10/27/2009

Top 10 ETF by relative strength

  • ewz
  • tur
  • kol
  • thd
  • gxc
  • inp
  • hao
  • slv
  • epi
  • gdx

Pre Market Movers

  • slry
  • tmi
  • mvis
  • nlc
  • htz
  • fsbk
  • adg
  • podd
  • mdvn
  • uctt
  • cab
  • cog
  • lulu

The Amazing Review

In a previous post, I mentioned one blog(and so far the only one I can recall) that actually resulted in $$$ in my pocket. That blog is the excellent Stock Bee run by Pradeep Bonde aka EasyGuru. If memory serves me correct, EasyGuru originally started out as a marketing/advertising consultant in India and also taught MBA level courses in marketing. At some point he took his earnings and began researching methods of speculating in financial markets.

10/23/2009

AMZN the power of earning surprize

AMZN: Amazon.com Inc

A big earning surprize kicked off todays move. A 25% move till now for a 50 billion market cap company is really significant move. That too when market is down 1%.
Today morning I told someone that Amazon might go up 25% today. He said over his dead body. Now I have to find whether he is dead or alive!!!

Early morning big movers

  • amzn
  • msft
  • cof
  • bucy
  • nflx
  • algn
  • powi
  • scss
  • pwer
Lot of post earnings moves in the list.

Pre Market Movers

  • amzn
  • hway
  • syna
  • algn
  • sorl
  • txic
  • rcky
  • cof
  • ceo
  • rodm
  • msf
  • neuscss
  • mfn

Top 10 stock by relative strength

  1. etm
  2. useg
  3. ta
  4. mni
  5. kndi
  6. lee
  7. cvgi
  8. meg
  9. tstc
  10. trgt

Top 10 ETF by relative strength

  1. edc
  2. fas
  3. uym
  4. bgu
  5. tna
  6. agq
  7. ure
  8. uyg
  9. mvv
  10. uwm
Excluding the leveraged ETF
  1. ewz
  2. tur
  3. kol
  4. bkf
  5. epi
  6. slv
  7. thd
  8. gdx
  9. pin
  10. gxc

10/22/2009

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

Stocks up 50% plus in a month


SymbolPrice per shareprice 20 days ago%change month
HTE9.356.1053
DDRX29.8818.4062
BWS12.017.8353
TSTC10.516.6159
MEG11.377.5750
ETM9.575.0888
POWR10.176.3660
ASPM12.017.6457
SR8.435.4256
ICTG16.0410.5652
SRI8.905.7854
DEER12.808.5051
NTL16.009.8562










Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low


Symbolprice per shareprice 260 days ago% change from
260 days low
LVS16.821.421077
GNW11.040.841200
TCK33.542.671152
HGSI20.410.484067
PALM15.831.421008
DNDN28.092.61975
ODP7.520.591155
CAR10.960.362865
CNO6.240.262215
AXL7.020.292243
RINO23.742.001082
TRW18.711.521124
ARM9.430.352522
DTG25.640.623971
AIB7.620.76891
DAN7.240.203352
CHRS5.800.481086
BZH5.310.251946
NG5.050.451000
PMI2.860.30826
MOD9.390.831019
VCI20.161.111701
OFG13.690.911389
RODM5.130.192470
DDRX29.880.309542
COT8.020.661089
SRZ5.240.271775
LNET6.000.481127
PNX4.230.211827
PIR4.570.113717
OGXI32.062.231332
KOG2.510.181226
BZ6.060.242328
IRE15.870.722075
TRGT21.201.631193
SMRT11.050.991006
JAZZ7.810.551296
HSNI17.711.441122
LZB9.110.601395
QTM1.530.111183
SCSS5.780.192795
MIC9.430.791080
OMN7.570.401749
ETM9.570.551611
PLAB4.820.351242
LEE3.680.271218
UEC3.490.181742
FTWR1.490.071775
CVGI7.790.471525
FRZ5.120.441040
CATM9.200.651295
JRN4.480.40995
EVC2.750.151625
KERX2.160.111708
LTXC1.530.091440
ATSG3.300.122446
KGN4.710.401068
CMRG3.080.261044
CKEC10.911.00981
VVTV3.770.181889
CLZR3.240.271061
ROIAK1.590.071900
MERC2.760.27889
SALM4.070.321136
VOCL1.560.15881
IDT.C3.230.271057







If none of these showed up in your scans or trades in last few months, may be you need a different method.



