Thursday, April 30, 2009

Earnings breakouts : GMCR OMX FSLR




So how did the list of stocks to watch work out so far. 

Here is how we handled it on Members Site:
Trade alert (4/30/2009 9:33:00 AM EST)
        

 OMX

6.50



1 Comments.. 
Posted by: easyguru
Trade Alert (4/30/2009 9:31:00 AM EST)
        

 GMCR

64.50


6 Comments.. 
Posted by: easyguru
Trade Alert (4/30/2009 9:31:00 AM EST)
        

 FSLR

177

Trade Alert (4/29/2009 3:08:00 PM EST)
        

 HGG

16.30

pullback buy

-------------------------------------------------------------

And after that we booked partial profit in some of the above positions  and sitting on good profit in them . In this market there are so many explosive moves of 10% plus on earnings. If you have a well thought out methodology you should be finding this market easy to trade. 


Stock to watch today

HGG nice pullback

FSLR
GMCR
DRYS
PCX
OMX

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

AAN: Earnings breakout

AAN: Aarons Inc
Big earnings surprise leads to big moves. Moves like these are dime a dozen in this earnings season. 

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

RST: recent IPO

RST: Roseta Stone 

This recent IPO is today up after a pullback. 
Remember my post on CYOU pullback. Since then CYOU is up 10% plus. The morning pullback idea of CSTR  up around 7%. Currently in this market there are lot of pullbacks like these. One doesn't know how long the party will last but in this market both breakouts and pullbacks are working. 

THOR: pullback watch

THOR: Thorate Corporation
Another pullback worth keeping an eye on. There are currently so many such pullbacks, that the market probably might have more upside. Earnings on THOR is due this week. 

CSTR: Pullback watch

CSTR: Coinstar Inc

Lot of stocks which made a big move in early March are now in pullback mode. As market phase shifts, such pullback opportunities are now showing up on many stocks. 

Monday, April 27, 2009

Swing Trading Books

I am often asked for  books recommendation. As most of the traders are looking for swing trading related books, this is a list of books which can help you learn swing trading strategies and tactics.
Swing trading is a style of trading practiced by short term and intermedioate term traders to capture part of a trend. 
These books have many ideas the key is converting those ideas in to workable strategies. For that you should be able to convert these strategies in to scans in Telechart or any other software. 
Fortunately most of these strategies have been converted to scans already and if you search the Telechart yahoo group  you will find scan for most of these.
Most swing strategies have well defined methodology , but there is also an element of discretion. So there is some art involved in trading these kind of methods.
 
Mark Boucher

Dave Landry
 
 
 
 
Tony Oz
 
 
 
Linda Raschke and Laurence Connors
 
 
Larry Connors
 
 
 
Larry Williams
 
Stephen Bigalow
 
 
John Markman
 
 
Thomas Carr
 
 

HUM- Humana : Stock to watch

Saturday, April 25, 2009

Market timing models

One of the reason many people missed out on the market rally so far or got in late is because of lack of market timing model. Many people were very bearish and when the market turned they never believed in the rally. If you use a market timing model you can get in to such explosive moves.

Market Monitor is my market timing model. It uses market breadth for market timing. Market Timing models try to identify periods when it is favorable and unfavorable to invest in the market. The objective is to be aggressive during favorable periods and to be defensive and less invested during unfavorable period. It signaled a buy on 16th March, 5 days after the turn started. That was the signal to be aggressive and that helped catch many explosive moves in last month and half.

Different people use different approach to build market timing models. I have studied various timing systems over the years and they can be broadly classified as:
  1. Monetary indicators: based on interest rates, bond yield, money supply , consumer debt, business debt, savings etc
  2. Economic indicators: gdp growth rate, industrial production, inventory levels, retail sales, durables sales, new home building and so on.
  3. Valuation Indicator: PE ratios, PS ratio , etc.
  4. Sentiment Indicators: investor surveys, fund managers survey, cover pages, VIX, blogger survey
  5. Cyclical Indicator: President cycles, 4 year cycles, best month, best week, best day, X day % change and so on
  6. Technical Indicators: MA cross, chart patterns,
  7. Breadth Indicators: number of stocks up or down %. Worden has wide range of breadth indicators under All Worden Indicators.

There are many Market Timing models in public domain. Some of the useful books to study market timing are:
Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis can provide you a template for developing a Market Timing system.
Similarly Martin Zweig in his book Martin Zweig Winning on Wall Street has extensive discussion on Market Timing.
Norman Fosback book Stock Market Logic is another good resource for Market Timing ideas.
The Complete Guide to Market Breadth Indicators by Gregory Morris.This book is very detailed book on market breadth.

