Opportunity Buffet Part 2
That sums up the story of lat few days and shows the danger in this market. They are falling from the heights. In stock after stock and sector after sector the high fliers are taking it on chin. If you were not careful and late to get in to cash, you would have witnessed a large drawdown in few days or ended up giving up lot of open profit. After couple of painful hits like these in my early years, I developed the market monitor methodology as overall filter to identify possible risky areas. Go back and see my posts on it here and here. It is no fun losing 20% or more of your hard earned profit in few days. When I saw the 20 plus figure on stocks up 50% or more in a month few days ago, I started closing everything and playing only tactically. Market look most tempting and easy to trade at those levels, but that is when the danger is greatest.
ACEL,Alfacell Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ADG,Allied Defense Group (the) (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMAG,Amag Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMIS,Amis Holdings (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ARTW,Art's-Way Manufacturing (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ARWR,Arrowhead Research Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ASFI,Asta Funding Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ASPM,Aspect Medical Systems (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ASTI,Ascent Solar Technologies Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ATMI,Atmi Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AWC,Alumina Limited (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AXL,American Axle & Manufact (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BBW,Build-a-bear Workshop (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BCR,C.R. Bard Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BELM,Bell Microproducts Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BGP,Borders Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BGT,Blackrock Global Fltg Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BIOS,BioScrip Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BKHM,Bookham Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BMI,Badger Meter Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BTJ,Bolt Technology Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BTUI,Btu International Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BUCY,Bucyrus International Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BUF,Minrad International Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CBI,Chicago Bridge & Iron Nv (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CCC,Calgon Carbon Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CEC,Cec Entertainment Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CECE,Ceco Environmental Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CERN,Cerner Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CHRW,C.H. Robinson Worldwide (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CMTY,Community Banks Mlrbg Pa (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CNH,Cnh Global Nv (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CNIC,Copernic Inc Common Stock (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
COHU,Cohu Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CRI,Carter Holdings Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CSCD,Cascade Microtech (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CVG,Convergys Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CVGI,Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CVTI,Covenant Transportation Group (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CXG,CNX Gas Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CXZ,Crosshair Exploration (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CYD,China Yuchai Int Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DAR,Darling International (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DCGN,Decode Genetics Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DESC,Distributed Energy Systems (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DNN,Denison Mines CP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DROOD,DRD Gold Ltd Adr (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DRYS,Dryships (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DVW,Covad Communications Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EBI,Evergreen International Balanced Income Fund (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EDN,Empresa Distribuildora Comer (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ENG,Englobal Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ENWV,Endwave Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EPIC,Epicor Software Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EPIX,Epix Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ESMC,Escalon Medical Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FLML,Flamel Technologies Sa (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FRM,Furmanite Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FSTR,L.B. Foster Co Cl A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GETI,Gentek Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GGAL,Grupo Financiero Galicia (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GGC,Georgia Gulf Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GLW,Corning Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GPCB,GPC Biotech AG (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HAYZ,Hayes Lemmerz International Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HDNG,Hardinge Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HMB,Homebanc Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HOKU,Hoku Scientific Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HRSH,Hirsch International Corp Class A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HTGC,Hercules Technology Growth Capital Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HURN,Huron Consulting Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ICO,International Coal Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IDMI,IDM Pharma Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IESC,Integrated Electrical Services Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ILE,Isolagen Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IMGN,Immunogen Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IOC,Interoil Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IOTN,Ionatron Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IPAR,Inter Parfums Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
JADE,Lj Internat Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
JAKK,Jakks Pacific Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
JAV,Javelin Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
JMBA,Jamba Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
JOYG,Joy Global Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
KHD,Khd Humboldt Wedag Intl Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
