Pre Market Movers

1. gnw
2. lvs
3. aixg
4. vvus
5. mgm
6. mpel
7. eljnpr
8. ire
9. hov
10. cno

Pre Market Movers

1. amsc
2. rbs
3. pq
4. lyg
5. aixg
6. miti
7. akam
8. ing
9. spp
10. symc

Pre Market Movers

• pdfs
• uis
• wsii
• wbc
• mnov
• peet
• cbi
• wit
• rmx
• nati
• rfmd
• hrs
• pnra

Top 10 ETF by relative strength

• ewz
• tur
• kol
• thd
• gxc
• inp
• hao
• slv
• epi
• gdx

Pre Market Movers

• slry
• tmi
• mvis
• nlc
• htz
• fsbk
• adg
• podd
• mdvn
• uctt
• cab
• cog
• lulu

The Amazing Review

The Amazing Stock Bee

In a previous post, I mentioned one blog(and so far the only one I can recall) that actually resulted in $$$ in my pocket. That blog is the excellent Stock Bee run by Pradeep Bonde aka EasyGuru. If memory serves me correct, EasyGuru originally started out as a marketing/advertising consultant in India and also taught MBA level courses in marketing. At some point he took his earnings and began researching methods of speculating in financial markets.

Read more at www.largecaptrader.com

Pre Market Movers

• smlc
• igld
• elrn
• io
• jade
• arna
• bcrx
• plx
• nvtl
• crnt
• mps
• ctcm
• nve
• sva

AMZN the power of earning surprize

AMZN: Amazon.com Inc

A big earning surprize kicked off todays move. A 25% move till now for a 50 billion market cap company is really significant move. That too when market is down 1%.

Today morning I told someone that Amazon might go up 25% today. He said over his dead body. Now I have to find whether he is dead or alive!!!

Early morning big movers

• amzn
• msft
• cof
• bucy
• nflx
• algn
• powi
• scss
• pwer

Lot of post earnings moves in the list.

Pre Market Movers

• amzn
• hway
• syna
• algn
• sorl
• txic
• rcky
• cof
• ceo
• rodm
• msf
• neuscss
• mfn

Top 10 stock by relative strength

1. etm
2. useg
3. ta
4. mni
5. kndi
6. lee
7. cvgi
8. meg
9. tstc
10. trgt

Top 10 ETF by relative strength

1. edc
2. fas
3. uym
4. bgu
5. tna
6. agq
7. ure
8. uyg
9. mvv
10. uwm

Excluding the leveraged ETF

1. ewz
2. tur
3. kol
4. bkf
5. epi
6. slv
7. thd
8. gdx
9. pin
10. gxc

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

Stocks up 50% plus in a month

Symbol	Price per share	price 20 days ago	%change month
HTE	9.35	6.10	53
DDRX	29.88	18.40	62
BWS	12.01	7.83	53
TSTC	10.51	6.61	59
MEG	11.37	7.57	50
ETM	9.57	5.08	88
POWR	10.17	6.36	60
ASPM	12.01	7.64	57
SR	8.43	5.42	56
ICTG	16.04	10.56	52
SRI	8.90	5.78	54
DEER	12.80	8.50	51
NTL	16.00	9.85	62

