6/18/2008

How to find stocks which makes a big move



Some events have a propensity to lead to big moves in stocks. If you regularly study carefully the stocks making 100 plus moves in a year, you will find in 80-90% of the cases there was a event or series of events at the beginning of their big move. New information leads to big moves. If the new information or catalyst is powerful enough it leads to long duration rally. In most cases the information about the catalyst is in public domain or if you make some effort, you can find the reason for the big moves.

In the first volume of Market Wizard Paul Tudor Jones says:

We have tested every system under the sun and amazingly, we have found one that actually works well. It is a very good system, but for obvious reasons, I can't tell you much more about it.
The basic premise of the system is that market move sharply, when they move. If there is a sudden range expansion in a market that has been trading narrowly, human nature is to try to fade that price move. When you get a range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion.



Not every one day big move will result in long rally, but if a big move is accompanied with a clear , identifiable catalyst, it is the lowest risk entry in a stock likely to make a major move. Big moves after a event like earning also reduces our event risk. It gives us clear reason why to buy this stock and helps us form a judgment on how much this move is likely to last. It also indicates the length of catalyst. e.g. if a company has a a triple digit earnings acceleration along with sales acceleration and margin acceleration, and the stock which was not going up till that time makes a big move, post this surprise. Now we have a clear catalyst. We know strength of catalyst indicated by magnitude of the earnings growth or surprise and we also know this catalyst is valid till next earnings.

Now in real practice some catalyst are easy to understand and interpret. Some catalyst information is easily available and all market participants get it at same time, while some catalyst are difficult to understand and interpret like new product launch or analyst earnings upgrade or biotech drug news.

Big Movers yesterday:

ABAT,Advanced Battery Tech Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ARTE,Artes Medical Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ASMI,Asm Internat N.V. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ATSG,Air Transport Services  (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
AZC,Augusta Resource Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BCON,Beacon Power Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BEXP,Brigham Exploration Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BRLC,Syntax-Brillian Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CPSL,China Precision Steel Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CSIQ,Canadian Solar Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CZZ,Cosan Limited Class A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DHT,Double Hull Tankers Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ELN,Elan Corp Plc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
EXM,Excel Maritime Carriers (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FMD,First Marblehead Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FPP,Fieldpoint Petroleum Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FTK,Flotek Industries Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GDP,Goodrich Petrol Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GNK,Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HK,Petrohawk Energy Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
IVAN,Ivanhoe Energy Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KAZ,Bmb Munai Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KOG,Kodiak Oil & Gas Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LNG,Cheniere Energy Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MCF,Contango Oil & Gas (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MENT,Mentor Graphics Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NGAS,NGAS Resources Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NOEC,New Oriental Energy Chemical Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PDO,Pyramid Oil (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SONE,S1 Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SQM,Sociedad Quimica Chile (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TBSI,TBS International Limited Class A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TMY,Transmeridian Exploration Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
VISN,VisionChina Media (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart

6/17/2008

What triggers a big move





Behind every big move is a clear identifiable catalyst. The most common catalyst which lead to big moves are:

* Earnings Release
* Earnings Guidance
* Sales Acceleration
* Earnings Estimate Raise Analyst
* Sector
* Insider Buying
* Research tie up (biotech)
* FDA Approval
* New Orders
* New Product
* Regulatory Policy Change

Big movers can be identified by scanning for stocks with above average volume and price change. On a daily basis various catalyst keep triggering such big moves in individual stocks and focusing on such big moves can pay rich dividend.


Big movers for today

ABK,Ambac Financial Group (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
AG,Agco Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
AKNS,Akeena Solar Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ALGT,Allegiant Travel Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
AMKR,Amkor Technology Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
APWR,A-Power Energy Generation Sys (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ARIA,Ariad Pharmaceuticals (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ASTI,Ascent Solar Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BCON,Beacon Power Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BOLT,Bolt Technology Corporation  (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CNR,Canargo Energy Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CSIQ,Canadian Solar Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CSR,China Securties & Surveillance (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CSUN,China Sunergy Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CYPB,Cypress Bioscience Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DSTI,Daystar Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
EBHI,Eddie Bauer Hlds Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ENER,Energy Conversn Devices (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ENG,Englobal Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FRPT,Force Protection Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GMXR,Gmx Resources Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GRO,Agria Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GTE,Gran Tierra Energy Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HANS,Hansen Natural Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
IDEV,Indevus Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
JOSB,Jos A Bank Clothiers (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KLIC,Kulicke & Soffa Ind (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LCC,US Airways Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LLNW,Limelight Network Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LNY,Landrys Restaurants Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MVIS,Microvision Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NEXC,Nexcen Brands Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NYNY,Empire Resorts Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
OSTK,Overstock.com Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PANC,Panacos Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PQ,Petroquest Energy Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
QTWW,Quantum Fuel Sys Techworldwide (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SATC,Satcon Technology Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SINO,Sino-Global Shipping America` Ltd. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SOL,ReneSola Ltd.  (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SOLF,Solarfun Power Holdings Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SONS,Sonus Networks Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SRVY,Greenfield Online Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
STSA,Sterling Financial Cp Wa (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TGC,Tengasco Incorporated (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TITN,Titan Machinery Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TSRA,Tessera Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
UDRL,Union Drilling Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
WCI,Wci Communities (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
XJT,Expressjet Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
XRIT,X Rite Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart

6/16/2008

Big Movers



AER,AerCap Holdings (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ARUN,Aruba Networks Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ASFI,Asta Funding Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BPAX,Biosante Pharmaceuticals (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BQI,Oilsands Quest Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CAL,Continental Airlines B (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CHDX,Chindex International Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CPHD,Cepheid (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CPSL,China Precision Steel Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CPST,Capstone Turbine Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FBTX,Franklin Bank Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GNVC,Genvec Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GSOL,Global Sources Ltd. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HPOL,Harris Interactive (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
IAR,Idearc Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ICO,International Coal Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
JADE,Lj Internat Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KIRK,Kirkland's Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KKD,Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KNOT,The Knot Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LAB,Labranche & Co Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LEH,Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LL,Lumber Liquidators` Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LNN,Lindsay Manufacturing Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LNUX,Virginia Software Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MBI,Mbia Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MPG,Maguire Properties Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MSO,Martha Stewart Lvg Omni (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NTES,Netease.com Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
OSUR,Orasure Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PJC,Piper Jaffray Companies (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PWRD,Perfect World Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
RNIN,Wireless Ronin Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
RYAAY,Ryanair Hldgs Plc Adr (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SEED,Origin Agritech Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SGN,Signalife Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SQNM,Sequenom Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
STP,Suntech Power Holdings Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SWS,Sws Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SWSI,Superior Well Services Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SYX,Systemax Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TITN,Titan Machinery Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TWB,Tween Brands Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
UAUA,UAL Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
USS,Us Shipping Partners (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
VISN,VisionChina Media (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
WNR,Western Refining Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
YGE,Yingli Green Energy Hlds Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ZUMZ,Zumiez Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart