Episodic Pivots on stocks up 50% plus in a month- Part1 | stockbee

2/26/2007

Episodic Pivots on stocks up 50% plus in a month- Part1

As of now there are 14 stocks in the Stocks up 50% or more in one month list. Two of them ADZA and PREM are related to mergers. So we have 12 stocks. What I did is put the markers where they appeared in episodic pivot scans. They are the green and blue spikes in last two panels.
Out of the 12 I have positions in or closed positions in 8. All of these stocks came through the Episodic Pivots scan.

ACY,Aerocentury Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ADZA,Adeza Biomedical (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CBLI,Cleveland BioLabs Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FSLR,First Solar Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HDNG,Hardinge Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
JADE,Lj Internat Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KRSL,Kreisler Manufacturing (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NM,Navios Maritime Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ONXX,Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PREM,Premier Community Bnkshrs (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
REFR,Research Frontiers Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TRT,Trio-Tech Internat (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TSL,Trina Solar Ltd. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
XIDE,Exide Tech (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart








The remaining stocks in next post as blogger did not allow more pictures.

4 comments:

garytt said...

Can you tell us what your entry price was and how you timed your buy on these stocks? Were these just short term trades for you for a quick profit or do you intend to hold for further gains?

Pradeep Bonde said...

Most things I intend holding for long term unless I get stopped out. My average holding periods are in several weeks or months. Sometime I sell things because I find new more exciting ideas.
Episodic Pivot idea is slightly difficult to replicate for most people because it is not a mechanical thing . It is not a buy every 10% plus move in stock. It is a 10% plus move plus a certain set of 10-12 catalysts which have high probability of triggering a big move.
Besides that the scan is just one part of the puzzle, the other part is in my other software where it gives me information like what happened last time there was a 10% spike and price was withing this much % of 52 week high. Or over lifetime of this stock how this move has worked. Or cluster of 4% moves before the move. And around 22 other variables which basicaly further narrows down the 20-25 candidates to 1-2 promising.
Plus it is recent in the sense 11/2 year old system compared to my other things which are very old so currently part of it is not fully mechanised but at some stage I will quantify lot of things which I am doing subjectively or manually.

mauidiver15 said...

Hi Pradeep,
I have been studying the EP strategy and I had a couple of questions.

First, how do you decide wheter to enter immediately or wait for a pull back? I have looked through your example charts and to me it looks like sometimes the stock gets running upwards immediately, and other times, the EP is followed by a sizable pull back before running upwards.

Second, when you do wait for a pull back to enter, how do you decide it is time to enter? Do you wait for the next 4% plus breakout, or a move past the EP high, or something else?

Thrid,
Is it a good or bad thing if the EP is preceeded by a series of 4% plus moves?

Thank you so much.

Pradeep Bonde said...

1 Entry is based on nature of catalyst e.g earnings or biotech approvals tend to create immediate move. Besides that low float, neglect 9in terms of price as well as 3 years range) determine my entry. Is it first EP in 1 year, 2 year, 3 year , are some of the criteria I use.

2 Established stocks tend to have pullbacks, high cap, high volume of trading invariably tend to have pullbacks. EPs late in a long running move tend to have pullbacks.
3 On pullback I enter on next 4% move.

4 EPS preceded by number of earlier 4% moves tend to perform poorly.