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

Symbol	price per share	price 260 days ago	% change from 260 days low
LVS	16.82	1.42	1077
GNW	11.04	0.84	1200
TCK	33.54	2.67	1152
HGSI	20.41	0.48	4067
PALM	15.83	1.42	1008
DNDN	28.09	2.61	975
ODP	7.52	0.59	1155
CAR	10.96	0.36	2865
CNO	6.24	0.26	2215
AXL	7.02	0.29	2243
RINO	23.74	2.00	1082
TRW	18.71	1.52	1124
ARM	9.43	0.35	2522
DTG	25.64	0.62	3971
AIB	7.62	0.76	891
DAN	7.24	0.20	3352
CHRS	5.80	0.48	1086
BZH	5.31	0.25	1946
NG	5.05	0.45	1000
PMI	2.86	0.30	826
MOD	9.39	0.83	1019
VCI	20.16	1.11	1701
OFG	13.69	0.91	1389
RODM	5.13	0.19	2470
DDRX	29.88	0.30	9542
COT	8.02	0.66	1089
SRZ	5.24	0.27	1775
LNET	6.00	0.48	1127
PNX	4.23	0.21	1827
PIR	4.57	0.11	3717
OGXI	32.06	2.23	1332
KOG	2.51	0.18	1226
BZ	6.06	0.24	2328
IRE	15.87	0.72	2075
TRGT	21.20	1.63	1193
SMRT	11.05	0.99	1006
JAZZ	7.81	0.55	1296
HSNI	17.71	1.44	1122
LZB	9.11	0.60	1395
QTM	1.53	0.11	1183
SCSS	5.78	0.19	2795
MIC	9.43	0.79	1080
OMN	7.57	0.40	1749
ETM	9.57	0.55	1611
PLAB	4.82	0.35	1242
LEE	3.68	0.27	1218
UEC	3.49	0.18	1742
FTWR	1.49	0.07	1775
CVGI	7.79	0.47	1525
FRZ	5.12	0.44	1040
CATM	9.20	0.65	1295
JRN	4.48	0.40	995
EVC	2.75	0.15	1625
KERX	2.16	0.11	1708
LTXC	1.53	0.09	1440
ATSG	3.30	0.12	2446
KGN	4.71	0.40	1068
CMRG	3.08	0.26	1044
CKEC	10.91	1.00	981
VVTV	3.77	0.18	1889
CLZR	3.24	0.27	1061
ROIAK	1.59	0.07	1900
MERC	2.76	0.27	889
SALM	4.07	0.32	1136
VOCL	1.56	0.15	881
IDT.C	3.23	0.27	1057

If none of these showed up in your scans or trades in last few months, may be you need a different method.

Pre Market Movers

• HTE
• SDXC
• FFIV
• NYT
• LOGI
• DEPO
• ALXN
• ALOY

Top 10 ETF by relative strength

1. edc
2. uym
3. bgu
4. agq
5. fas
6. tna
7. mvv
8. ure
9. uyg
10. uwm

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

1000 % plus

Symbol	price per share	price 260 days ago	% change from 260 days low
LVS	16.35	1.42	1044
TCK	32.89	2.67	1128
GNW	10.78	0.84	1169
HGSI	19.08	0.48	3796
PALM	15.48	1.42	983
DNDN	28.26	2.61	979
ODP	7.09	0.59	1083
TRW	18.01	1.52	1078
DAN	7.09	0.20	3281
AXL	6.61	0.29	2107
CNO	6.20	0.26	2200
CAR	10.94	0.36	2859
DTG	25.60	0.62	3965
ARM	8.95	0.35	2389
RINO	21.85	2.00	988
VCI	19.88	1.11	1676
TRGT	20.98	1.63	1180
CHRS	5.37	0.48	998
NG	5.28	0.45	1050
SRZ	5.35	0.27	1814
PMI	2.67	0.30	765
AIB	7.78	0.76	912
BZH	4.96	0.25	1812
OGXI	30.31	2.23	1254
MOD	9.63	0.83	1048
ETM	9.40	0.55	1540
PNX	4.21	0.21	1818
PIR	4.33	0.11	3517
QTM	1.47	0.11	1133
COT	8.02	0.66	1099
BZ	6.08	0.24	2336
DDRX	28.17	0.30	8990
OFG	12.03	0.91	1209
HSNI	17.19	1.44	1086
IRE	15.99	0.72	2092
JAZZ	7.99	0.55	1329
SMRT	11.23	0.99	1024
KOG	2.47	0.18	1205
LZB	8.90	0.60	1344
MIC	9.51	0.79	1090
RODM	5.89	0.19	2850
OMN	7.54	0.40	1741
PLAB	4.73	0.35	1217
LTXC	1.56	0.09	1470
LEE	3.68	0.27	1218
SCSS	5.77	0.19	2790
FRZ	5.29	0.44	1078
LNET	6.88	0.48	1306
UEC	3.66	0.18	1832
CVGI	7.63	0.47	1492
CATM	8.76	0.65	1229
JRN	4.33	0.40	959
KERX	2.12	0.11	1675
FTWR	1.57	0.07	1875
ATSG	3.22	0.12	2385
CKEC	10.88	1.00	978
KGN	4.90	0.40	1098
CMRG	2.81	0.26	944
MERC	2.73	0.27	879
EVC	2.46	0.15	1444
ROIAK	1.57	0.07	1875
VVTV	3.67	0.18	1837
CLZR	3.20	0.27	1046
SALM	3.68	0.32	1018
VOCL	1.58	0.15	894
IDT.C	3.59	0.27	1186

