Style Shift

September 14, 2007

Market at different times shifts between four predominant styles: large cap, small cap, value and growth. In recent times the large caps have been doing well. Even before the correction the Dow Jones was leading. There are numerous reason for such shifts and identifying such shifts early enough can offer a profitable edge.

In recent times market has been favoring large cap growth. Large cap stocks have been flying for sometime now. The move started many months back. The small caps are in dog house.

Here is a list of large cap stocks in top decile in terms of relative strength currently:

AAPL,Apple Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ABB,Abb Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ABX,Barrick Gold Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ACGY,Acergy S.A. Ads (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ACH,Aluminum Corp China (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ACP,American Real Estate Prt (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AEM,Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AGU,Agrium Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AHO,Ahold N.V. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AL,Alcan Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AMZN,Amazon.Com Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AV,Avaya Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
AVT,Avnet Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BBL,BHP Billiton Plc Ads (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BCE,Bce Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BG,Bunge Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BHP,BHP Billiton Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BIDU,Baidu.com Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BIIB,Biogen Idec Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
BVN,Compania De Minas Buena (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CAM,Cameron International Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CELG,Celgene Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CEO,CNOOC Ltd Adr (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CGV,Cgg Veritas (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CHL,China Mobile Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CHU,China Unicom Ltd Ads (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CMI,Cummins Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CNH,Cnh Global Nv (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CNQ,Canadian Natural Res Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
COP,ConocoPhillips (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CSCO,Cisco Systems Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
CYTC,Cytyc Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DADE,Dade Behring Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DE,Deere & Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DISCA,Discovery Holding Co Class A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DNR,Denbury Resources Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DO,Diamond Offshre Drilling (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
DVA,Davita Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
EBAY,Ebay Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
EMC,Emc Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ENR,Energizer Holdings (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ESRX,Express Scripts Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
EXPE,Expedia Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FCX,Freeport Mcmoran C&G B (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FDG,Fording Canadian Coal Trust (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FLR,Fluor Corp (New) (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FSLR,First Solar Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FTI,Fmc Technologies (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
FWLT,Foster Wheeler Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GME,Gamestop Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GR,Goodrich Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
GRMN,Garmin Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
HDB,HDFC Bank Limited (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
HLT,Hilton Hotels Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
HUN,Huntsman (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ICE,Intercontinental Exchange Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
INTC,Intel Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ISRG,Intuitive Surgical Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
JEC,Jacobs Engineering Group (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
JNC,Nuveen Investments Inc Cl A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
JNPR,Juniper Networks (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
KBR,KBR Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LFC,China Life Insurance Company (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LFL,Lan Chile Sa (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LUK,Leucadia National Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LVS,Las Vegas Sands (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
LYO,Lyondell Chemical Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MA,MasterCard Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MDR,Mcdermott Internat Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MGM,MGM MIRAGE Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MHS,Medco Health Solutions (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MON,Monsanto Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MOS,Mosaic Company (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MT,Arcelor Mittal (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
MTL,Mechel Steel Group OAO ADS (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NHY,Norsk Hydro As Adr (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NOK,Nokia Corp Ads (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NOV,National Oilwell Varco Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NVDA,NVIDIA Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NVO,Novo Nordisk A/S (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
NVT,Navteq Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
OI,Owens Illinois Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
OXY,Occidental Petro Cp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PBR,Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PBR.A,Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS Class A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PCP,Precision Castparts Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PCU,Southern Copper Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PCZ,Petro-Canada (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
PKX,Posco (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
POT,Potash Cp Saskatchewan (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RCI,Rogers Commun B Non-Votg (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RIG,Transocean Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RIMM,Research In Motion Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RIO,Companhia Vale Do Rio Doce (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ROS,Rostelecom (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RRI,Reliant Energy Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RTN,Raytheon Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
RTP,Rio Tinto Plc Adr (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SAP,Sap Ag Ads (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SBS,Companhia De Saneamento B (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SID,Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SII,Smith Internat Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SJR,Shaw Communications Cl B (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SLB,Schlumberger Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SPWR,SunPower Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SSL,Sasol Ltd Adr (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
STO,Statoil Asa (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
SU,Suncor Energy (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TEF,Telefonica Sa (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TKC,Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri ADS (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TNE,Tele Norte Leste Partic (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
TSP,Telecom De Sao Paulo Sa (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
USM,U.S. Cellular Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
VIP,Vimpel Communication Ads (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
VOD,Vodafone Group Plc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
VRTX,Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
WFT,Weatherford International Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
WYNN,Wynn Resorts Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 
ZNH,China Southern Airlns Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart) 


There are many reason for such a shift. The large caps have underperformed for some time so they are catching up. Most measures of valuation show under valuation for them. The weak dollar effect. Later stage of bull market favors large cap. Flight to safety and many other reasons. But currently large caps is where the mojo is.

11 comments :

  1. Take a peek on my Neopolean and China Syndrome stories.

    Have fun,

    Mkt Swimmer

    ReplyDelete
  2. Pradeep,

    I made two donations, one of $20 and one of $30.

    Thanks for allowing me access. Your work is fabulous.

    David

    ReplyDelete
  3. Is the $50 donation a one-time donation or is it a monthly donation? It is a reasonable method, in my opinion.

    ReplyDelete
  4. could you write a post explaining the reason behind the new member only area? Why do you need a donation? Isn't this like doing a paying newsletter like many are doing? (I remember that your were opposed to that before).

    ReplyDelete
  5. Barbara
    It is one time donation for yearly access.

    James

    Primarily for three reasons:

    1 Some entities and individuals have offered incentive to take Market Monitor private and have exclusive access to the signal and analysis and further development of the timing model.

    2 Voluntary efforts like EP list and Earnings list died natural death when the interest waned when I went to India. So many of the traders using that information requested for it and offered donations to continue those efforts.

    3 To pay for hosting cost once I shift the data to hosted site from current arrangements.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Pradeep:
    Thank you but I'll pass for the moment. Market Monitor is not rocket science and it easy to replicate (I'm a programmer and I already have the data on my HD updated daily). I didn't do it before because your market monitor was convenient.

    And for the Earnings list, I think that it is better that I do the research myself as it is a learning process and I don't want to rely too much on another person.

    However, I'll be happy to continue reading your blog if it still remains open.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Pradeep,

    Does previous' donations' count? I donated twice before in the last 2 months

    ReplyDelete
  8. Pradeep

    Which Real Estate stock has the best chance of coming out of this turmoil intact? RYL? TOL? Maybe someone else?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hector
    Is it under R.. R... Or send me an email, and I will process the invite.

    Andy
    Probably MDC and DHI

    ReplyDelete
  10. well, I guess it was nice while it lasted. I knew this o similar would happen sooner or later. It's sad but logic rules. Thanks for the long time you shared with us all your views.

    Best.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hi Pradeep!
    It was not clear to me two days ago that you are creating a special members section that requires a donation of $ 50.00 Now you suddenly post this requirement and also do not accept any more members. Is it the way you want to treat your old faithful readers of your blog? Now I know that , I am willing to donate the $ 50.00 would you give me the opportunity to be a member?

    ReplyDelete

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