1/30/2013

How to find long term winners

Stock markets have different kind of winners. Some stocks can make big move in 5 days and after that end up all the gains. Similarly some move only for a month. But there are some special kind of stocks that make longer term multi year or multi year moves.

The multi cycle winners are stock with longer term momentum. These stocks make a move for few months or quarters and then correct but do not breakdown. They recover from their correction and go on to make another move.

The best one are the ones which do not correct more than 30% from their high. They have extremely powerful momentum. Such stocks are rare breed that have something going for them. The reason they do not correct much is because the holders do not sell and new buyers continuously buy at dip.

If you are looking for a position trading ideas or swing trades of longer duration and magnitude than few days or weeks this is where you need to focus.

In order to find such stocks look for top 100 to 300 stocks with one year momentum that have not had more than 30% correction during their move from beginning of the trend. There will be very few stocks like that in current market. In different market circumstances where growth stocks dominate, you can find many.

Some examples of these kind of stocks are:




If in next correction cycle such stocks again refuse to dip below 30% from high and go sideways for few months, then they offer powerful breakout setups. Most long running stocks with growth story will show you this kind of pattern. They continue to grow for multiple cycles as against other flash in the pan growth stocks which can just grow for few quarters.

For working people and part time traders such stocks can allow you to identify buying opportunity well in advance and you can do your work over weekend.

To do so start with a Top 200 stocks by one year momentum list like below band set it up in a software like Telechart and then look for stocks that do not dip more than 30% during duration of the move.

Top 200 Stocks with one year momentum:


ACAD
ACAS
ACHC
ACRX
AEG
AEGR
AHS
AHT
ALJ
ALNY
AOS
APO
APOG
ARMH
ASGN
ASTX
AXLL
AZZ
BANR
BC
BCEI
BDBD
BDC
BECN
BIOS
BKD
BLDR
BMRN
BRP
CAR
CAS
CFNL
CHMT
COG
CONN
CP
CPA
CRAY
CSOD
CSU
CTB
CVD
CVI
CVLT
CX
CYH
CYMI
DAL
DGI
DIN
DK
DLPH
DLX
DORM
DPZ
EEFT
EMN
EPL
EQIX
ESC
EXP
EXPE
FBHS
FLT
FNF
FNGN
GEO
GIL
GILD
GLDD
GNRC
GPOR
GRFS
GTN
GVA
GWR
GY
HAFC
HEES
HERO
HFC
HMA
HSNI
ICA
ICON
INFI
INXN
KBH
KCAP
KEP
KERX
KKD
LAD
LCC
LEDR
LEN
LL
LNDC
LNG
LNN
LPX
LYB
MCO
MDSO
MHK
MHO
MIC
MMS
MPC
MPEL
MTZ
MWA
MX
N
NCT
NLS
NRF
NXST
OCN
OSK
PCRX
PCYC
PDFS
PHG
PHH
PHM
PJC
PMT
POL
PPG
PVH
QIHU
QUAD
RAX
REGN
RJET
RMD
RNF
ROCK
RSE
RTEC
RTK
RWT
RYL
SAH
SBRA
SCS
SEAC
SFUN
SGMO
SHLM
SIRI
SIRO
SMA
SMP
SNFCA
SNTA
SNTS
SODA
SPB
SPF
STAG
STRZA
STZ
SXL
SYRG
TASR
TCX
TEX
THC
TISI
TMH
TREX
TRS
TRW
TSO
TUES
TVL
TXI
UBS
URBN
URI
USG
VAC
VLO
VMC
VMED
VVI
WD
WGO
WHR
WLK
WNR
WOR
WY
XIN
XXIA
ZQK



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