Small moves dominate

	Market Monitor Market monitor is market breadth based market timing tool		Current Readings Market is slowly rolling over. Big 500 plus negative day will indicate need for caution. However earnings continues to provide individual stock trades.
Type	Indicator	Value	Comments
Daily	# of stocks up >4% on high volume	82	16 stocks with 100 million plus dollar volume.(M$V)
Daily	# of stocks down>4% on high volume	261	21 stocks with 100 million plus M$V Second negative breadth day in last 3 days.
Primary	# of stocks up >25% in a quarter	1737
Primary	# of stocks down>25% in a quarter	274
Secondary	# of stocks up> 50% in a month	6	There are fewer big moves happening.
Secondary	# of stocks down>50% in a month	3
Secondary	# of stocks up>25% in a month	57	This shows same thing. Follow through is a problem.
Secondary	# of stocks down>25% in a month	40
Primary fast	# of stocks up>13% in 34 days	1935
Primary fast	# of stocks down>13% in 34 days	615
MMA+	% of stocks in confirmed uptrend	61
MMA-	% of stocks in confirmed downtrend	16
10 day cumulative breadth ratio	#of stocks up> 4% in last 10 days/ #of stocks down>4% in last 10 days	1.98

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

Stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

Symbol	Price per share	% change from 52week low	Price 260 days ago	Learnings
LVS	16.85	1079	1.42
GNW	11.23	1222	0.84
HGSI	19.96	3976	0.48
TCK	32.55	1115	2.67
PALM	16.09	1026	1.42
CNO	6.53	2322	0.26
DNDN	29.51	1027	2.61
ODP	7.48	1148	0.59
TRGT	23.29	1321	1.63
CAR	11.66	3054	0.36
TRW	16.85	1002	1.52
AXL	6.13	1947	0.29
RINO	25.14	1151	2.00
DTG	26.18	4057	0.62
DAN	6.75	3119	0.20
PMI	3.28	961	0.30
JAZZ	8.52	1423	0.55
AIB	7.94	932	0.76
ARM	8.59	2289	0.35
SRZ	5.16	1746	0.27
NG	5.66	1133	0.45
VCI	20.01	1688	1.11
BZH	5.62	2065	0.25
PIR	4.65	3783	0.11
IRE	16.29	2133	0.72
CHRS	5.55	1035	0.48
PNX	4.16	1795	0.21
KOG	2.65	1300	0.18
OGXI	34.34	1433	2.23
COT	8.39	1154	0.66
HSNI	17.06	1077	1.44
ETM	9.11	1529	0.55
BZ	6.23	2326	0.24
OMN	7.59	1754	0.40
FTWR	1.57	1875	0.07
MIC	9.64	1106	0.79
LZB	9.14	1400	0.60
PLAB	5.04	1303	0.35
LEE	3.89	1293	0.27
MOD	10.21	1117	0.83
UEC	3.63	1816	0.18
SMRT	11.73	1074	0.99
OFG	12.60	1271	0.91
RODM	5.31	2560	0.19
CATM	9.10	1280	0.65
LTXC	1.71	1620	0.09
SCSS	6.43	3120	0.19
KERX	2.24	1775	0.11
CVGI	7.75	1517	0.47
QTM	1.43	1100	0.11
DDRX	24.36	7761	0.30
ROIAK	1.66	1988	0.07
CMRG	2.89	974	0.26
LNET	7.23	1378	0.48
KGN	5.07	1139	0.40
ATSG	3.29	2438	0.12
CKEC	11.06	996	1.00
FRZ	5.14	1044	0.44
EVC	2.56	1506	0.15
JRN	4.43	983	0.40
VVTV	3.68	1842	0.18
MERC	3.20	1046	0.27
CLZR	3.27	1071	0.27
SALM	3.84	1067	0.32
VOCL	1.73	998	0.15
IDT.C	3.10	1011	0.27

Retail traders patron saint is Bulkowski

I get lot of emails from readers of blog asking about various scans and patterns , but that is not a very important part in profitable trading. The basic concept is important. Scans are tactical tools to achieve the end results. Tactics can be adopted to market or can be changed.

