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The Commodities Bull market

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Jim Rogers says the bull market in commodities might last for another 10 years.

Other than historical precedent, why do you see the bull market in commodities lasting about 18 years?
This is not a prediction. If history is any guide, the shortest bull market I found lasted 15 years, and the longest lasted 23 years. The average has been 18 years. If history is any guide, this bull market will last until sometime between 2014 and 2022.
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