Are you serious about your trading?

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.

It is only for those who want to develop their own self sufficient trading method. It is not a stock picking service. It is service for you to build your own scans and trading method to have your own daily pick based on your method.

Be warned it will take you time to learn to trade. Learning to trade is difficult art and unless you are willing to spend months or years to perfect your strategy and also develop your mental edge you are unlikely to succeed in this game. Unless you understand that no site, no service, and no mentoring is going to work.

Why traders come to stockbee?

The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. You will see no advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site, no free trial  and no tall claims of making you instantly wealthy, and yet the site attracts new  members everyday. Members come from all walks of life and all kinds of trading size and trading styles.

You will see that many trading bloggers have been using my market timing methods, scans , stock ranking lists and chart templates. They have developed their own methods based on my methods. Many paid newsletter site recommend my site to their subscriber for learning about trading and market.

Over the years thousands of traders have been members and those who benefited from the learning talk about the site to others or talk about the methods used and that is how new members learn about the site.





What will I learn in the members site?

The members site will give you in depth understanding to develop your own trading method. The emphasis is on making you self sufficient and confident of your own trading method and style.

As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and risk management.

You will learn about Stockbee Trend Intensity Breakouts method that uses momentum based swing trading to find 3 to 5 day swing trades for 8 to 40% profit.

You will learn about Stockbee Episodic Pivots Breakout method which uses Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) to find stocks that had a game changing earnings and that are likely to rally for 3 months to 12 months.

You will learn about  Stockbee Dollar Breakout method that uses momentum, range expansion and swing trading approach to find 5 to 40 dollar moves in high priced stocks.

You will learn about  Stockbee Lemonade Strategy for 401k which uses market timing and momentum to invest in 401k. You will get weekly update on how I am using the strategy on our 401k to do allocation decision.

You will learn about Stockbee Market Monitor method for market timing using breadth. It allows you to avoid risky periods in market and allows you to identify market turns. It is used for 401k allocation decisions.

You will learn about Stockbee Double Trouble method to find stock with confirmed upside momentum using anchored momentum and that are likely to continue their up move.

You will learn about Stockbee Night Time is Right Time method to find news catalyst based trade ideas for short term day trade and swing trade.

You will learn about Investor's Business Daily’s IBD 200 list and how it can be used to find swing trading candidates for explosive moves.

You will learn about Telechart 2000 and how to use it effectively to scan for swing and position trade ideas and to set up your 401k strategy.

You will learn about Jesse Livermore Range Breakout, Darvas Box setup, and many other member shared methods.

You will learn how to set up your own scans, select right kind of stocks, how to set up stops, when to enter , when to exit, how much to risk, how to track your trades and all other details about trading. You will learn about developing your own methods and not relying on others for trade ideas.

The site has hundreds of videos and trading methods and variation of methods. Members help each other in developing the methods and share actively their research and finding. A collaborative spirit allows you to get input from others on your trading ideas or problems.

The site gives you opportunity to interact with some of the most successful traders and learn from them about their trading methods. It is a vibrant community with members from different background and experience willing to help each other. The emphasis is on continuous learning and up gradation of market knowledge and setup knowledge. The members range from hedge fund employees, financial advisers, active swing traders, investors and new traders.

If you are looking to develop your own trading strategy the membership site might be for you. You have to be willing to put in the effort to build your own method. There are no silver bullets offered on members site. Every method, every scan, every nuance is detailed and all possible help is offered to design your own method.

Do you have a trial?

If you are just looking for trial you are better off trying thousands of other trading sites that offer free trial or one month trial and offer you promise of riches.

It is for those who are ready beyond the trial phase and ready to put serious months or years  of efforts to learn to trade on their own. It is for those who want to learn to find their own fish.

The free blog has all the details about the methods I trade and if you go through the posts highlighted in the sidebar you will learn about them.



How can I become a member?

To sign up go to www.stockbee.biz and follow the sign up process. The site uses Paypal for payment processing.

