8 th July

June 23, 2008

No postings till 8 th July. Will be out traveling.

How to find stocks which makes a big move

June 18, 2008



Some events have a propensity to lead to big moves in stocks. If you regularly study carefully the stocks making 100 plus moves in a year, you will find in 80-90% of the cases there was a event or series of events at the beginning of their big move. New information leads to big moves. If the new information or catalyst is powerful enough it leads to long duration rally. In most cases the information about the catalyst is in public domain or if you make some effort, you can find the reason for the big moves.

In the first volume of Market Wizard Paul Tudor Jones says:

We have tested every system under the sun and amazingly, we have found one that actually works well. It is a very good system, but for obvious reasons, I can't tell you much more about it.
The basic premise of the system is that market move sharply, when they move. If there is a sudden range expansion in a market that has been trading narrowly, human nature is to try to fade that price move. When you get a range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion.



Not every one day big move will result in long rally, but if a big move is accompanied with a clear , identifiable catalyst, it is the lowest risk entry in a stock likely to make a major move. Big moves after a event like earning also reduces our event risk. It gives us clear reason why to buy this stock and helps us form a judgment on how much this move is likely to last. It also indicates the length of catalyst. e.g. if a company has a a triple digit earnings acceleration along with sales acceleration and margin acceleration, and the stock which was not going up till that time makes a big move, post this surprise. Now we have a clear catalyst. We know strength of catalyst indicated by magnitude of the earnings growth or surprise and we also know this catalyst is valid till next earnings.

Now in real practice some catalyst are easy to understand and interpret. Some catalyst information is easily available and all market participants get it at same time, while some catalyst are difficult to understand and interpret like new product launch or analyst earnings upgrade or biotech drug news.

Big Movers yesterday:

ABAT,Advanced Battery Tech Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ARTE,Artes Medical Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ASMI,Asm Internat N.V. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ATSG,Air Transport Services  (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AZC,Augusta Resource Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BCON,Beacon Power Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BEXP,Brigham Exploration Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BRLC,Syntax-Brillian Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CPSL,China Precision Steel Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CSIQ,Canadian Solar Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CZZ,Cosan Limited Class A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DHT,Double Hull Tankers Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ELN,Elan Corp Plc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
EXM,Excel Maritime Carriers (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FMD,First Marblehead Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FPP,Fieldpoint Petroleum Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FTK,Flotek Industries Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GDP,Goodrich Petrol Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GNK,Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
HK,Petrohawk Energy Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
IVAN,Ivanhoe Energy Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KAZ,Bmb Munai Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KOG,Kodiak Oil & Gas Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LNG,Cheniere Energy Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MCF,Contango Oil & Gas (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MENT,Mentor Graphics Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NGAS,NGAS Resources Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NOEC,New Oriental Energy Chemical Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PDO,Pyramid Oil (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SONE,S1 Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SQM,Sociedad Quimica Chile (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TBSI,TBS International Limited Class A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TMY,Transmeridian Exploration Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
VISN,VisionChina Media (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 

What triggers a big move

June 17, 2008





Behind every big move is a clear identifiable catalyst. The most common catalyst which lead to big moves are:

* Earnings Release
* Earnings Guidance
* Sales Acceleration
* Earnings Estimate Raise Analyst
* Sector
* Insider Buying
* Research tie up (biotech)
* FDA Approval
* New Orders
* New Product
* Regulatory Policy Change

Big movers can be identified by scanning for stocks with above average volume and price change. On a daily basis various catalyst keep triggering such big moves in individual stocks and focusing on such big moves can pay rich dividend.


Big movers for today

ABK,Ambac Financial Group (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AG,Agco Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AKNS,Akeena Solar Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ALGT,Allegiant Travel Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AMKR,Amkor Technology Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
APWR,A-Power Energy Generation Sys (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ARIA,Ariad Pharmaceuticals (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ASTI,Ascent Solar Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BCON,Beacon Power Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BOLT,Bolt Technology Corporation  (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CNR,Canargo Energy Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CSIQ,Canadian Solar Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CSR,China Securties & Surveillance (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CSUN,China Sunergy Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CYPB,Cypress Bioscience Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DSTI,Daystar Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
EBHI,Eddie Bauer Hlds Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ENER,Energy Conversn Devices (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ENG,Englobal Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FRPT,Force Protection Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GMXR,Gmx Resources Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GRO,Agria Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GTE,Gran Tierra Energy Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
HANS,Hansen Natural Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
IDEV,Indevus Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
JOSB,Jos A Bank Clothiers (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KLIC,Kulicke & Soffa Ind (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LCC,US Airways Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LLNW,Limelight Network Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LNY,Landrys Restaurants Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MVIS,Microvision Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NEXC,Nexcen Brands Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NYNY,Empire Resorts Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
OSTK,Overstock.com Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PANC,Panacos Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PQ,Petroquest Energy Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
QTWW,Quantum Fuel Sys Techworldwide (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SATC,Satcon Technology Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SINO,Sino-Global Shipping America` Ltd. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SOL,ReneSola Ltd.  (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SOLF,Solarfun Power Holdings Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SONS,Sonus Networks Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SRVY,Greenfield Online Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
STSA,Sterling Financial Cp Wa (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TGC,Tengasco Incorporated (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TITN,Titan Machinery Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TSRA,Tessera Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
UDRL,Union Drilling Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
WCI,Wci Communities (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
XJT,Expressjet Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
XRIT,X Rite Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 

Big Movers

June 16, 2008



AER,AerCap Holdings (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ARUN,Aruba Networks Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ASFI,Asta Funding Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BPAX,Biosante Pharmaceuticals (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BQI,Oilsands Quest Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CAL,Continental Airlines B (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CHDX,Chindex International Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CPHD,Cepheid (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CPSL,China Precision Steel Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CPST,Capstone Turbine Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FBTX,Franklin Bank Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GNVC,Genvec Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GSOL,Global Sources Ltd. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
HPOL,Harris Interactive (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
IAR,Idearc Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ICO,International Coal Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
JADE,Lj Internat Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KIRK,Kirkland's Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KKD,Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KNOT,The Knot Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LAB,Labranche & Co Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LEH,Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LL,Lumber Liquidators` Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LNN,Lindsay Manufacturing Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LNUX,Virginia Software Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MBI,Mbia Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MPG,Maguire Properties Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MSO,Martha Stewart Lvg Omni (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NTES,Netease.com Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
OSUR,Orasure Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PJC,Piper Jaffray Companies (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PWRD,Perfect World Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RNIN,Wireless Ronin Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RYAAY,Ryanair Hldgs Plc Adr (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SEED,Origin Agritech Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SGN,Signalife Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SQNM,Sequenom Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
STP,Suntech Power Holdings Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SWS,Sws Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SWSI,Superior Well Services Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SYX,Systemax Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TITN,Titan Machinery Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TWB,Tween Brands Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
UAUA,UAL Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
USS,Us Shipping Partners (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
VISN,VisionChina Media (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
WNR,Western Refining Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
YGE,Yingli Green Energy Hlds Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ZUMZ,Zumiez Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
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