The overcrowded short trade in the housing stocks

When everybody gets it, best part of the move may be over. What do you see day after day, a negative story on housing. Today all the leading newspapers have negative stories about housing on front page. Expect a magazine cover this weekend or next on housing crash.
So time to cover your housing stock short. It might be time to buy housing stocks if you are value investor. I am buying CHCI,Comstock Homebuilding Comp

Housing Stocks
AVTR,Avatar Holdings Inc
AXR,Amrep Corp
BHS,Brookfield Homes
BZH,Beazer Homes Usa
CHCI,Comstock Homebuilding Comp
CTX,Centex Corp
DHI,D.R. Horton Inc
DHOM,Dominion Homes Inc
HOV,Hovnanian Enterprises A
ITB,iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction Index Fund ETF
KBH,Kb Home
LEN,Lennar Corp Cl A
LEN.B,Lennar Corp Cl B
LR,Lafarge Sa Adr
MDC,M.D.C Holdings Inc
MG631,Residential Construction
MHO,M/i Homes Inc
MTH,Meritage Homes Corp
NVR,Nvr Inc
OHB,Orleans Homebuilders Inc
PHM,Pulte Homes Inc
RYL,Ryland Group Inc. The
SPF,Standard Pacific Corp
TARR,Tarragon Corp
TOA,Technical Olympic Usa Inc
TOL,Toll Brothers Inc
WCI,Wci Communities
WLT,Walter Industries Inc

Best site to learn to trade

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge, the Stockbee Member site might help you.

Members tell me they have tried a lot of things before coming to my site, and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade. Members range from very experienced traders to novices.

No advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant tweets self-promoting the site, and no tall claims. Every member comes through word-of-mouth recommendations from existing members.

As a member, you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing, and risk management. You will learn about Stockbee Momentum Burst breakouts, Stockbee Trend Intensity Breakouts, Stockbee Episodic Pivots Breakouts, Stockbee Lemonade Strategy for 401k, and many other member-shared methods.

You will learn how to set up your own scans, how to select the right kind of stocks, how to set up stops, when to enter, when to exit, how much to risk, how to track your trades, and all other details about trading.

You will learn about developing your own methods and not relying on others for trade ideas. Develop your own edge. Once you develop your own method, you will have a lifelong profitable method.

The site gives you an opportunity to interact with some of the most successful traders and learn from them about their trading methods. It is a vibrant community with members from different backgrounds and experiences willing to help each other. Members have shared their methods, scans, software, backtests, and market insights.

Every day, the emphasis is on continuous learning and upgrading of market knowledge and setup knowledge. The members range from hedge fund employees, financial advisers, active swing traders, investors, and new traders.

You will see that many trading bloggers have been using my market timing methods, scans, and chart templates. They have developed their own methods based on my methods.

Almost every member comes through a recommendation of some of the leading trading bloggers and trading sites. 80% or more members continue to be members for more than 3 years. Most tell me that they stay on because every day they learn so much from the members' site.

If you are looking to develop your own trading strategy, the membership site might be for you. You have to be willing to put in the effort to build your own method. There are no silver bullets offered on the members' site. Every method, every scan, every nuance is detailed, and all possible help is offered to design your own method.

2 comments:

Pradeep Bonde said...: CHCI has lot of insider buying recently. There are many issues with the company and its balance sheet, but thats what contrarian investing is all about. For these kind of stocks you have to buy and just put it in drawer and open it after few years.; Aug 24, 2006, 10:00:00 AM
Pradeep Bonde said...: New York Times and Washington Post Both the newspaer had a front page story on housing. Now that is extremely rare for them to look at housing. The thrust of the story was housing is going to crash. Now when you see headlines like that you should just run and buy. They are always late to party.
Popular Blogs I was looking at popular blogs like The Big Picture, Bill Cara and Maoxian. All three had a
negative housing story. In fact The Big Picture had 3-4 negative stories about housing. Now these blogs are read by thousands and are very good contrary indicator, especially The Big Picture Blog.You can always safely bet against CNBC commentators. I was reading the comment on that blog and they were even more negative. So that set off a alert in my mind, hey everyone is so negative on housing and thumping table abut it, lets look at the price action.
The Price Action While all this negativity about housing was being touted by these so called expert, the price action on the housing stock was just consolidating and stocks were not going down. So I decided to look for stock which is down more than 50% from high and had some catalyst, I found CHCI which had insider buying.; Aug 28, 2006, 9:12:00 AM

404

Recent Articles