In order to trade the markets successfully, you must have some overall understanding of what works in the market. In last 30 years or so there has been lot of progress in understanding the markets. Most of the advances in understanding the markets have been because of lot of academic professionals and quants studying the market as science. Such studies have contributed to our understanding of what factors drive stock performance in short term and long term.

Last 20-30 years have seen heavy adoption of such science driven approach by traders and wall street houses. Quants have replaced the technical analysts and other old approaches, while retail traders continue to be still fascinated by the old approaches. Retail traders patron saint is Bulkowski and many have no understanding beyond chart patterns. In a way it is good. Market consists of all levels of people and for market to work you need both informed and uninformed traders.

Based on the academic and quant studies of markets few basic trading approaches have evolved.

Most commonly followed trading approaches are:

• Momentum: momentum methods are based on price behaviour. Within momentum basically two types of approaches have evolved :
  • Trend following: in which you make a trade in the same direction of a defined price trend.
  • Mean reversion: because ultimately all trend end and trend start from weakness, mean reversion traders try and buy anti trend. Mean reversion strategies have become very popular with very short duration traders. Some highly liquid instruments like index futures exhibit very high degree of mean reversion during certain periods and are popular with short term trades.
• Growth: Growth investors buy stocks of companies with rapidly growing earnings or sales. the key to success in growth investing is being early in identifying a growth stock. Growth in companies tend to trend and that is why growth strategies work. In short holding periods of 3 to 12 months growth investing tends to do well.
• Value : Value investors basically look at ratio of price to some value indicator like earnings, book value, cash flow, sales, etc. So value investors look for undervalued securities. Research has now identified factors which drive valuation and have shown over longer holding time frames value strategies do well.
• Balance Sheet quality: Lot of academic research is now focused on real earnings and real growth as against managed earnings or managed growth. The complexity in accounting practices have resulted in most companies resorting to having two books of accounts: one for investors and one for tax and legal purpose. So there has been a growing trend towards managing earnings and balance sheet to satisfy investors. This creates a problem of quality of earnings and in many cases such quality problems lead to later date implosion. Most banks and big companies like GE are poster children for such practices. So a growing body of academic research is focused on identifying factors which can warn investors of such hidden problems.
• Statistical patterns: With computing power becoming cheap and abundant there is a growth in statistics based techniques for trading. In such techniques past patterns are studied and then current situation is compared to it. So you will find lot of people predicting the next day move in market based on whether it was up 3 days in a row or down 3 days in a row.

If you talk to quants, most of the work they do is focused on these approaches. All these approaches have theoretical and logical and behavioral support. If you based your trading approach on proven approach you increase your probability of success. If basic approach is right tactics can be changed.

What is working in current market

Symbol	Price Per Share	Price 20 Days Ago	% Change month
IOC	49.67	31.91	56
RINO	24.59	12.85	91
PER	29.92	17.77	68
AM	24.00	15.00	60
POWR	8.80	5.59	57
TRIT	19.38	11.80	64
YONG	11.56	7.29	59
ETM	8.73	5.29	65
FFBC	13.08	8.37	56
ASPM	12.00	6.92	73
TSTC	9.09	5.65	61
PZE	19.40	6.95	179
SRI	8.90	5.38	62
SR	7.75	5.05	53
ICTG	15.97	10.61	51
DEER	12.33	6.31	95
KITD	11.47	7.49	53
NTL	14.90	9.40	59

What is working currently:

• Chinese stocks make big moves. So should have a list of Chinese stocks and should monitor and buy Chinese stock breakouts daily.
• IPOs make big move. Monitor and buy breakouts in IPO.
• Stocks from Top 20 sectors make big move.
• Stocks make big move after earnings surprize.
• Stock show up on Episodic Pivot scan before big moves.
• Fast moving stocks has to be bought on EP day. They seldom offer a pullback entry.