Friday, April 24, 2009

MHK and SNS : earnings breakout


The restaurant sector is where you will see maximum earnings breakout in last few days. Earnings are much better than expected in the sector and sop the stocks are having explosive moves. 

HANS

Some stocks like these are breaking out ahead of earnings in anticipation of good earnings.

RT: Earnings trade Example

This trade was triggered on 4/8/09 after Ruby Tuesday beat earnings expectations by wide margin.

Trade Alert (4/8/2009 9:37:00 AM EST)
        

 Rt

5

EP earnings

1%


17 Comments.. 
Posted by: easyguru


Along the way we took partial profit and closed the trade yesterday after it achieved my profit target. 
RT closed for 53% profit (4/23/2009 9:54:00 AM EST)
        

 7.65


12 Comments.. 
Posted by: easyguru

As I have said before, in this earnings season the expectations were so low that any company which beats expectation has had immediate 15 to 20% pop. 
Most earnings season produce 5 to 20 such trades. Most traders have been told to be wary of earnings season and as a result do not look at the profit potential of trading earnings breakouts. While there is a downside risk in earnings season on stock, you are holding, the profit potential of finding stock which breakout on earnings is greater.
Stocks which breakout on earnings do not just make quick rallies, but in many cases they go on to makle big moves after a pyllback/ consolidation phase. PEAD or Post Earnings Announcement Drift is a very well documenmted anomaly in stock market. 
The PEAD is the tendency of stocks that beat earnings expectations to continue to drift upwards in near future after the announcement. Similarly stocks that miss earnings  continue to drift downwards. And the abnormal returns associated with the drift are substantial. The market does not immediately fully incorporate the information contained in the earnings announcement in to the stock price. 

Thursday, April 23, 2009

High volume breakouts

Again earnings breakouts dominate this list.
ACOR
AIRM
CLZR
DAVE
DENN
EBAY
FIG
GIFI
HGRD
IMAX
JEF
KNX
LNET
MCRI
NTGR
NUVA
PTV
RCL
RSH
RUTH
TAST
TCBI
TIN
TQNT
VTNC
WGOV

TIN: earnings breakout

TIN beat earnings estimate by 25 cents and went up 24% yesterday. In many stocks the sentiments and expectations were so low that if a stock beats by 5 cents , it is likely to go up 10 to 20% in a day. 

Currently playing the earnings breakout game is like shooting fish in a barrel. 

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

SIGA: Trade of the day



SIGA is a stock in the top 5% by relative strength currently. It had a very orderly pullback for last 5 days. So it was highlighted early morning as a stock to watch for possible entry.

Pullback Watch (4/22/2009 8:30:00 AM EST)

SIGA and CSTR


0 Comments..
Posted by: easyguru
----------------------------------------------------------
The trade triggered once it had a high volume breakout around 11:30
Trade Alert (4/22/2009 11:31:00 AM EST)

SIGA

6.20

MDT

1%


2 Comments..
Posted by: easyguru
____________________________________
It went on to make 11.58% move by the end of the day. That was just one of the trade for today. in this market 10 to 20% moves are everywhere and as long as this party continues, the methods like IBD100/200, Double trouble and Modified Double Trouble and Episodic Pivots continue to find such trades.
There were 10 to 15 earnings breakouts today which went on to make 10% moves.

Earnings breakouts a galore

In this earnings season there have been ton of earnings breakouts. After a bear market of over a year and record price drop, investors were too pessimistic about earnings. Under such conditions even a slightly better earnings than expectation can lead to big rally. 

Stocks with earnings surprise are making 15 to 30% moves in a day or two post earnings release. If you have a well thought out methodology to exploit such opportunities, you should be cleaning up in this market. In fact if you are not making money in last one month you should seriously have a relook at your methodology. 

Stocks with high volume breakout yesterday:
APWR
BBEP
BJS
CAEI
CERS
COH
CSKI
DDRX
ELX
FAS
FEED
FNET
FRZ
FTY
GMXR
IAT
KIRK
MAN
MLNX
PKG
QLGC
RFL
ROG
TCK
THC
USG
WU

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

How the FEED trade worked today

So how did the FEED trade workout today. This was a stock on watch for possible entry today and the entry was at 3.69 and we exited part of the position at approximately 15% profit and let rest of it run.

The entry was triggered at 9.40
Trade Alert (4/21/2009 9:40:00 AM EST)
        

going long

 feed

3.69

.50% risk

stop=2.98

50% of the position was exited at the price of 4.22 for 14.36% profit.

FEED 50% closed for approx 15% profit (4/21/2009 2:41:00 PM EST)
        

 4.22

This was a second trade on FEED post earnings. In the first trade we made 29% profit by holding it overnight. 