Pre Market Movers

  • HTE
  • SDXC
  • FFIV
  • NYT
  • LOGI
  • DEPO
  • ALXN
  • ALOY

Top 10 ETF by relative strength

  1. edc
  2. uym
  3. bgu
  4. agq
  5. fas
  6. tna
  7. mvv
  8. ure
  9. uyg
  10. uwm

10/21/2009

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

1000 % plus
Symbolprice per shareprice 260 days ago% change from
260 days low
LVS16.351.421044
TCK32.892.671128
GNW10.780.841169
HGSI19.080.483796
PALM15.481.42983
DNDN28.262.61979
ODP7.090.591083
TRW18.011.521078
DAN7.090.203281
AXL6.610.292107
CNO6.200.262200
CAR10.940.362859
DTG25.600.623965
ARM8.950.352389
RINO21.852.00988
VCI19.881.111676
TRGT20.981.631180
CHRS5.370.48998
NG5.280.451050
SRZ5.350.271814
PMI2.670.30765
AIB7.780.76912
BZH4.960.251812
OGXI30.312.231254
MOD9.630.831048
ETM9.400.551540
PNX4.210.211818
PIR4.330.113517
QTM1.470.111133
COT8.020.661099
BZ6.080.242336
DDRX28.170.308990
OFG12.030.911209
HSNI17.191.441086
IRE15.990.722092
JAZZ7.990.551329
SMRT11.230.991024
KOG2.470.181205
LZB8.900.601344
MIC9.510.791090
RODM5.890.192850
OMN7.540.401741
PLAB4.730.351217
LTXC1.560.091470
LEE3.680.271218
SCSS5.770.192790
FRZ5.290.441078
LNET6.880.481306
UEC3.660.181832
CVGI7.630.471492
CATM8.760.651229
JRN4.330.40959
KERX2.120.111675
FTWR1.570.071875
ATSG3.220.122385
CKEC10.881.00978
KGN4.900.401098
CMRG2.810.26944
MERC2.730.27879
EVC2.460.151444
ROIAK1.570.071875
VVTV3.670.181837
CLZR3.200.271046
SALM3.680.321018
VOCL1.580.15894
IDT.C3.590.271186








Small moves dominate



Market Monitor
Market monitor is market breadth
based market timing tool

Current Readings
Market is slowly rolling over.
Big 500 plus negative day will indicate need for caution.
However earnings continues to provide individual stock trades.




Type IndicatorValue Comments




Daily# of stocks up >4% on high volume8216 stocks with 100 million plus dollar volume.(M$V)



Daily# of stocks down>4% on high volume 261
21 stocks with 100 million plus M$V
Second negative breadth day in last 3 days.

Primary# of stocks up >25% in a quarter1737
Primary# of stocks down>25% in a quarter274
Secondary # of stocks up> 50% in a month6There are fewer big moves happening.
Secondary # of stocks down>50% in a month3
Secondary # of stocks up>25% in a month57This shows same thing. Follow through is a problem.
Secondary # of stocks down>25% in a month40
Primary
fast
# of stocks up>13% in 34 days1935
Primary
fast
# of stocks down>13% in 34 days615
MMA+% of stocks in confirmed uptrend61
MMA-% of stocks in confirmed downtrend 16
10 day
cumulative
breadth
ratio
#of stocks up> 4% in last 10 days/
#of stocks down>4% in last 10 days
1.98