Current learnings from stocks up 1000% plus from 52 week low

• Number one ranked stock in this list by % change is a growth stock.
• Currently stock with worst prior six month MDT relative strength are the best performers.
• Currently highly leveraged companies are making big moves.
• Currently stock priced below 3 are the biggest movers.
• 80% of the stocks had Kirkpatrick p/s Rank below 42
• Moves started with a Episodic Pivot breakout.
• Relative linearity gets established quickly in big moving stocks.

Symbol	Price Per Change	Formula Change	Price 260 Days Ago
LVS	17.94	1155	1.42
GNW	12.12	1327	0.84
CNO	6.46	2296	0.26
TCK	33.47	1149	2.67
HGSI	19.16	3812	0.47
PALM	16.94	1085	1.48
RINO	24.59	1124	2.00
DNDN	29.33	1020	2.61
ODP	7.74	1192	0.59
CAR	12.54	3292	0.36
NG	5.74	1150	0.45
SRZ	4.61	1550	0.27
TRW	17.73	1059	1.52
AXL	6.66	2123	0.29
DTG	27.23	4224	0.62
PIR	4.83	3933	0.11
AIB	8.63	1022	0.76
ARM	8.96	2392	0.35
BZH	5.88	2165	0.25
COT	5.49	1169	0.66
CHRS	5.73	1071	0.48
DAN	7.10	3286	0.20
PMI	3.87	1152	0.30
IRE	17.30	2271	0.72
UEC	3.67	1837	0.18
VCI	20.11	1696	1.11
PNX	4.31	1864	0.21
OMN	7.92	1834	0.40
BZ	6.29	2420	0.24
PLAB	5.49	1428	0.35
MIC	9.75	1120	0.79
FRZ	5.65	1158	0.44
ETM	8.73	1461	0.55
QTM	1.47	1133	0.11
SCSS	6.63	3220	0.19
RODM	5.83	2820	0.19
LEE	4.01	1336	0.27
HSNI	16.62	1047	1.44
JAZZ	7.79	1293	0.55
FTWR	1.60	1913	0.07
ROIAK	1.50	1788	0.07
KOG	2.51	1226	0.16
MOD	10.81	1188	0.83
LZB	9.27	1421	0.60
TRGT	18.49	1028	1.63
KERX	2.28	1808	0.11
JRN	4.75	1061	0.40
DDRX	24.39	7771	0.30
OGXI	35.00	1463	2.23
SMRT	12.47	1148	0.99
OFG	13.32	1338	0.91
LTXC	1.80	1710	0.09
CVGI	7.76	1519	0.47
CATM	9.03	1270	0.65

High volume breakouts so far

Method	Symbols
Episodic Pivots	bmti jade ziop chio acpw kaz
EP Month Breakout (only selected highlighted)	mpg txic frz wnc clfd
Modified Double Trouble	cno frz wnc
Double Trouble	cno frz
Top 20 Sectors	watg txic clfd
China	asia cga vit jade
IPO	myrx
IBD 100/200	asia clfd
Kirkpatrick scan Selected highlight	mpg frz wnc
Other

Save Now

Market Monitor

	Market Monitor Market monitor is market breadth based market timing tool		Current Readings Cautiously bullish
Type	Indicator	Value	Comments
Daily	# of stocks up >4% on high volume	125	7 stocks with 100 million plus dollar volume.(M$V)
Daily	# of stocks down>4% on high volume	77	7 stocks with 100 million plus M$V
Primary	# of stocks up >25% in a quarter	2050
Primary	# of stocks down>25% in a quarter	216
Secondary	# of stocks up> 50% in a month	15
Secondary	# of stocks down>50% in a month	2
Secondary	# of stocks up>25% in a month	74	Pathetic . Breakouts are not following through.
Secondary	# of stocks down>25% in a month	25
Primary fast	# of stocks up>13% in 34 days	1896
Primary fast	# of stocks down>13% in 34 days	578
MMA+	% of stocks in confirmed uptrend	62
MMA-	% of stocks in confirmed downtrend	16
10 day cumulative breadth ratio	#of stocks up> 4% in last 10 days/ #of stocks down>4% in last 10 days	1.30