This market has offered so many such explosive trades. Today the market rebounded from yesterday's selloff and there were several 10% plus high volume moves on stocks. This is as of now one of the best trading market we have seen in last one year. Stocks are making 15 to 20% moves in a day or two. The party might end any day , but till then this is swing traders market. 


FEED stock to watch

Lot of buying on this name post earnings breakout.Can posibly head to 5.

Broad based weakness

COP was amongst the stock showing up on end of day short screen. It was broad based selling and financials dominated the action to downside. The 25% plus rally that started from 10th March is now under pressure.

ACOR
ADP
ARE
AUXL
BAX
BCR
BMY
BOH
BP
CAI
CLF
COP
CRL
CRR
CSL
EIX
ENB
ENDP
ENI
EP
EWBC
FE
FNB
FRO
FSYS
GDP
GMXR
GSK
HRB
INTU
KSU
LEN
MCK
NFJ
ORB
OSG
PEP
PFE
PHG
PNFP
PVA
PXP
R
ROP
RSG
SAI
SGR
SQNM
STJ
STO
STZ
SUN
SUSQ
SVR
SVU
TEG
TRP
TTEK
VIV
VRX
XTO

Monday, April 20, 2009

AMGN breakingdown

AMGN has not participated in the overall market  rally  for last 4 to 6 weeks. Such laggard stocks might be first to start their move down if the market goes in to correction mode. As of now there are around 247 such laggard stocks. Many of them barely holding on to their lows and might offer potential short opportunities. 

CYOU a recent IPO

a recent Chinese IPO spin off. Looks like having nice pullback before a possible  explosive move higher. 

RGR breaks out on high volume

This was a stock I highlighted couple of days ago as a stock having a orderly pullback after a explosive move post last earnings. Yesterday it had a nice breakout. If you had bought the pullback , you would be sitting on 15% profit as of end of Friday trading session.

In this market as of now there are so many such 15 to 20% moves happening in 1 or 2 days. Methods like Episodic Pivots, IBD100/200 and Double Trouble and Modified Double Trouble are designed to catch such explosive moves once Market Monitor confirms a market direction. 16Th March is when we had confirmation signal on Market Monitor and since then we have had over 40 explosive profitable trades, trades where stock has made 70% to 15% move in matter of 5-6 days. .
Here is how we handled RGR at Members Site:
Trade Alert (4/15/2009 9:42:00 AM EST)
        

 RGR

11.15

1% risk

Pullback buy. 

stop=10.70


Friday, April 17, 2009

Explosive moves by dozen


Trade Alert (4/17/2009 9:43:00 AM EST)
        

 CBS

1/2%

5.84


0 Comments.. 
Posted by: easyguru
Trade Alert (4/17/2009 9:41:00 AM EST)
        

 DRYs

6.19

1%

A trade alert on them went out early morning and by end of day both were up 15% or so. The % in the alert refers to % risk on trade. There are many explosive moves happening currently and if you catch the move early enough, you can make a very good profit. Out at Members Site we had very good day. Some  of the best trades were CBS, DRYS, RGR, CSKI, and PRGN. . CSKI, RGR, PRGN, PSUN, DGIT, MGM, TTC were other trades for the day. Ever since the Market Monitor signaled a trend change on 16th March, there have been number of explosive moves and it has been one of the best periods for trading the methods like Episodic Pivots, Double Trouble, Modified Double Trouble and IBD100/200.

Beaten down stocks are leaders in S&P

If you look at top stocks in S&P currently by 6 month relative strength, the beaten down stocks dominate. Ford Motors leads the list.

Top ten stocks by relative strength in S&P are:
  1. F
  2. ETFC
  3. AN
  4. XL
  5. WFMI
  6. DHI
  7. FCX
  8. JWN
  9. DRI
  10. MU

Thursday, April 16, 2009

FRPT explosive move continues



Last week I highlighted FRPT, Force Protection Inc as a stock starting a explosive move. News of new orders started off this explosive move on 2nd April and in just a week it is up 40% plus. This market has seen some very good explosive moves since 10 th March.

See my earlier post on this name:



CSKI:Earning Breakout

CSKI announced earnings last night and up 26% on the news. This is a thinly traded stock, but these China stocks can make explosive moves on good news. 

AMR: Earnings Breakout

AMR beats street expectations and rallies 18%. The earnings season continues to bring out new winners and losers. 

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Some big movers


International Papers is up big on analyst upgrade. 
ACH
AMR
BCS
BZH
CAL
CBL
CUZ
DDR
DHI
DPTR
DSCO
GET
HCSG
HGSI
IP
JBLU
KBH
LCC
LEN
MAS
MDC
MHK
MTH
OC
OEH
PBY
PRXI
PZG
SLG
SNV
SOLR
SPF
SPG
SSD
TIN
UAUA
Airlines and  homebuilders dominate the action so far. 

