2/07/2006

This Ford has a good track record

Today Marketwatch has story about Ford Equity research model showing the market to be overvalued. Ford Equity Research also has a free monthly newsletter which usually gives their take on market, sectors and their top picks. Their picks for this months newsletter are FE, LNC and PCP.
Their site has lot of free resources and useful research. I recommend strongly their research on development of their Ford Price Momentum Model.
Their finding shows:
Twelve months relative strength is good : you should buy the stocks that have the highest one year return and sell the stocks that have the lowest one year return.
One month relative strength is bad : you should sell the stocks that have the highest one month return and buy the stocks that have the lowest one month return.
Three months relative strength is also bad.
They have a formula for ranking stock using these criterias.

PRM = PGY -– PGQ -– 3 * PGN

With : PGY = 12 month price gain, PGQ = 3 months price gain, PGN = 1 month price gain. RPM= Relative Price Momentum.

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