3/31/2015

Stockbee 50 : Anticipation Setups for Mar 31, 2015


Anticipating a breakout helps you get an early entry and can improve your per trade profits. It can also lower your risk as your stop is close. It can help you profit from even smaller moves.
Anticipation requires more pre planning and effort than buying a breakout. You need a process flow to do that. The process should be done daily and followed consistently.
CAPN
CORT
are the two anticipation candidates from the Stockbee 50 list.  
If you are serious about making money swing trading go through all the posts highlighted on the sidebar. For motivated traders they provide complete details about actual actionable setups that have made me millions over 14 years.
Some of the other stocks on my list
CORT PNK STMP MVNR MWW COT


Breakout Setups from Mar 30, 2015



TWOU was highlighted as anticipation candidate last week. It had a breakout yesterday. It went up 6.49% in one day. It is a very good setup with linear first leg, series of narrow range days on low volume and breakout on above average volume.

3/30/2015

Stockbee 50 : New entrants in the week starting on Mar 30, 2015



The Stockbee 50 is a list of fastest moving stocks in the market. These are stocks with above average momentum.
Stocks with good momentum keep going up. If you are serious about making money, it is a good idea to keep an eye on the stocks in the Stockbee 50 list.
Momentum ranking is relative and so stocks that gain momentum move up the rank and those that lose momentum drop off.
There 23 new entries in the Stockbee 50 list this week. The new entries at some point will setup again. Once they are ready, they can be entered as an anticipation trade or as a breakout trade.
There are 19 that dropped from the list this week. It is also a good idea to keep an eye on these as well as they might setup again for a second leg up.

List of new entrants
List of stocks dropping rank
CDXS
JOEZ
BGMD
QUNR
KRFT
GMAN
CANF
OLED
FWM
ABMD
HRTX
CTRP
TA
GNCA
KFX
RALY
FRSH
SEED
OTIV
ANAD
VBLT
ORMP
HCHC
VSLR
VSTM
BDE
INVT
ZAGG
FOLD
HZNP
GGAL
BFR
CLDX
XON
TSRO
TLYS
NBIX
CLDN
AST
LBIO
CEMP
REPH

Biotech stocks have witnessed lot of selling in recent days, that is reflected in the list.

3/27/2015

Anticipation Setup for Mar 27, 2015

JRN SSP TWOU TTMI THOR

Are some of the stocks today on my watchlist.
What to look for in good anticipation setup
  • series of narrow range days in pullback/consolidation
  • orderly pullback with no 4% b/d during the pullback or consolidation
  • low volume pullback
  • low volatility during pullback
  • linear first leg if looking as continuation setup
  • Stock should go up smoothly and not in volatile manner
  • 3 to 10 days consolidation/pullback
  • not up 3 days in a row

TWOU is a good example of anticipation setup. The stock has series of narrow range days on low volume.


Because of market weakness I am careful on taking any long position.

Some of the short anticipation setups I am watching are :

HSY QIHU SXL EMES GPRO

3/26/2015

Not surprised by the market weakness

Last Friday I had posted a caution on the blog and yesterday we got a big down day. You can go back and see that post.

When number of stocks up 50% in a month goes up 20 plus. (as measured by using Telechart and using liquidity and price filter)

Exact scan used is:

 C20 >= 5 AND (AVGC20 * AVGV20) >= 250000 AND 100 * (C - C20) / C20 >= 50





When you get elevated readings like that you have to be cautious and protect profit.

As market is now in correction the number of anticipation setups have decreased but as soon as selling stops those still showing good action bounce back hard.

Anticipation Setup for Mar 26, 2015


SSP JRN TWOU
Are some of the stocks today on my watchlist.




All three stocks are holding up very well considering the market conditions. When the market turns, the chances of these stocks breaking out are high if they continue to act like these.

Meanwhile I am also looking at bearish anticipation setups. The bearish anticipation setups use similar logic to bullish anticipation. Bearish anticipation setups work best in bearish market. But we have not had a sustained bearish phase for many months. Most pullbacks have been very shallow and of few days in duration.


