0.26 | |
DNDN | 29.51 | 1027 | 2.61 | |
ODP | 7.48 | 1148 | 0.59 | |
TRGT | 23.29 | 1321 | 1.63 | |
CAR | 11.66 | 3054 | 0.36 | |
TRW | 16.85 | 1002 | 1.52 | |
AXL | 6.13 | 1947 | 0.29 | |
RINO | 25.14 | 1151 | 2.00 | |
DTG | 26.18 | 4057 | 0.62 | |
DAN | 6.75 | 3119 | 0.20 | |
PMI | 3.28 | 961 | 0.30 | |
JAZZ | 8.52 | 1423 | 0.55 | |
AIB | 7.94 | 932 | 0.76 | |
ARM | 8.59 | 2289 | 0.35 | |
SRZ | 5.16 | 1746 | 0.27 | |
NG | 5.66 | 1133 | 0.45 | |
VCI | 20.01 | 1688 | 1.11 | |
BZH | 5.62 | 2065 | 0.25 | |
PIR | 4.65 | 3783 | 0.11 | |
IRE | 16.29 | 2133 | 0.72 | |
CHRS | 5.55 | 1035 | 0.48 | |
PNX | 4.16 | 1795 | 0.21 | |
KOG | 2.65 | 1300 | 0.18 | |
OGXI | 34.34 | 1433 | 2.23 | |
COT | 8.39 | 1154 | 0.66 | |
HSNI | 17.06 | 1077 | 1.44 | |
ETM | 9.11 | 1529 | 0.55 | |
BZ | 6.23 | 2326 | 0.24 | |
OMN | 7.59 | 1754 | 0.40 | |
FTWR | 1.57 | 1875 | 0.07 | |
MIC | 9.64 | 1106 | 0.79 | |
LZB | 9.14 | 1400 | 0.60 | |
PLAB | 5.04 | 1303 | 0.35 | |
LEE | 3.89 | 1293 | 0.27 | |
MOD | 10.21 | 1117 | 0.83 | |
UEC | 3.63 | 1816 | 0.18 | |
SMRT | 11.73 | 1074 | 0.99 | |
OFG | 12.60 | 1271 | 0.91 | |
RODM | 5.31 | 2560 | 0.19 | |
CATM | 9.10 | 1280 | 0.65 | |
LTXC | 1.71 | 1620 | 0.09 | |
SCSS | 6.43 | 3120 | 0.19 | |
KERX | 2.24 | 1775 | 0.11 | |
CVGI | 7.75 | 1517 | 0.47 | |
QTM | 1.43 | 1100 | 0.11 | |
DDRX | 24.36 | 7761 | 0.30 | |
ROIAK | 1.66 | 1988 | 0.07 | |
CMRG | 2.89 | 974 | 0.26 | |
LNET | 7.23 | 1378 | 0.48 | |
KGN | 5.07 | 1139 | 0.40 | |
ATSG | 3.29 | 2438 | 0.12 | |
CKEC | 11.06 | 996 | 1.00 | |
FRZ | 5.14 | 1044 | 0.44 | |
EVC | 2.56 | 1506 | 0.15 | |
JRN | 4.43 | 983 | 0.40 | |
VVTV | 3.68 | 1842 | 0.18 | |
MERC | 3.20 | 1046 | 0.27 | |
CLZR | 3.27 | 1071 | 0.27 | |
SALM | 3.84 | 1067 | 0.32 | |
VOCL | 1.73 | 998 | 0.15 | |
IDT.C | 3.10 | 1011 | 0.27 | |
10/16/2009
Retail traders patron saint is Bulkowski
I get lot of emails from readers of blog asking about various scans and patterns , but that is not a very important part in profitable trading. The basic concept is important. Scans are tactical tools to achieve the end results. Tactics can be adopted to market or can be changed.
Last 20-30 years have seen heavy adoption of such science driven approach by traders and wall street houses. Quants have replaced the technical analysts and other old approaches, while retail traders continue to be still fascinated by the old approaches. Retail traders patron saint is Bulkowski and many have no understanding beyond chart patterns. In a way it is good. Market consists of all levels of people and for market to work you need both informed and uninformed traders.
Based on the academic and quant studies of markets few basic trading approaches have evolved.
Most commonly followed trading approaches are:
- Momentum: momentum methods are based on price behaviour. Within momentum basically two types of approaches have evolved :
- Trend following: in which you make a trade in the same direction of a defined price trend.
- Mean reversion: because ultimately all trend end and trend start from weakness, mean reversion traders try and buy anti trend. Mean reversion strategies have become very popular with very short duration traders. Some highly liquid instruments like index futures exhibit very high degree of mean reversion during certain periods and are popular with short term trades.
- Growth: Growth investors buy stocks of companies with rapidly growing earnings or sales. the key to success in growth investing is being early in identifying a growth stock. Growth in companies tend to trend and that is why growth strategies work. In short holding periods of 3 to 12 months growth investing tends to do well.
- Value : Value investors basically look at ratio of price to some value indicator like earnings, book value, cash flow, sales, etc. So value investors look for undervalued securities. Research has now identified factors which drive valuation and have shown over longer holding time frames value strategies do well.
- Balance Sheet quality: Lot of academic research is now focused on real earnings and real growth as against managed earnings or managed growth. The complexity in accounting practices have resulted in most companies resorting to having two books of accounts: one for investors and one for tax and legal purpose. So there has been a growing trend towards managing earnings and balance sheet to satisfy investors. This creates a problem of quality of earnings and in many cases such quality problems lead to later date implosion. Most banks and big companies like GE are poster children for such practices. So a growing body of academic research is focused on identifying factors which can warn investors of such hidden problems.
- Statistical patterns: With computing power becoming cheap and abundant there is a growth in statistics based techniques for trading. In such techniques past patterns are studied and then current situation is compared to it. So you will find lot of people predicting the next day move in market based on whether it was up 3 days in a row or down 3 days in a row.
If you talk to quants, most of the work they do is focused on these approaches. All these approaches have theoretical and logical and behavioral support. If you based your trading approach on proven approach you increase your probability of success. If basic approach is right tactics can be changed.
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