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Pradeep Bonde
March 04, 2009
- The market is way oversold but it continues to get weaker. It was a 500 plus day to the downside on Market Monitor, that indicates very high selling pressure. This is 5th day of 500 plus selling after a brief one day upside last week.
- The futures are indicating bullish open like yesterday. The overnight markets were up on speculation about new Chinese stimulus package.
- Given the fact that we are down for so many days a reflex bounce is logical move but we have seen that this market is so weak that even a tradable bounce has been difficult proposition. . Sentiment, bad news, despair, and price levels all point to one for sometime.
- The sectors leading to the upside currently are:
- MG113,Agricultural Chemicals
- MG132,Copper
- MG352,Tobacco Products - Other
- MG528,Medical Practitioners
- MG725,Broadcasting-Radio
- MG738,Auto Parts Stores
- MG741,Sporting Goods Stores
- MG747,Apparel Stores
- MG834,Semiconductor-Integrated Cir
- MG850,-Internet-
- MG852,Internet Information Providers
- The sectors leading to the downside currently are:
- MG313,Housewares & Accessories
- MG328,Office Supplies
- MG425,Credit Services
- MG431,Life Insurance
- MG444,Reit-Hotel/Motel
- MG447,Reit-Retail
- MG523,Health Care Plans
- MG629,Textile Manufacturing
- MG637,General Contractors
- MG712,Resorts & Casinos
- MG771,Major Airlines
- Very few stocks are trading closer to the top of their one year range. A scan I ran on stocks within top of their 52 week high range and with sufficient average daily volume has only 21 stocks in it. They are:
- AIPC
- AZO
- CECO
- COCO
- CVTX
- CYCL
- DLTR
- GMCR
- IDEV
- INSM
- IWOV
- MIN
- MYGN
- NFLX
- OCN
- ORLY
- PCG
- PSD
- TEVA
- TNDM
- VR
- Some interesting possibilities on long side out of these are : NFLX, TNDM , AIPC, MYGN.
- With 10 to 11 days of active selling, there are very few low risk shorts and a possibility of reflex rally makes it difficult to short here. But some of the shorts showing up on my short scans are :
- ARCC
- BKUNA
- CMS
- CNL
- DPZ
- EEE
- EXP
- FL
- HUN
- JCG
- MENT
- MLM
- NDN
- OMTR
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