3/25/2015

Anticipation Setup for Mar 25, 2015


MWW TTMI RDUS HII CYTK ARRY QLGC AMKR VRX RUBI
Are some of the stocks today on my watchlist.
What to look for in good anticipation setup
  • series of narrow range days in pullback/consolidation
  • orderly pullback with no 4% b/d during the pullback or consolidation
  • low volume pullback
  • low volatility during pullback
  • linear first leg if looking as continuation setup
  • Stock should go up smoothly and not in volatile manner
  • 3 to 10 days consolidation/pullback
  • not up 3 days in a row
CYTK, ARRY are two very good example of anticipation setup. Both the stocks have been consolidating for more than a month on low volume.






The Stockbee 50 is a list of stocks with above average momentum. You can use the list for anticipation breakout or for breakout trades. Taking breakout trades is one way of making money while keeping drawdowns and per trade risk low.
Focusing on Stockbee 50 list can offer you hundreds of profit making opportunities in a year once you learn how to use the list daily.
This is how a breakout should look like. AMWD was highlighted couple of times last week on this blog. It had breakout 2 days ago and is already up 6% from that breakout point.
If you are really serious about trading and making money then you want to find stocks like AMWD and PFNX daily. They make explosive moves. All you need to setup a process to find and trade them.

PFNX : A 20% Move in a day Momentum Burst Trade Example

On Monday PFNX was one of the stocks highlighted as anticipation setup from the Stockbee 50 list. Yesterday it had a breakout and went up 20% plus intraday.

This is how the stock looked when highlighted as anticipation setup.



Stock had first up leg followed by orderly consolidation. Trend intensity was above 105 indicating stock was in confirmed momentum phase. Stock was ranked in Top 25 on Stockbee 50 indicating it has best of momentum.

Stock had a 17 days sideways consolidation where volume was low compared to previous breakout phase.


I was watching the stock for over 2 weeks for entry and had alert set. Once alert triggered bought 5000 shares. In few hours stock went up 20% plus. It was time to lock in part of the gains. Closed 75% of the position for around 7000 dollar profit. Rest of the position now has profit protection stop. If stop hit it will still end up making around 9000 profit.

If you just focus on stocks in the Stockbee 50 list and especially stocks highlighted as Anticipation setups, you can find trades like this on regular basis. With just 50 stocks to focus on you can do good job of anticipation and quick entry.

Stocks with established momentum move in sharp 3 to 5 days momentum burst where they make 8 to 20% move or 5 to 50 dollar move if high priced. For swing traders that can provide a good edge and way to find explosive moves.

The stockbee 50 list is published daily and Anticipation candidates are highlighted daily for the financial benefit of Stockbee blog readers.

3/24/2015

Stockbee 50: Anticipation Setups for March 24, 2015


The Stockbee 50 is a list of stocks with above average momentum. You can use the list for anticipation breakout or for breakout trades.
Anticipation requires more pre planning and effort than buying a breakout. You need a process flow to do that. The process should be done daily and followed consistently. Anticipating a breakout and entering with very close stop can give you good risk reward setup.
PFNX
OCUL
from the Stockbee 50 list is looking good as an anticipation candidate.
If you are serious about making money swing trading the Stockbee 50 offers you a powerful list of momentum stocks to focus on. If you want more candidates expand your list to Top 200 ranked stocks by momentum.
Some other stocks I am watching are
OCUL RIGL FWM VRX GLOB RUBI TTMI

The biotech and drug stocks are rolling over and the market is showing signs of short term pullback.

3/23/2015

Top 200 stocks by momentum

Momentum is rate of change or speed at which a stock is moving up or down. The following stocks are the top 200 stocks by six month momentum. AXN is ranked number one and slxp ranked number 200.

