tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post7551404314472911758..comments2024-03-05T07:50:04.017-05:00Comments on Stockbee: Market Panics and NiederhofferPradeep Bondehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comBlogger20125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-51066387153614498892007-02-28T11:50:00.000-05:002007-02-28T11:50:00.000-05:00That is what some clueless reporter said on On the...That is what some clueless reporter said on On the Money on CNBC last night. She said gold dropped yesterday as those "in the know" sold off on the event. That logic is flawed. Gold dropped yesterday with the manufacturing news looking like economy is going to slow so inflation fears subside. I'm sure that program basket selling contributed to it as well. <BR/><BR/>Like I said, anybody can point to leading divergences. It's is newbie's game.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-71962279392288633582007-02-28T11:41:00.000-05:002007-02-28T11:41:00.000-05:00Gosu says that the runup in gold was "big guys bra...Gosu says that the runup in gold was "big guys bracing themselves for a fall," both now and in spring of 2006. Bracing themselves HOW???? Did you see what gold did during the crash yesterday and the correction last summer? So they "braced themselves" by buying something that would underperform stocks during the crash or correction?nodoodahshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05324705536306995431noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-876608206412856582007-02-27T21:35:00.000-05:002007-02-27T21:35:00.000-05:00Hi F, I am no expert but not a newbie either....Hi F,<BR/> I am no expert but not a newbie either.<BR/>And sir, I am not pointing out the indicators "after" the fall, <A HREF="http://realhedgefund.blogspot.com/2007/02/worst-one-day-loss-for-nasdaq-tomorrow.html" REL="nofollow">As I mentioned in my blog less than 2 weeks ago</A>, I saw signs that the crash is coming.gosuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16514697285639348328noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-22911239639457903282007-02-27T20:25:00.000-05:002007-02-27T20:25:00.000-05:00All of those indicators are not predictive, gosu. ...All of those indicators are not predictive, gosu. Anybody can point out extreme indicators after a fall. Must be a newbie.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-92134895029079188982007-02-27T17:47:00.000-05:002007-02-27T17:47:00.000-05:00Some things I feel were obvious just before the se...Some things I feel were obvious just before the sell off:<BR/>1) <B>Gold rallied 5% in a day last week.</B> I think it was the big guys bracing themselves for the fall.<BR/>Same thing happened last year. <A HREF="http://finance.yahoo.com/charts#chart4:symbol=gld;range=20060227,20060726;compare=^ixic;indicator=split+macd;charttype=line;crosshair=on;logscale=on;source=undefined" REL="nofollow">Click here</A> to see how gold spiked from 570 in March and topped out at 726 just before the sell off, when Nasdaq went down 10% in two months.<BR/><BR/>2)<B> Percentage of stocks above their 200 Day Moving average was 78.</B> This indicates seriously overbought conditions.<BR/>Also, the number of stocks up 100% in a month was >=20.<BR/><BR/>3) <B>Sell off in Brokerages and Bank stocks in 5 trading sessions before the collapse.</B> <A HREF="http://finance.yahoo.com/charts#chart14:symbol=mer;range=1m;compare=ms+leh+bsc;indicator=split+volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;logscale=on;source=undefined" REL="nofollow">Click here</A> to see charts of LEH, BSC, MS and MER. If brokerages are selling hard on three times the average volume, means that insiders know the collapse is coming.<BR/><BR/>Gosu<BR/>http://www.realhedgefund.comgosuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16514697285639348328noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-58493691665241936742007-02-27T17:41:00.000-05:002007-02-27T17:41:00.000-05:00Also, the blogger poll did a great job of forecast...Also, the blogger poll did a great job of forecasting this drop.<BR/><BR/>http://tickersense.typepad.com/<BR/>ticker_sense/2007/02/february_26th_<BR/>b.html<BR/><BR/>It's a great contrarian tool.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-50287584128125233882007-02-27T17:38:00.000-05:002007-02-27T17:38:00.000-05:00FYI--interesting study shows good odds of up close...FYI--interesting study shows good odds of up close tommorrow.<BR/><BR/>http://tickersense.typepad.com/<BR/>ticker_sense/2007/02/and_it_got_wors<BR/>.htmlUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-9459863992443601722007-02-27T15:40:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:40:00.000-05:00Dow still above December low. That is the critica...Dow still above December low. That is the critical point to watch. Must assume status quo that longer term uptrend exists until close below it imo.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-46227928696423384572007-02-27T15:25:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:25:00.000-05:00pradeep, i am with you... i am guessing that consi...pradeep, i am with you... <BR/><BR/>i am guessing that considering the magnitude of this downward movement and velocity with which panic was induced, that it caught many off guared - bulls and bears alikewalterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-69292784348211218242007-02-27T15:24:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:24:00.000-05:00China was not hard to see. Huge distribution in F...China was not hard to see. Huge distribution in FXI in January. Was a risk that I commented on this blog re: this distribution weeks ago. I think just short term and we will retest market highs soon enough.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-43604275711422627852007-02-27T15:22:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:22:00.000-05:00Many perma bears will claim they saw it coming. On...Many perma bears will claim they saw it coming. Only thing is they have been saying it is coming , it is coming, it is coming for more than 4-5 years. So now they are all dancing in the streets. <BR/>Remember when the 50% plus in a month goes above 20 correction is around corner. So one needs to play accordingly. Last time also it indicated coming trouble well in advance. Momentum is cyclical, when it reaches extreme risk is high.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-10838807554049784062007-02-27T15:19:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:19:00.000-05:00Put my money where my mouth is and went long NQ ri...Put my money where my mouth is and went long NQ right after that post.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-42121646417772049582007-02-27T15:16:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:16:00.000-05:00did anyone see this coming? did anyone see china ...did anyone see this coming? did anyone see china coming?walterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-50175165595987540892007-02-27T15:15:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:15:00.000-05:00There are only 212 nasdaq stocks up and 2806 down....There are only 212 nasdaq stocks up and 2806 down. Only 3200-3300 listed stocks. I think we may have put in a bottom or near it.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-27612383044023365462007-02-27T15:11:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:11:00.000-05:00We have not yet reached a buy level. Few days of p...We have not yet reached a buy level. Few days of panic like this and we will.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-15199210422182036812007-02-27T15:09:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:09:00.000-05:00I feel that I could have made a lot more today. I...I feel that I could have made a lot more today. I didn't get any where near those 500 points on the Dow.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-24962991614986643292007-02-27T15:07:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:07:00.000-05:00what should i buy?what should i buy?walterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-61459029719775875872007-02-27T15:06:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:06:00.000-05:00-500?holy crap-500?<BR/><BR/>holy crapwalterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-18730895855938203532007-02-27T15:04:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:04:00.000-05:00There were curbs in effect in many markets. When t...There were curbs in effect in many markets. When they get lifted such things happen.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-32591586671513893842007-02-27T15:02:00.000-05:002007-02-27T15:02:00.000-05:00I've never seen a crash like that. On my feed the...I've never seen a crash like that. On my feed the Dow gapped down 200+ points in a matter of seconds.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07940721399571851897noreply@blogger.com