10/19/2009

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low
SymbolPrice
per share
% change
from
52week low
Price 260
days ago
Learnings
LVS16.8510791.42
GNW11.2312220.84
HGSI19.9639760.48
TCK32.5511152.67
PALM16.0910261.42
CNO6.5323220.26
DNDN29.5110272.61
ODP7.4811480.59
TRGT23.2913211.63
CAR11.6630540.36
TRW16.8510021.52
AXL6.1319470.29
RINO25.1411512.00
DTG26.1840570.62
DAN6.7531190.20
PMI3.289610.30
JAZZ8.5214230.55
AIB7.949320.76
ARM8.5922890.35
SRZ5.1617460.27
NG5.6611330.45
VCI20.0116881.11
BZH5.6220650.25
PIR4.6537830.11
IRE16.2921330.72
CHRS5.5510350.48
PNX 4.1617950.21
KOG2.6513000.18
OGXI34.3414332.23
COT8.3911540.66
HSNI17.0610771.44
ETM9.1115290.55
BZ6.2323260.24
OMN7.5917540.40
FTWR1.5718750.07
MIC9.6411060.79
LZB9.1414000.60
PLAB5.0413030.35
LEE3.8912930.27
MOD10.2111170.83
UEC3.6318160.18
SMRT11.7310740.99
OFG12.6012710.91
RODM5.3125600.19
CATM9.1012800.65
LTXC1.7116200.09
SCSS6.4331200.19
KERX2.2417750.11
CVGI7.7515170.47
QTM1.4311000.11
DDRX24.3677610.30
ROIAK1.6619880.07
CMRG2.899740.26
LNET7.2313780.48
KGN5.0711390.40
ATSG3.2924380.12
CKEC11.069961.00
FRZ5.1410440.44
EVC2.5615060.15
JRN4.439830.40
VVTV3.6818420.18
MERC3.2010460.27
CLZR3.2710710.27
SALM3.8410670.32
VOCL1.739980.15
IDT.C3.1010110.27















10/16/2009

Retail traders patron saint is Bulkowski

I get lot of emails from readers of blog asking about various scans and patterns , but that is not a very important part in profitable trading. The basic concept is important. Scans are tactical tools to achieve the end results. Tactics can be adopted to market or can be changed.

In order to trade the markets successfully, you must have some overall understanding of what works in the market. In last 30 years or so there has been lot of progress in understanding the markets. Most of the advances in understanding the markets have been because of lot of academic professionals and quants studying the market as science. Such studies have contributed to our understanding of what factors drive stock performance in short term and long term.

Last 20-30 years have seen heavy adoption of such science driven approach by traders and wall street houses. Quants have replaced the technical analysts and other old approaches, while retail traders continue to be still fascinated by the old approaches. Retail traders patron saint is Bulkowski and many have no understanding beyond chart patterns. In a way it is good. Market consists of all levels of people and for market to work you need both informed and uninformed traders.

Based on the academic and quant studies of markets few basic trading approaches have evolved.

Most commonly followed trading approaches are:
  • Momentum: momentum methods are based on price behaviour. Within momentum basically two types of approaches have evolved :
    • Trend following: in which you make a trade in the same direction of a defined price trend.
    • Mean reversion: because ultimately all trend end and trend start from weakness, mean reversion traders try and buy anti trend. Mean reversion strategies have become very popular with very short duration traders. Some highly liquid instruments like index futures exhibit very high degree of mean reversion during certain periods and are popular with short term trades.
  • Growth: Growth investors buy stocks of companies with rapidly growing earnings or sales. the key to success in growth investing is being early in identifying a growth stock. Growth in companies tend to trend and that is why growth strategies work. In short holding periods of 3 to 12 months growth investing tends to do well.
  • Value : Value investors basically look at ratio of price to some value indicator like earnings, book value, cash flow, sales, etc. So value investors look for undervalued securities. Research has now identified factors which drive valuation and have shown over longer holding time frames value strategies do well.
  • Balance Sheet quality: Lot of academic research is now focused on real earnings and real growth as against managed earnings or managed growth. The complexity in accounting practices have resulted in most companies resorting to having two books of accounts: one for investors and one for tax and legal purpose. So there has been a growing trend towards managing earnings and balance sheet to satisfy investors. This creates a problem of quality of earnings and in many cases such quality problems lead to later date implosion. Most banks and big companies like GE are poster children for such practices. So a growing body of academic research is focused on identifying factors which can warn investors of such hidden problems.
  • Statistical patterns: With computing power becoming cheap and abundant there is a growth in statistics based techniques for trading. In such techniques past patterns are studied and then current situation is compared to it. So you will find lot of people predicting the next day move in market based on whether it was up 3 days in a row or down 3 days in a row.

If you talk to quants, most of the work they do is focused on these approaches. All these approaches have theoretical and logical and behavioral support. If you based your trading approach on proven approach you increase your probability of success. If basic approach is right tactics can be changed.