AXN CRMD REPH ESPR ZIOP EGRX AMRN ADXS CYTX AMPE CEMP MVIS RTRX NPTN OCUL CTSO MELA ASPX LBIO ATHX SRNE CORT AST BLUE CNDO PRTA PAM CLDN QURE PCYC ARQL PFNX NBIX TGS ANTH TLYS FSL TSRO HPTX XON ISLE ANAC EBIX DRRX CLDX BFR GGAL HZNP FOLD ZAGG CPRX MRTX CRIS NXTD ITCI AMOT ARRY EXEL ATOS CBM NLNK RIGL NVAX ABMD BMA RDUS INTL SYN CVM CANF FRSH ICPT HCHC LJPC AMAG PNK NSP NVGN TXMD SCMP RTI SWKS LEAF EPRS FWM MSO OLED GTN WETF BNFT IMRS CRUS FOMX OVAS SIGM INSM ITG BAA FLWS AMBA OPK IPXL DY NXPI TROV BGMD DEPO LGND TA TSEM FLDM RLYP KITE VSTM CYTK RGEN SAGE CVTI BMRN SGYP PTCT MTSI RCPT LCI MVNR AVEO CNC AGEN DVAX APRI ATRO TRVN VLRS PTLA VRX PAYC BIIB AFMD COLM JBLU USAT HSP CRESY JRN ALDR CYRN HOTR AVGO INCY BTX PARR UVE INSY URBN GIMO GERN SERV MWW BLOX ELX RGDO IRS MRGE SSP TGTX OREX PSUN NWBO GSAT ORA ELLI INFN ONCY QUNR MNK CISG ANIP OA CLVS GENE AMC MANH LLNW SYNC BSFT ARIA SGMO AFFX BBSI OWW ONNN SKYW MIK MSCC SUPN HASI IPGP BURL TREE SLXP

Stocks with established momentum are used by many swing traders to find short term long or short opportunities.

For swing trading stocks in the above list that are in consolidation or pullback mode are of interest. They can breakout and make 8 to 20% move in just 3 to 5 days.

3/20/2015

What do 5 day winners have in common

As a swing trader I am mostly interested in stock that is likely to immediately move for next 3 to 5 days after entry and will make 8 to 20% move in 3 to 5 days or 5 to 20 dollar move in 3 to 5 days.

These kind of moves are short term momentum burst moves that happen often in bull markets. In order to become good at trading them you need to understand how they happen and nature of those moves.

Following stocks were up either 8% plus or 5 dollar plus in last  days.


ESPR REPH ASPX CEMP AMPE LBIO CORT AST RTRX NPTN CTSO SRNE BLUE NBIX PAM FOLD ANAC EBIX BFR HPTX TLYS GGAL NLNK BMA ZAGG FRSH TROV SIGM ITCI FLXN RGEN OLED KITE TXMD PAYC CANF MSO SWKS ITG OREX BMRN AFMD FLDM TA SGMO MGNX CNC TGTX ALDR INCY NXPI ISIS ARIA ANIP MTSI VRX TRVN AVGO SAGE TTPH MSCC MNK GEVA IRS PARR ANW VSTM RAD UTHR BDE ALNY TSRA MDVN HUM CSIQ PRSC RARE PCTY TSO ABC BIIB GWPH ZSPH SHLD CI QADA WRLD AET QUNR TEO REGN NERV AAL NAT XNCR ANTM WNR MDCO GIII AKRX UNH KND TSL ACT EW GNCA ULTA BGC DDS UAM ORLY VRTX CKEC ARNA MTD SCHL PTX XNPT AZO JMP PBYI CELG RJET ROL JKS SBGI SHPG MTN ESS ANN FIVN JAZZ MEG AAVL KNL RMTI AMGN ICE FRT IMPV ENR TMO HA MSTR SEM ILMN TKMR MGM ADS AXDX SPG IMOS PSA ALXN VDSI INO CMG SSTK EGHT ISRG PTC NNBR RGLD VEEV SAFM HLF PXD AKBA CNAT GWW KPTI BIDU TTOO LVS GES AG SODA BONT WAC RAVN TOO CSLT JMEI BIND WLB USLV TTI ECOM OPWR BAK EHTH TCON AAC ATRA PN W ONCE NVRO BLCM VSLR INOV JUNO ONDK SFS DBVT TRIL QRVO

Study them to see what actually works in market.

