tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post5415037744442836211..comments2024-03-05T07:50:04.017-05:00Comments on Stockbee: RVBD Riverbed TechnologiesPradeep Bondehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comBlogger30125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-46283229403845637452007-04-26T01:52:00.000-04:002007-04-26T01:52:00.000-04:00nice call dude :-)nice call dude :-)Robert Babak Rowshanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07505296567752551520noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-87203088879038735922007-04-25T16:06:00.000-04:002007-04-25T16:06:00.000-04:00interesting. thanks pradeep.interesting. thanks pradeep.Susanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01946744835561258953noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-84664419052476350842007-04-25T15:55:00.000-04:002007-04-25T15:55:00.000-04:00You should take 65 days growth till yesterday.RVBD...You should take 65 days growth till yesterday.<BR/>RVBD 65 day low= 26.45<BR/>RVBD yesterday close = 28.28<BR/><BR/>Probably first gap up. Or even before that on 4% plus move around 28.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-35061617958506339532007-04-25T15:47:00.000-04:002007-04-25T15:47:00.000-04:00thanks pradeep. When you say "65 days growth comin...thanks pradeep. When you say "65 days growth coming in to earnings", do you mean the diff between the gap? coz i calculated the low of RVBD in 65 days is about 26, high is 34.5, growth is 45%<BR/><BR/>for amzn, would you have bought this in the 1st, or even 2nd gap up?Susanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01946744835561258953noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-35629780706213211542007-04-25T15:27:00.000-04:002007-04-25T15:27:00.000-04:00Third gap up not second.Third gap up not second.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-25260726126561012702007-04-25T15:18:00.000-04:002007-04-25T15:18:00.000-04:00RVBD 65 days growth coming in to earnings= 7%AMZN=...RVBD 65 days growth coming in to earnings= 7%<BR/>AMZN= 22%<BR/>Plus AMZN has 300 million plus shares, heavily owned by institutions. This is second gap up in 100% plus move from 260 days low. <BR/><BR/>RVBD is growing faster, lower float, lower instituional holding, greater earnings plus sales growth plus significant 100% plus earnings surprise compared to analyst estimates. <BR/><BR/>I will be very surprised if AMZN makes much headway beyond todays gap up. Once the short squeeze is over , it will head down.<BR/><BR/>That is my judgment based on years of trading earnings. I can be wrong but I am willing to bet few bucks that this level would provide good short opportunity on AMZN. <BR/><BR/>Large caps and heavily owned by institution stocks are best bought on weakness.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-35506526008584549542007-04-25T15:06:00.000-04:002007-04-25T15:06:00.000-04:00hi pradeep, Why would you recommend RVBD but not A...hi pradeep, <BR/><BR/>Why would you recommend RVBD but not AMZN. AMZN has been in consolidation for the past half year. it broke up with more than 4% in price and high volumn, same as RVBD. AMZN even broke out of multi-year high. So why you think AMZN would be going down and RVBD would be a up? Just want to learn how you analysed this. thank youSusanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01946744835561258953noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-62673668665911224742007-04-25T14:47:00.000-04:002007-04-25T14:47:00.000-04:00Pradeep,Thanks for shedding light on how to trade ...Pradeep,<BR/>Thanks for shedding light on how to trade stock. I haven't traded yet but having read your blog am pretty sure your concepts must be right. The RVBD (which i not yet buy to take the profit yet)is just one of the proof of the pudding.<BR/>Thanks again and God bless you.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08295583736234088424noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-8046182895409029652007-04-25T12:04:00.000-04:002007-04-25T12:04:00.000-04:00Yes. It had 4% plus breakout in last 10 days and o...Yes. It had 4% plus breakout in last 10 days and one even before that.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-70686738147118119062007-04-25T12:02:00.000-04:002007-04-25T12:02:00.000-04:00sorry, i meant as in the last week or so...no big ...sorry, i meant as in the last week or so...<BR/><BR/>no big deal. had nice breakout, and pulled back some...walterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-74748352239375122007-04-25T11:56:00.000-04:002007-04-25T11:56:00.000-04:00FPIC today. No as of 11 A.M.FPIC today. No as of 11 A.M.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-25631703577722198292007-04-25T11:51:00.000-04:002007-04-25T11:51:00.000-04:00did FPIC show up on any of your breakout scans?did FPIC show up on any of your breakout scans?walterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-26996863409479032012007-04-25T11:35:00.000-04:002007-04-25T11:35:00.000-04:00AMZNNo. It will go down most probably from here. 3...AMZN<BR/><BR/>No. It will go down most probably from here. 309 million float.