8/31/2017

How to understand stock moves and profit from them.

One thing that can improve your trading

In order to be successful in trading we must know how stocks move on different time frames.
If we know that then we can design methods to exploit those moves.
Simplest way to understand nature of stock moves is to

everyday

study stocks that are making big moves.
Study these moves to see if your current scans and processes are really working or not.
This takes only 15 minutes daily.
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Daily study past winners and losers on various time frames and note down your observations.
If you can develop this habit you will see steady improvement in your understanding of market moves and it will be based on your own efforts.

What should you study for short term swing trading

Study stocks up 8% plus in last 5 days c/c5>=1.08 and c>=3 and minv3.1>=100000
Study stocks down 8% plus in last 5 days c/c5<=.92 and c>=3 and minv3.1>=100000
Study stocks up 5 dollar plus in last five days c-c5>=5 and c>=3 and minv3.1>=100000
Study stocks down 5 dollar plus in last five days c5-c>=5 and c>=3 and minv3.1>=100000
Those are the kind of stock moves that swing traders are interested in. By studying them daily you will understand what works and what to look for in momentum burst swing moves. Where to put stop. Where to exit. What to look for on day one of move.
If you do this for weeks and months or years you will be expert in 8% plus moves. When you study these moves over and over again you start finding small nuances to look for in successful breakouts.
A study like this will make you question some of your own guidelines for selecting trades or will make you question commonly touted market rules based on your own study.
One of the best reason for doing this is it is based on actual past winners in immediate time frame. It gives you lot of information on what is working currently.
Most days it takes only 10 to 15 minutes to do this. Some days while going through them you find something and then it can trigger a deeper study.

What should you study for longer term swing trading

Study stocks up 100% plus in last 1 year c/c252>=2 and c>=3 and minv3.1>=100000
Study stocks down 50% plus in last 1 year c/c252<=.5 and c>=3 and minv3.1>=100000
Study stocks ranked in top 25 by MDT ranking c/avgc126 rank by it and study top 25 or 100
Study stocks ranked in bottom 25 by MDT ranking c/avgc126 rank and study bottom 25
Study stocks ranked in top and bottom 25 by YTD moves
Longer term moves have different characteristics and studying them will help you find buy points as the move progresses.
A study like this will also help you debunk lot of myths like should you only buy stocks near 52 week low or high, with only low floats, or only with IBD EPS ratings above 85 , or with growth or value characteristics, or IPO in last 2 or 3 years only and so on and on.
Get in to habit of building your own market and setup. No one else can do these exercises for you.
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As everyone knows if you want gains of an exercise you need to do it yourself and not outsource it to others.

8/17/2017

Bullish Anticipation Setups for August 17, 2017


IRBT

VRTX

FB

EDU

CGNX

SOHU

EXAS

HAIN

ILMN

STMP

BLD

TDY

BIVV

GRUB

AJRD

ETFC

ARCH

CNA

TSLA

WIT

HPQ

CMTA

ESIO

BTU

SGMS

MRTX

RCII

FMC

ITRI

CRAY

VZ

XENT

TNET

CAT

BCO

UBNT


What to look for in good anticipation setup

  • series of narrow range days in pullback/consolidation
  • orderly pullback with no 4% b/d during the pullback or consolidation
  • low volume pullback
  • low volatility during pullback
  • linear first leg if looking as continuation setup
  • Stock should go up smoothly and not in volatile manner
  • 3 to 10 days consolidation/pullback
  • not up 3 days in a row

8/16/2017

Bullish Anticipation Setups for August 16, 2017

AJRD MRTX BIDU EXEL JUNO JKS WLK UNH CRAY WIT LPLA FB STMP HAIN NBIX ITRI CAT ROL CLF RCI HPQ HII TSLA SOHU ILMN KMX SCHN SGMS


What to look for in good anticipation setup

  • series of narrow range days in pullback/consolidation
  • orderly pullback with no 4% b/d during the pullback or consolidation
  • low volume pullback
  • low volatility during pullback
  • linear first leg if looking as continuation setup
  • Stock should go up smoothly and not in volatile manner
  • 3 to 10 days consolidation/pullback
  • not up 3 days in a row

8/15/2017

Bullish Anticipation Setups for August 15, 2017


AVAV
AJRD
ENTL
HAIN
WLK
MRTX
SGMS
RCI
STZ

What to look for in good anticipation setup

  • series of narrow range days in pullback/consolidation
  • orderly pullback with no 4% b/d during the pullback or consolidation
  • low volume pullback
  • low volatility during pullback
  • linear first leg if looking as continuation setup
  • Stock should go up smoothly and not in volatile manner
  • 3 to 10 days consolidation/pullback
  • not up 3 days in a row
This video explains how to find them:

8/09/2017

Bullish Anticipation setups for August 9, 2017

Market was attempting a breakout to new high in S&P yesterday and things were going good till late afternoon, till a Korean war threat  Trump twitt reversed the market.

The damage was limited to indexes, but number of good breakouts quickly faded.

Here are stocks on my watchlist as of now:

WUBA
PETS
ESS
OLED
PKG
MRTX
LPSN
CLGX
HCSG
TSS
TRQ
RCI
DHI
TDC
TROX
NRG

8/08/2017

Bullish Anticipation setups for August 08, 2017

Watching following stocks for entries in next few days

ESS
TSS
RCI
EVR
NFLX
BIDU
LPSN
PETS
NRG

What to look for in good anticipation setup

  • series of narrow range days in pullback/consolidation
  • orderly pullback with no 4% b/d during the pullback or consolidation
  • low volume pullback
  • low volatility during pullback
  • linear first leg if looking as continuation setup
  • Stock should go up smoothly and not in volatile manner
  • 3 to 10 days consolidation/pullback
  • not up 3 days in a row