Two recent trades show the nature of these moves.


Four days ago I bought 5000 shares of QRVO and sold it in 3 days for 5 dollar plus profit. Can the stock go up after this possible but as swing trader I am happy with 25k profit in few days.


Four days ago I bought 3000 shares of  AMGN now they are already up 7 dollar plus giving me around 20000 dollar profits , which I am protecting with tight stop.

Not every trade works like this but over the year 50% plus working is enough as long as you can cut losses on one that does not work.

In order to find stocks like these all that you need to do is stock having range expansion after 3 to 5 days of no range expansion.

For short term swing trading range expansion is the most powerful signal. That you can verify for yourself by going through the above list of stocks and studying their recent moves.

The things that you will learn by doing that will be self evident knowledge unlike things you read in books or on blogs or newsletters. It is a knowledge about setup which you will develop on your own by your own efforts and will be suitable for current market conditions.  

It is very important to develop your own knowledge about how market works by studying winners everyday. Cumulatively it builds up and in few months you will have even better grasp of the setup.  This kind of effort can not substitute for any high priced course or newsletter. 

If you want to make millions trading just do simple 30 minute exercise of studying past winners. I study 5 day , 1 month , six month and one year winners everyday.


Anticipation Setup for Mar 20, 2015

Caution: Our most trusted indication, Number of stocks up 50% in a month, is now at 20. This has lead to corrections in next few days or weeks. You can see it for yourself in the MM data going back few years.


GIMO RDUS TTMI IPGP AMWD DGI AMKR EPAM ONNN JACK FWM
Are some of the stocks today on my watchlist.
What to look for in good anticipation setup
  • series of narrow range days in pullback/consolidation
  • orderly pullback with no 4% b/d during the pullback or consolidation
  • low volume pullback
  • low volatility during pullback
  • linear first leg if looking as continuation setup
  • Stock should go up smoothly and not in volatile manner
  • 3 to 10 days consolidation/pullback
  • not up 3 days in a row
IPGP, AMWD are two good example of anticipation setup.





The biotech stocks are currently in melt up phase and making some big moves.

3/19/2015

If you want to be millionaire study millionaire. Studying trailer trash would not get you there.

Everyday Study the winners and losers in market for your trading time frame. For a swing trader looking for 3 to 5 days 5 to 20% moves

Run two scans and study everyday and take extensive notes. Do for months , years...

c/c5>=1.08 or c-c5>5 and minv3.1>100000 and c>=5

c/c5<.92 or c5-c>5 and minv3.1>100000 and c>=5

Also go through every stock up 25% in month and down 25% in a month. 

Stock up 25% in month 

C20 >= 5 AND (AVGC20 * AVGV20) >= 250000 AND 100 * (C - C20) / C20 >= 25

Stocks down 25% in a month

C20 >= 5 AND (AVGC20 * AVGV20) >= 250000 AND 100 * (C - C20) / C20 <= ( - 25)

Answers to lot of our trading questions are in them.

Should I only focus on 52 week high

Should I only buy SD50

Should I only focus on IBD stocks

Should I only buy high short interest stocks

How do momentum move start

What happens on first day of move

What happens at end of the move

Where should stop be for this kind of move

If you want to be millionaire study millionaire. Studying trailer trash would not get you there.

Same way daily set aside 30 minutes for study of winners and losers.

Market change subtly. Studying winners will help you in touch with what is currently working in the market . That is reality based training . It constantly helps you align your strategies to what works in the market.

Lot of things that used to work or people claim to work might have stopped working or not suitable for current market conditions. Instead of blaming the markets , algos, Fed or just wishing for better conditions, it is best to trade what works in current conditions. 

Efforts like these help you develop new setups and change your tactics. 

Stockbee 50: Anticipation Setups for March 19, 2015


The Stockbee 50 is a list of stocks with above average momentum. You can use the list for anticipation breakout or for breakout trades.
Anticipation requires more pre planning and effort than buying a breakout. You need a process flow to do that. The process should be done daily and followed consistently. Anticipating a breakout and entering with very close stop can give you good risk reward setup.
PFNX
from the Stockbee 50 list is looking good as an anticipation candidate.
If you are serious about making money swing trading the Stockbee 50 offers you a powerful list of momentum stocks to focus on. If you want more candidates expand your list to Top 200 ranked stocks by momentum

My larger anticipation list has more candidates I am watching

RDUS
FWM
GIMO
IPGP
ONNN
COT
EPAM
AMWD
TTMI
MNST
JACK
AMKR
PAHC
ICLR
DGI
MLM
SCOR
FRGI

PRAH

Top 200 Stocks by momentum

Stocks with momentum is where the money is flowing in the market. Ultimately momentum tells you what is working in the market . It is not style dependent , sometime growth stocks can have momentum , sometime value stocks can have momentum , sometime junk stocks have momentum.

On a daily basis I publish the list of 50 stocks by momentum. It tells you where your focus should be and also studying the patterns and factors that are leading to big moves. Currently you will see biotech and healthcare are best performing stocks in market.



AXN CRMD ESPR REPH EGRX ZIOP AMRN CBMG MVIS CYTX CEMP MELA AST ASPX ADXS AMPE OCUL NPTN CTSO JOB ATHX ARQL SRNE LBIO BLUE ANTH PCYC RTRX NBIX CORT TSRO ZFGN CRIS ANAC DRNA PAM TGS BFR FSL PFNX EBIX HRTX XON CLDX QURE DRRX GGAL HZNP HPTX RIGL CPRX CLDN ARRY ABMD BMA ISLE NVAX RDUS CVM FMI BGMD RTI OLED EXEL NSP NVGN FWM MSO SCMP AMAG CBM NLNK PNK INTL ATOS CNDO TROV EPRS IPXL ZAGG ICPT EDN DEPO FLWS LEAF HALO GTN IMKTA ITG PTCT CRUS SIGM INSM OPK TSEM BMRN LLNW RGEN RLYP PAYC FLDM GERN SWKS TA SIGA ATRO CYTK LCI OREX SYN SYNC CLVS CVTI AVEO NXPI ITCI RCPT PTLA NWBO CNC DVAX VRX HSP TLYS GIMO BNFT TRVN DY RMGN COLM MVNR AGEN WETF JBLU JRN RGDO AMBA INFN BLOX SERV ELX INSY BDE MRGE VLRS SKYW GENE HOTR MNK SSP TREE MTSI AVGO BBSI AFFX LPCN UVE MWW OWW ALDR ELLI LGND MGNX SAGE IIVI INCY ORA AMC CFRX CANF OTIC BSFT OA ARIA IPGP ANW GEVA OVAS SLXP ALGT QLYS TGTX DYAX SNE CRESY MTSN ONNN LXFT TWOU BURL SUPN URBN TXMD PETX ARTX USAT PRTA BSX PRSC

The stocks are ranked by six month momentum with AXN ranked number 1 and PRSC ranked 200. 

For swing traders these stocks offer opportunities in terms of pullback and continuation setups. Eventually same set of stocks also become good short candidates once they peak. 


3/18/2015

Anticipation Setup for Mar 18, 2015



TWTR AMWD BLOX FEYE FSLR RUBI HGR MLM DGI AVG ARRY CYTK MHK
Are some of the stocks today on my watchlist.
What to look for in good anticipation setup
  • series of narrow range days in pullback/consolidation
  • orderly pullback with no 4% b/d during the pullback or consolidation
  • low volume pullback
  • low volatility during pullback
  • linear first leg if looking as continuation setup
  • Stock should go up smoothly and not in volatile manner
  • 3 to 10 days consolidation/pullback
  • not up 3 days in a row
DGI is a good example of anticipation setup.

ARRY looks very good Stockbee 50 list.

All eyes are on Fed today. Big moves expected after FOMC announcement at 2 pm.