While the market action is dreary and there is lot of negativity around, one must remember such correction phases turn on dime. If you study reversals in market over a long time frame and over several episodes in the past, you will notice that on the bullish side the markets turn suddenly. Compared to that most tops are long drawn out process. Plus at most bottoms the logical explanation of economy and its future trends is most pessimistic. So the bearish argument always sound most tempting at all such stages. So current stance is cautious but ready to jump on to new up leg in market.
One of the very good thing about this weakness or any other weakness in market is, it leads to shuffling of the sector and stock themes and new themes and new stocks emerge from such correction phases and offer new opportunities. While some old leaders regain their rallies, most of the time you have new sectors which were not part of earlier rallies breaking out. As the correction plays itself out the sector trends will emerge. At this stage sectors like China, Aerospace, Alternative Energy, Medical Technology, Airlines and the likes are the ones showing bulk of breakouts in EP and 4% plus universe.
One trusted method which always works in such corrections is earnings breakouts. Earnings and earnings revisions are two things which always get the street excited. INOD and CSIQ are two examples of this from ysterday.
7 comments:
If market turns on a dime and your sitting in cash, is there large risk on missing the big move?
Big moves do not end in a day. Individual stocks big moves start once market turns.
Pradeep - on the IBD followthrough day there are many 4%+ moves. Is there any way to handicap which of those will likely be the best running stocks for the next market upleg?
This strategy would be for buying concentrated positions near intermediate term bottoms and holding with minimal trading during a multiweek uptrend.
Thanks
Kevin
You have to sort by EPS growth, ROE, margin plus take stock with prior 65 day weakness out of that.
Better yet, you should anticipate which are good and likely to breakout by scanning stocks based on above parameters before the follow through day.
Thanks Pradeep.
"As the correction plays itself out the sector trends will emerge. At this stage sectors like China, Aerospace, Alternative Energy, Medical Technology, Airlines and the likes are the ones showing bulk of breakouts in EP and 4% plus universe."
No idea why you include china stocks as breaking out now as they have been correcting HUGELY for weeks now during this general market correction. On great earnings and revised earning guidance China stocks have done nothing but tank...
Not all China stocks are breaking down.
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