PZG Paramount Gold Mining


The junior miner is on move. But not seen much activity so far in big gold stocks. As I said today morning watch gold stocks for possible explosive moves. 

RGR the gun maker


This stock broke out on earnings around 6 and went on to double in last earnings season. Now is having a good pullback.


New sectors are emerging

  • The market was due for some sort of correction after a 5 week rally. So this was not a surprise. 
  • The Chinese speculative stocks were making big moves and such moves tend to happen before corrections or at top.  
  • Earnings season is on and we will still get 10 to 20 big moves on individual stocks post earnings. 
  • Not all sectors will correct at same time and so one will have to watch for new sector leadership. The shipping stocks were breaking out today. EGLE and DRYS look good in that sector. Hospital stocks were breaking out. Some medical stocks were breaking out. Some oil and gas stocks were attracting buy interest. 
  • The gold stocks look like , they will start rallying from here. The sector is still in top 3 sectors (by IBD sector ranking) and most of the stocks in that sector look like having orderly pullback. ABX, NEM, GG, AEM,  AUY,  and AU amongst large gold stocks look ready to ho higher to me. Some of the silver stocks also look like ready to rally. 

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Cognitive dissonance has lead some to miss big moves

The biggest problem to watch for as a speculator  is what psychologist call Cognitive Dissonance. Cognitive Dissonance is a phenomenon in which an individual or a group of individual with an established opinion refuse to accept another point of view, in spite of new irrefutable evidence suggesting quiet another conclusion.

The stronger their original opinion, the more resistant they are to changing it and tend to persist in creating new argument in favor of their original views.

 

So many were convinced that the banks are headed to toilet that when some of the banks started rallying many could not simple bring themselves to believe it can rally. The banking analyst were out in force  dismissing the move. Why because the market action did not agree with their strongly held belief. Since then banks have rallied 40 to 50%. 

Cognitive dissonance is a theory of human motivation that asserts that it is psychologically uncomfortable to hold contradictory cognitions. The theory is that dissonance, being unpleasant, motivates a person to change his cognition, attitude, or behavior. This theory was first explored in detail by social psychologist Leon Festinger, who described it this way:

Dissonance and consonance are relations among cognitions that is, among opinions, beliefs, knowledge of the environment, and knowledge of one's own actions and feelings. Two opinions, or beliefs, or items of knowledge are dissonant with each other if they do not fit together; that is, if they are inconsistent, or if, considering only the particular two items, one does not follow from the other (Festinger 1956: 25).

He argued that there are three ways to deal with cognitive dissonance. He did not consider these mutually exclusive.

  1. One may try to change one or more of the beliefs, opinions, or behaviors involved in the dissonance;

  2. One may try to acquire new information or beliefs that will increase the existing consonance and thus cause the total dissonance to be reduced; or,

  3. One may try to forget or reduce the importance of those cognitions that are in a dissonant relationship (Festinger 1956: 25-26).



Monday, April 13, 2009

JRJC another China stock making big move today

China related stocks are making big moves today. This one is another one making big move. 

Chinese stocks can make explosive moves





FEED had earnings on 16th March 2009. It made a first explosive move post that earnings. Now it is breaking out again. This is a low priced stock. But generally the Chinese stocks have propensity to make explosive moves on earnings or news. APWR is another example of it. It had earnings news yesterday.
Other stocks making big volume moves as of now are:
TTWO
CAEI
FIRE
ISTA
BAC
RFL
SIGA
WMZ
APWR

FRPT starts a explosive move



News which can impact earnings can also lead to explosive moves. In case of Force Protection Inc. (FRPT), there has been recent news of big orders and that has lead to this stock breaking out on huge volume 6 days ago (that is when we entered it). It had further news of new orders and that lead to more upside on Thursday. Such Episodic Pivots can precipitate big rallies.

The dictionary defines "episode" as significant incident: an event that is a part of but distinct from a greater whole and that often has specific significance.



Episodic Pivots are significant events in the life of a stock. These are incidents where new information becomes available to market participants and as a result there is re evaluation of current trend or price level. Such new information can launch a rally lasting months or years or reverse a pre existing rally. If you look at stocks which have made big moves over their life time you would see a series of episodes triggered those big moves.
How does the market react to new information or "surprise". If market was perfectly efficient once a new information likely to effect stock price is released the stock price should immediately trade to the new level and there should be no way to profit from such surprises. However in real life markets are inefficient.
Market participants have many biases and as a result they tend to overreact or underact to new information. People learn slowly. There are not enough quick learners to eliminate mispricing in markets. Investors overreact to negative news and as a result you will find a huge gap down or down move on negative news. Investors become overly optimistic about recent winners and overly pessimistic about recent losers.
Under such circumstances if you have a "surprise" on a stock on which investors are overly pessimistic then such information produces a big jump in price creating a Episodic Pivots.
As investors are skeptical about such information they under react to such new information. Analyst are slower to factor in that new information in their targets. As investors learn and slowly digest this new information, it results in price momentum as price keeps drifting higher or lower to reflect the new information.
So a ideal bullish EP is a situation where investors are overly pessimistic about a stock or have low expectations and then a new information is released to change that hypothesis.
In light of new information such stocks are mis-priced and so a EP results in momentum. Such momentum lasts till next information release cycle. In EP strategy we are primarily interested in a new information that has potential to move a stock 50% plus in a quarter or so.
A strategy based on trading such Episodic Pivots can be very profitable.

WFC earnings lead to sector rally



The earnings news from Wachovia was a surprise for the market and it resulted in all bank related stocks going up. The correct way to play this was FAS. 
So out at Members Site at 8.23 AM a trade alert on FAS was sent out. 
Trade Alert
     

 FAS

7

 

Posted by: easyguru, on 4/9/2009 8:23 AM, in category "Blog" 

The FAS went on to make 24% plus move post that. We also captured a 10% move in another bank based on WFC earnings. When looking at earnings looking at related stocks and getting in to them can be sometime better strategy. WFC itself did not move much from open to close but there were opportunities in other stocks in the sector.

During the earnings season there are several opportunities like this. Earnings surprise,  earnings acceleration, and future earnings guidance can precipitate big and explosive moves in stocks. Such moves are not necessarily just one day moves, they can last for months.  


Related Posts
How To Trade Earnings
How to trade earnings Part2
How to trade earnings Part3
Earnings and Bulkowski
Improving odds in earnings breakout
Earnings Season- Time to be very careful...
Earnings and Dan Zanger
Earning Surprise System for $1495
Trading Earnings Breakouts
Earnings Acceleration- Long Term Impact
Trading Earnings Breakout -Part1
Trading Earnings Breakouts -Part2
Trading Earnings Breakouts -Part3

Thursday, April 09, 2009

Earnings season is season of opportunity



Earnings can produce such big explosive moves. Earnings surprise, earnings acceleration and earnings on small caps can produce such big moves. Out at the Members Only site we got in to two of them right at the beginning of the move yesterday capturing bulk of the move. 

Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Top stocks by average BOP for a month


One of the indicator available in Telechart is called BOP or balance Of Power. It is a Worden proprietary indicator which shows green, yellow and red colors on graph. The green color (when BOP>30) is supposed to be heavy accumulation by institution. Red color (when BOP<-30) is said to be systematic distribution. 
These are top 5% stocks after sorting by average BOP for last 25 days

AA,Alcoa Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ALC,Assisted Living Concepts Inc. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ALV,Autoliv Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMB,Amb Property Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ARST,Arc Sight` Inc. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AXC,Advanced Tech Acquisition Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AXYS,Axsys Technologies (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BANR,Banner Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BCS,Barclays Plc Adr (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BEAT,Cardionet Inc. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BNE,Bowne & Co Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CADX,Cadence Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CRA,Celera Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EHTH,Ehealth Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HELE,Helen Of Troy Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HGG,HHGregg Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HTV,Hearst-Argyle Tv Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IMGN,Immunogen Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IRE,The Governor and Company of the Bank of Ireland (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
JOE,Saint Joe Company (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
KIRK,Kirkland's Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LFT,Longtop Financial Technologies (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LHCG,LHC Group (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MNRO,Monro Muffler Brake Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NAK,Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NU,Northeast Utilities (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
OMGI,Orion Marine Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ORLY,O'reilly Automotive Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
OSIP,Osi Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PLT,Plantronics Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SKIL,Skillsoft Plc Adr (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SUMT,Sumtotal Systems Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SWHC,Smith & Wesson Hldg Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TNDM,Neutral Tandem (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TNF,Tailwind Financial Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TYC,Tyco International Ltd New (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)

Bottom Sector

MG135,Gold
MG341,Food-Major Diversified
MG348,Beverages-Wineries & Distill
MG350,-Tobacco-
MG351,Cigarettes
MG426,Closed-End Fund-Debt
MG516,Biotechnology
MG528,Medical Practitionersi
MG529,Specialized Health Services
MG757,Drugs Wholesale
MG769,Research Services

Top Sectors

MG133,Aluminum
MG333,Recreational Vehicles
MG431,Life Insurance
MG629,Textile Manufacturing
MG633,Lumber / Wood Production
MG712,Resorts & Casinos
MG716,Sporting Activities
MG742,Toy & Hobby Stores
MG743,Jewelry Stores
MG752,Building Materials Wholesale
MG836,Printed Circuit Boards

Monday, April 06, 2009

90 plus BOP stocks

One of the indicator available in Telechart is called BOP or balance Of Power. It is a Worden proprietary indicator which shows green, yellow and red colors on graph. The green color (when BOP>30) is supposed to be heavy accumulation by institution. Red color (when BOP<-30) is said to be systematic distribution. 

You can look at BOP on different time frames like daily or average BOP for 10 or 30 days. 
Following Stocks have BOP above 90 on daily time frame


AA,Alcoa Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
AEP,American Electric Power (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ALC,Assisted Living Concepts Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ALV,Autoliv Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
AMB,Amb Property Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ANV,Allied Nevada Gold Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
APAC,Apac Customer Services (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ASH,Ashland Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BCS,Barclays Plc Adr (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BPW,BPW Acqusition Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CADX,Cadence Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CENX,Century Aluminum Company (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CFK,Ce Franklin Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CKSW,Clicksoftware Technlgies (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CNL,Cleco Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CTRP,Ctrip.com International (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CWCO,Consolidtd Water Co Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CZZ,Cosan Limited Class A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DNDN,Dendreon Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DNR,Denbury Resources Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ETQ,Corriente Resources Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FCS,Fairchild Semiconductor (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FIG,Fortress Investment Group Llc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FITB,Fifth Third Bancorp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HGG,HHGregg Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HOTT,Hot Topic Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
IRE,The Governor and Company of the Bank of Ireland  (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
JJC,iPath Dow Jones-AIG Copper Total Return Sub-IndexSM ETN (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
JJG,iPath Dow Jones-AIG Grains Total Return Sub-IndexSM ETN (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KIM,Kimco Realty Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KIRK,Kirkland's Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LFT,Longtop Financial Technologies (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LVS,Las Vegas Sands (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MGM,MGM MIRAGE Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MNRO,Monro Muffler Brake Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MV,Metavante Technologies Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NCS,Nci Building Systems Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NU,Northeast Utilities (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ORLY,O'reilly Automotive Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
STP,Suntech Power Holdings Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TNDM,Neutral Tandem (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
VIT,Vanceinfo Technologies` Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
YGE,Yingli Green Energy Hlds Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ZZ,Sealy Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart

Related Post

Sunday, April 05, 2009

Charles Kirkpatrick Scan Buy Candidates

Sometime back I wrote about Charles Kirkpatrick new book and the method detailed in it to pick stocks based on relative strength and relative valuation.
Currently 9 stocks meet the buy criteria described in his book:


BBY,Best Buy Co Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CBRL,Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
EAT,Brinker International (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ES, EnergySolutions` Inc.  (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HGG,HHGregg Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LORL,Loral Space & Communications Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PHH,Phh Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SSI,Stage Stores Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
WFMI,Whole Foods Market Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart

 

  • If you would like to learn about a method which beats S&P by over 7.7 times over last 25 years, then this book is for you.
"Over the past 25 years, Charles D. Kirkpatrick's exclusive stock-picking technique has outperformed the S&P 500's performance by a whopping 7.7 times. That's right: If you'd invested $10,000 in the S&P 500, you'd have $130,000 now...but if you'd followed Kirkpatrick's published picks, you'd have $1,000,000! If that's not amazing enough, Kirkpatrick's system is remarkably easy to use.In this book, he teaches you all you need to put it to work in your portfolio! Kirkpatrick reveals why an active strategy based on relative stock rankings is the surest route to profit, and how just a few pieces of publicly available information enable you to create rankings that virtually guarantee exceptional performance."
  • This book by Charles Kirkpatrick was published in September 2008. Charles Kirkpatrick has been studying relative strength for more than 25 years. In this new book he synthesises his many years of research to come up with a very simple relative strength and value based approach to investing. The method he proposes is very simple method which involves weekly data. It at best involves a few hours of work on weekend and is easily replicable. It is a complete turnkey approach detailing what stocks to buy, why, when, how much, where to put stops and when to exit.
Related Post

Stocks down 10 points plus

Two stocks during this bullish period have had 10 point plus down move. One of them AVAV was favorite pick of many  just a few months ago.

Down 10 points plus in a month
AVAV,Aerovironment Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CMTL,Comtech Telecommun Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)

Stocks up 10 points plus

The market has been having a good rally for last 20 days. Many stocks have made big moves in last 2 to 3 weeks. Following stocks are up 10 points or more in last 20 days. Some of them will  offer good pullback opportunities. 
AAPL,Apple Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ABV,Ambev - Companhia de Bebidas das Americas ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ACL,Alcon Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ADS,Alliance Data (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AEM,Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AGN,Allergan Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ALGT,Allegiant Travel Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMAG,Amag Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMG,Affiliated Managers Grp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AMZN,Amazon.Com Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
APA,Apache Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
APD,Air Products & Chemicals (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
APOL,Apollo Group Inc Cl A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AU,Anglogold Ashanti Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
AZO,Autozone Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BAP,Credicorp Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BBL,BHP Billiton Plc Ads (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BBY,Best Buy Co Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BDK,Black & Decker Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BEN,Franklin Resources Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BG,Bunge Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BHP,BHP Billiton Limited ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BIDU,Baidu` Incorporated (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BKE,Buckle Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BLK,Blackrock Incorporated (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
BOKF,Bok Financial Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CEO, CNOOC ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CF,CF Industries Holdings Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CHA,China Telecom Corporation Limited ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CME,Cme Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CMG,Chipotle Mexican Grill (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CNQ,Canadian Natural Res Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CS,Credit Suisse Group (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CTRN,Citi Trends Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CVX,Chevron Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
CYN,City National Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DB,Deutsche Bank AG (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DE,Deere & Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DECK,Deckers Outdoor Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DLR,Digital Realty Trust Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DNA,Genentech Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DO,Diamond Offshre Drilling (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DRI,Darden Restaurants (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
DRQ,Dril-Quip Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ELS,Equity Lifestyle Properties (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EMN,Eastman Chemical Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ENR,Energizer Holdings (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EOG,Eog Resources Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
EQIX,Equinix Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ESI,Itt Educational Services (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ESS,Essex Property Trust Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FCX,Freeport Mcmoran C&G B (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FDS,Factset Research Systems (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FLS,Flowserve Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FRT,Federal Realty Investmnt (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
FSLR,First Solar Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GHL,Greenhill & Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GLF,Gulfmark Offshore Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GMCR,Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GOLD,Randgold Resources Ltd Ads 1:2 (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GOOG,Google (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GS,Goldman Sachs Group Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
GWW,W.W. Grainger Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
HDB,HDFC Bank Limited ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
IBM,International Business Machines Corporation (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ICE,Intercontinental Exchange Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
KB,Kb Financial Group (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LEAP,Leap Wireless International Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LFC,China Life Insurance Company Limited ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LMT,Lockheed Martin Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
LZ,Lubrizol Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MA,MasterCard Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MET,Metlife Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MHK,Mohawk Industries Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MLM,Martin Marietta Material (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MON,Monsanto Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
MTB,M&T Bank Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
NBL,Noble Energy Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PCP,Precision Castparts Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PENN,Penn National Gaming Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PKX,POSCO ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PNC,Pnc Financial Svcs Grp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PNRA,Panera Bread Co Cl A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
POT,Potash Cp Saskatchewan (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PPG,Ppg Industries Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PRU,Prudential Financial Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PSA,Public Storage (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PTR,PetroChina Company Ltd. ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
PX,Praxair Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
QSII,Quality Systems Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RE,Everest Re Group Ltd. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RIMM,Research In Motion Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RL,Polo Ralph Lauren Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
ROH,Rohm & Haas Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
RTP,Rio Tinto Plc Adr (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SF,Stifel Financial Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SHLD,Sears Holding Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SI,Siemens Aktien (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SMG,Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SNDA,Shanda Interactive Ent Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SNP,China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
SPG,Simon Property Group (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
STRA,Strayer Education Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
STT,State Street Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TM,Toyota Motor Corporation ADS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
TXI,Texas Industries Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
UBB,Unibanco Uniao De Bancos (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
UPS,United Parcel Service B (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VFC,Vf Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
VMI,Valmont Industries Inc (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WABC,Westamerica Bancorp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WHR,Whirlpool Corp (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WY,Weyerhaeuser Co (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)
WYNN,Wynn Resorts Ltd (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart)

Friday, April 03, 2009

316 stocks up 50% plus in a month

Such high readings are usually followed by corrections....  

AA AAWW AB ADC ADY AEIS AF AFL AIN ALB ALV AMAG AMB AMP AN ANAT AP APAGF ASH ASIA AXA AZ AZZ B BBOX BBV BBY BDC BDK BELFB BEN BEZ BGC BGG BID BIP BOKF BOOM BRY BSRR 