<BR/><BR/>Stocks has doubled from July low. The move today is probably a climax for that move.<BR/><BR/>It might be a good short.<BR/>IMHOPradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-18178240052890067512007-04-25T11:32:00.000-04:002007-04-25T11:32:00.000-04:00wow, and a river runs through it !! nice Pradeep.wow, and a river runs through it !! nice Pradeep.dachestmeister1https://www.blogger.com/profile/00447052056400764544noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-15169561456785348082007-04-25T11:28:00.000-04:002007-04-25T11:28:00.000-04:00monitor AMZN for breakout play?monitor AMZN for breakout play?walterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-15206867466286169972007-04-25T11:27:00.000-04:002007-04-25T11:27:00.000-04:00I trade a bunch of accounts, so different accounts...I trade a bunch of accounts, so different accounts have different stocks. <BR/>NGA was probably a good buy 10 days ago when it appeared in 100% plus breakout list. It is up around 30 % plus since then.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-38051769511399728172007-04-25T11:08:00.000-04:002007-04-25T11:08:00.000-04:00Pradeep, what stocks are you in right now besides ...Pradeep, what stocks are you in right now besides rvbd ? What do you think of nga from ibd ? From out of nowhere to # 6 on idb 200 , this is only my second week of tracking this list , but it looks good , thanks Markdachestmeister1https://www.blogger.com/profile/00447052056400764544noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-42143462852397543592007-04-25T10:56:00.000-04:002007-04-25T10:56:00.000-04:00The 3 day rule is vehicle selection specific. It w...The 3 day rule is vehicle selection specific. It works on my set of stocks because they have been preselected based on some critria.<BR/><BR/>On the short side the dynamics of moves are very different. Most short moves will have more retest of breakdown. At least that is what my research shows, so you need very wide stops for shorts.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-145687222521159702007-04-25T10:52:00.000-04:002007-04-25T10:52:00.000-04:00regarding 3 day low for breakouts, do you think th...regarding 3 day low for breakouts, do you think the same 3 day rule can be applied in reverse for breakdowns?walterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-3821481675825118972007-04-25T10:36:00.000-04:002007-04-25T10:36:00.000-04:00damn, we missed multiple breakouts on OSG...mentio...damn, we missed multiple breakouts on OSG...<BR/><BR/>mentioned last week or something...walterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-81023193454821600442007-04-25T10:34:00.000-04:002007-04-25T10:34:00.000-04:00great! - i trust your research.great! - i trust your research.walterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-85760277446538394682007-04-25T10:33:00.000-04:002007-04-25T10:33:00.000-04:00In everything I use low of 2 days previous to brea...In everything I use low of 2 days previous to breakout day as stop. The logic is if breakout works, it never goes below the 3 days or it is not worth holding on to such breakout. My tests on earnings/ IBD200/100 plus show that the successful trades never go below the 3 day low.Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-7325678324344205542007-04-25T10:31:00.000-04:002007-04-25T10:31:00.000-04:00I only have 10 k account , I bought 100 32.32 , 1 ...I only have 10 k account , I bought 100 32.32 , 1 % loss is roughly 100 , so i put stop at 31.32 , i should have only bought 27 shares and let it ride to 27.85 2 day low , thanks , Markdachestmeister1https://www.blogger.com/profile/00447052056400764544noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-64467315856666215252007-04-25T10:28:00.000-04:002007-04-25T10:28:00.000-04:00pradeeb, as a rule, is it always the low of 2 days...pradeeb, as a rule, is it always the low of 2 days previous? what do you mean by "such trades"? breakout trades?<BR/><BR/>thankswalterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17470446666411384334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20374666.post-4936419774654356382007-04-25T10:18:00.000-04:002007-04-25T10:18:00.000-04:00Your concept of 1% risk might be wrong.Stop is 27....Your concept of 1% risk might be wrong.<BR/>Stop is 27.85<BR/>Your start capital let us assume 100000<BR/>Your entry is say 32.25 so what will be your position.<BR/>1% of 100000 is 1000<BR/>1000/(32.25-27.85)=227.27<BR/>So you buy 227 shares at 32.25. Total invested= 227*32.25= 7320.75<BR/>If you get stopped out at 27.85. You will have loss of 1000 approximately due to rounding. <BR/>27.85*227=6321.95 <BR/>7320.75-6321.95=999Pradeep Bondehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16750002566366368685noreply@blogger.com