Mood swing | stockbee


Mood swing

What a difference a day makes. While day before yesterday there was no shortage of momentum chasers and confident market participants, yesterday was a anti climax. After 3-4 days of high momentum market dipped as anticipated. The market was down from word go and it pretty much stayed that way for rest of the day with no dip buyers to aggressively chase it.

If you notice how the market dipped right after Nasdaq Composite climbed over 50 day MA. Traps, small and large are always at most watched levels by technical analysis junkies. With the dip the 65 days ratio has retreated and we still continue to be in correction mode.

Now the task is cut out for dip buyers. As I have said yesterday, how the market reacts to the dip is going to tell a lot about character of market.

Market Monitor is not for day traders or Index traders. It is primarily long term timing model. It went green in 2006 August giving buy signal and stayed green till July 2007. Along the way during many of the dips it never went in to red territory. Plus there are sub component to it which signal intermediate term turn signals. There are layers of signals and they signal different time frame moves.

It is primarily a overall filter for all the methods like Double Trouble, IBD 200 and other methods. It primarily captures the juiciest part of long term trends when strategies on individual stocks can be safely executed.


Keller said...

Is there a color key to the Market Monitor spreadsheet?

Interesting to see that Feb 21,22,23 and 26 the 'Stocks down 25% plus in 65 days' was below 200 flashing a correction signal before the Feb 27 dip.

DC said...

I have been searching for and reading various blogs hoping to find suitable ones to link to in my blog. I especially have come to like yours. I was wondering if you would like to exchange links.


Lazy Investor said...


Good that you have spoken up. Recently there was quite a bit to unnecessary negativity in the comments related to your market monitor. I hope your statement will silence short term players and calm the impatient folks. Keep up your good work and thanks for sharing your insights with all of us.
Regards, Lazy.