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Dow 36000 or Dow 6800


Isn't it ironic that the bears who called for Dow 6800 by end of the year are out denouncing the author of Dow 36000. Both set of people are spectacularly wrong as of now. Both set of people made outrageous predictions based on some fancy theories. A good example of the pot calling the kettle black.

The mass media loves these kind of predictions and people who make such predictions.They are a constant present on the media everyday pouting out such extreme scenarios. It is good strategy to market books, newsletters and advisory services. The oldest trick in the mass media business is to make outrageous predictions. It gets attention. Paris Hilton knows it well. More outrageous her behaviour the more she gets attention. As a trader it is much better to stay away from such wild attention grabbing predictions.
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My first earnings trade

US Laboratories (USLB) This company has now been bought over by Bureau Veritas.Over the weekend I will write about how serendipity lead to m...

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RIMM (RESEARCH IN MOTION LIMITED )

RIMM is up 20% or so today morning post earning. Last night there was lot of excitement about RIMM earning. Day traders and option trader...

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Waiting for Godot

Waiting for Godot This will go down as one of the most torturous breaking of all time high by Dow Jones Index. The market seems to be in a s...

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TRT -Trio-Tech Int'l anatomy of a trade

TRT -Trio-Tech Int'l Now this is a trade I just closed when it spiked up by 1.80 today. I got in to this micro cap on Friday . It had bl...

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Oil stocks may not be the best shorts now

A reader has asked my opinion on shorting oil stocks after this bounce. In my opinion they may not offer a good risk reward at this stage. T...

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A Case for Inflation Targets in the United States and Japan

The American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research has a free monthly newsletter about Economic Policy. It always has a good macro...

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Amaranth is amongst top 10 queries on Google

The top ten queries on Google are always dominated by celebrities and sports figures.Scantily clad females have the highest probability of m...

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Furious sector rotation

Sometime reading the market is tricky. One of the prominent feature of the current market in last few weeks is the furious sector rotation. ...

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Bulls may get ambushed once quarter ends

Over the years I have learned to be wary of strength after 8-12 weeks move. For short term tactical swing trades it always helps to have you...

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Market ripe for a fall

The party is over. Too much divergences, small caps are lagging big time. Market is creeping higher, no major thrusts or second set of break...

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The BusinessWeek Market Survey

Businessweek had a issue on 2006 investment trends at the beginning of the year and with nine months over, it is good time to see where exac...

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Earnings revision point to trouble ahead

Zacks earnings trends are in recent weeks giving hints of weekness. To profit from this kind of analysis you need to get in to specific sect...

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Oil down 23%

At market top there is always a tendency to believe in wild projections. If you read the newspapers or listened to analyst just a few weeks ...

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Rangebound

The market continues to be range bound. 18 of the 30 Dow Jones stocks are up 10% or more in this quarter from their low. The headline news d...

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End of month and end of quarter

The end of month and end of quarter dynamics should keep the market in bullish mood for sometime. Over eager shorts are learning a lesson i...

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Good Christmas for retail

If you have been watching the retailers, it is crystal clear that the upcoming Christmas shopping season is going to be a good season. Ever...

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Market on pause

The market continue to correct after a multi week rally. Nothing seems to be as bad as the bearish commentary suggests. Some markets are po...

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Contrarian analysis concludes that the path of least resistance for stocks is upward

Mark Hulbert is editor of The Hulbert Financial Digest says market is headed higher. MANY investment newsletters have been fretting about th...

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Dr. Doom turns bullish on U.S. large-cap stocks

Marrc Faber the author of Tomorrow's Gold: Asia's Age of Discovery is now bullish on US large caps and technology stocks. He has an...

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Noticing some good moves in telecommunication. China related stocks are also on fire. A good earning play is up over 40 % today.

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I notice a rush to write market obituaries. The market has a surprise in store for them. The market will most probably make another run for ...

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Watching some longs

At some stage in next couple of days a bounce will again take the market higher. Many of the over eager bears may again learn a lesson in th...

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Free stock trades

This will be interesting concept. The brokerage commission is trending down for many years. This should shake up the industry if it takes o...

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Markets under pressure

Markets will continue to be under pressure. I am expecting a nasty correction before the market again stabilises. Not all stocks and all sec...

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Deflation chatter

Don't miss out on the deflation chatter , it is still below the radar. So is inflation bigger threat or deflation? The metals seems to b...

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Chasing the bull

Going by the emails I am getting, I see lot of people have started to chase this move at this stage. Some who were on sideline are becoming ...

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This gap up will be aggressively sold. Excessive bullishness and chasing a bull move always ends in a trap. Watch the small caps for aggress...

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Henry Blodget thinks Google is toast

Henry Blodget has a very good analysis about likely impact of Yahoo warning on Google. He is back blogging after a long hitus and his analys...

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Stubborn bull

The market continues to defy the bears for the time being. It is the nature of bullish or bearish moves in the market to go further and fast...

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The path of least resistance is down. The correction lasted less than one day. So expect a down move. But some good trades like SYX may stil...

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I love hedge funds!

Hedge funds are the favourite pinatas of most people. The trouble at Amaranth has everyone out in full force beating up the hedge funds. The...

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Euro break-up

If you have been reading newspapers outside of USA, you should have noticed the rising chatter about imminent Euro break up. Now this is the...

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The market correction/ pullback is playing out. Yahoo or no Yahoo, the market was due for a correction and so there is correction. Sometimes...

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Are you lost in the technical analysis jungle follow up

A reader has asked why I think How Charts Can Help You in the Stock Market by William L. Jiler is better than the three of the most popular...

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The markets are witnessing much needed and much anticipated correction. At individual stock level there are some good opportunities. Even if...

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Are you lost in the technical analysis jungle

There are hundreds of way to make money in the stock market, but the one which has the largest following is technical analysis. If you sea...

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Market themes

Markets next big theme will be upcoming earnings season. Expect many stocks to start creeping up in anticipation of good earnings. Brokers/ ...

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Steel and Iron finds a bid

It should not have been a surprise for many of you to see the steel and Iron sector rallying today. For a week or so I have been anticipatin...

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Scan 2 year growth

In my previous post I talked about Apple and how it showed up on my short scan. If you want to set up a similar scan here is how you can se...

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Apple may be ready for a fall

Keep an eye on Apple. There was nothing new in the recent announcements.Nothing with must have or buy it now appeal. Future products are not...

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How to narrow the number of breakouts- Part 2

Warning: Mostly for beginners and those asking for specific picks. Most of the discussion relates to TC2007 . The advanced traders might wan...