KMT,Kennametal Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LEA,Lear Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MBRK,Middlebrook Pharma (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MCGC,Mcg Capital (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MDII,Midi Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MDTH,Medcath Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MEA,Metalico Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MED,Medifast Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MEH,Midwest Express Holding (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MERC,Mercer Internat Inc Sbi (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MFRI,Mfri Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MLNX,Mallanoc Technologies Ltd Ord (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MOBE,Mobility Electronics (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MXE,Mexico Equity & Income (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NCZ,Nicholas Applegate Conv&incm (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NGA,North American Galvanizing & Coatings Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NNBR,Nn Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NRP,Natural Resource Partners (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NTRI,NutriSystem Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
OAKF,Oak Hill Financial Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
OMX,Officemax Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
OPTM,Optium Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PCAR,Paccar Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PCCC,Pc Connection Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PCR,Perini Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PCS,Metropcs Communications Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PED,Smartpros Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PFCB,P F Chang's China Bistro (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PMU,Pacific Rim Mining Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PNCL,Pinnacle Airlines (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PNRA,Panera Bread Co Cl A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
POP,Pope & Talbot Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PRAA,Portfolio Recovery Assoc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PRXI,Premier Exhibitions Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PTT,Vcg Holding Copr (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PXLW,Pixelworks Incorporated (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
QXM,Qiao Xing Mobile Com (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RDNT,RadNet Inc. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RES,RPC Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RNT,Aaron Rents Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RTI,Rti Internat Metal Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RZ,Raser Technologies Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SATC,Satcon Technology Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SBCF,Seacoast Banking Cp Fl (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SBSA,Spanish Brdcstng Sys A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SGR,Shaw Group Inc (The) (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SI,Siemens Aktien (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SKX,Skechers Usa Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SNCR,Synchronoss Technologies Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SNHY,Sun Hydraulics Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SPAR,Spartan Motors Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SPC,Spectrum Brands Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SPPI,Spectrum Pharm Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
STEC,Stec Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
STM,Stmicroelectronics Nv (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SUSQ,Susquehanna Bancshares (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TARR,Tarragon Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TDSC,3d Systems Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TGEN,Targeted Genetics Cp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TWIN,Twin Disc Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TXCC,Transwitch Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
UCFC,United Community Finan (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
USEG,U.S. Energy Corp Wyo (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
USEY,U.S. Energy Systems Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
USG,Usg Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VOLC,Volcano Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VOLV,Ab Volvo Adr (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VRTB,Vestin Realty Mortgage II Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VSGN,Vasogen Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VSR,Versar Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WBSN,Websense Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WOLF,Great Wolf Resorts (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WPP,Wausau Paper Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WSBC,Wesbanco Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WSII,Waste Services Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WVCM,Wavecom Sa Adr (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
XRX,Xerox Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ZBRA,Zebra Technologies Cp A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ZHNE,Zhone Technologies Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
Go through this list carefully and see stock after stock is falling out of bed. After such action the same stock seldom starts rallying again. It takes time for the stock to regain its momentum. New set of stocks take on leadership and the old favorite seldom recover. Notice these moves are happening at top of the range not at bottom. When there is panic and stock is at bottom of range, then one can buy as it indicates irrational selling and seller exhaustion, but in these top of the range breakouts any ralies just fail and provide good opportunity to put shorts.
Out of this the stocks to focus on for shorts are:
ARTW ASTI ATMI AWC BBW BELM BIOS BMI BTJ BTUI CBI CCC CECE CERN CNH CYD DAR DRYS EDN EPIC ESMC FRM FSTR GGC GLW HDNG HOKU HURN IESC JAKK KHD KMT LEA MDTH MEA MERC MFRI MLNX MXE NNBR NRP OAKF OPTM PCAR PCCC PCR PCS PRAA PRXI RTI RZ SGR SI SNCR SNHY STEC VOLV VRTB VSR WBSN WOLF WVCM XRX ZBRA
I would wait for a small rally to put shorts on most of these.
5 comments:
So one should probably sell out and get in cash now?
Do you foresee this as a start of a prolonged correction?
I don't know , but I sold when the 50% level on intra day approached 20. After that I had only small swing trades. So all in all managed to retain almost all profits built during the move so far.
Pradeep,
On this chart for PCR, can you send me a list of the indicators that are shown so I can load them on my telechart? Thanks!
First panel: Blue .75 * MAXC130
Second Panel:
Orange: (100 * ((C + .01) - ( MINC260 + .01)) / (MINC260 + .01))>=100
Green: ( 100 * (C - C1) / C1) >= 10 AND V > 1000 AND C >= 5
Third Panel
Yellow: ( 100 * (C - C1) / C1) >=4 AND V >= 1000 AND V > V1
Light Blue (three formulas in same color)
( 100 * (C - C1) / C1) >= 20 AND V > 10000 AND C >= 5
( 100 * (C - C1) / C1) >= 30 AND V > 3000 AND C >= 5
(C - C1) >= 5 AND V > 10000 AND C >= 5
Red ( three formulas in same color)
( 100 * (C - C1) / C1) <= ( - 30) AND V > 3000 AND C >= 5
( 100 * (C - C1) / C1) <= ( - 20) AND V > 10000 AND C >= 5
(C - C1) <= ( - 5) AND V > 10000 AND C >= 5
Everything under % true.
Thank you Pradeep! Keep up the great work - your site is wonderful and very helpful.
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