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BTH BWA BWY CAC CADX CAKE CAS CASY CATY CE CEDC CHIC CKP CKR CLF CLR CMA CNA CNH CNK COBH CRRC CS CSS CTO CTRN CTV CVG CVH CWCO CWEI CYN DB DFG DHI DIN DIOD DK DKT DLLR 
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DLX DM DORM DOW DRQ DUA DW DWSN DXB EAT EEFT ELON EMN ENOC ENS ERJ ES ETH EV EVR EXLS EXP EXPE FBNC FCBC FCNCA FFBC FFCH FIC FMBI FMER FRME FTEK FUL FUN FWF FWLT GCO GE GES 
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GET GFA GIL GLF GLW GMT GNTX GPI GRNB GTLS GWF HAR HAYN HBI HELE HOFT HOG HOT HRLY HS HTLF HUGH HWCC HXM IGK IPHS ITG IVZ IX JAS JCI JCP JEF JLL JPM JWN KAI KALU KB KBH 
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KBW KCLI KELYA KEY KNOT KOP KWR LAMR LL LORL LTD LTM LTRE LVB LXU M MDCI MDP MET MFC MFW MHK MHO MIDD MNTA MTB MTRX MW MWV MXWL NC NEU NILE NPBC NUAN NWLI NX OC OI OLN 
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OMG OPY ORI OSK OYOG PACW PAG PANL PEBO PENN PHH PHIIK PICO PII PLFE PLT PNC PNFP PRU PUK PVH PVTB R RATE RCL RJF RNST ROC RPM RRGB RSC RTP RUSHA RVBD SAIA SASR SCHL SCOR SCVL SDXC 
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SFD SFG SHBI SHG SIG SIVB SKYW SLF SLXP SNDK SNHY SNP SONC SSI STC STEC STEL STP STT STU SUI SUR TBI TBL TCBI TCBK TEL THO TLEO TMK TNS TOWN TPL TRAK TRLG TRN TSL TUP TXI TYH 
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UAM UBSH UFCS UHAL UNF UNM USB USTR UTR VCLK VLCM WASH WBC WCG WDR WFC WFMI WG WHI WHR WL WLK WLL WMS WRLD WSBC WY WYNN YZC ZEP ZEUS ZION ZNH ZOLT ZRAN ZUMZ  

Thursday, April 02, 2009

The official communique issued at the close of the G20 London Summit

Looks like they covered pretty much everything......

 

1. We, the Leaders of the Group of Twenty, met in London on 2 April 2009. 

2. We face the greatest challenge to the world economy in modern times; a crisis  which has deepened since we last met, which affects the lives of women, men, and children in every country, and which all countries must join together to resolve. A global crisis requires a global solution. 

3. We start from the belief that prosperity is indivisible; that growth, to be sustained, has to be shared; and that our global plan for recovery must have at its heart the needs and jobs of hard-working families, not just in developed countries but in emerging markets and the poorest countries of the world too; and must reflect the interests, not just of today’s population, but of future generations too. We believe that the only sure foundation for sustainable globalisation and rising prosperity for all is an open world economy based on market principles, effective regulation, and strong global institutions.

4. We have today therefore pledged to do whatever is necessary to:

  • restore confidence, growth, and jobs;
  • repair the financial system to restore lending;
  • strengthen financial regulation to rebuild trust;
  • fund and reform our international financial institutions to overcome this crisis and prevent future ones;
  • promote global trade and investment and reject protectionism, to underpin prosperity; and
  • build an inclusive, green, and sustainable recovery.

By acting together to fulfil these pledges we will bring the world economy out of recession and prevent a crisis like this from recurring in the future.

5. The agreements we have reached today, to treble resources available to the IMF to $750 billion, to support a new SDR allocation of $250 billion, to support at least $100 billion of additional lending by the MDBs, to ensure $250 billion of support for trade finance, and to use the additional resources from agreed IMF gold sales for concessional finance for the poorest countries, constitute an additional $1.1 trillion programme of support to restore credit, growth and jobs in the world economy.  Together with the measures we have each taken nationally, this constitutes a global plan for recovery on an unprecedented scale.


Restoring growth and jobs

 

6. We are undertaking an unprecedented and concerted fiscal expansion, which will save or create millions of jobs which would otherwise have been destroyed, and that will, by the end of next year, amount to $5 trillion, raise output by 4 per cent, and accelerate the transition to a green economy.  We are committed to deliver the scale of sustained fiscal effort necessary to restore growth.

7. Our central banks have also taken exceptional action. Interest rates have been cut aggressively in most countries, and our central banks have pledged to maintain expansionary policies for as long as needed and to use the full range of monetary policy instruments, including unconventional instruments, consistent with price stability.

8. Our actions to restore growth cannot be effective until we restore domestic lending and international capital flows. We have provided significant and comprehensive support to our banking systems to provide liquidity, recapitalise financial institutions, and address decisively the problem of impaired assets.  We are committed to take all necessary actions to restore the normal flow of credit through the financial system and ensure the soundness of systemically important institutions, implementing our policies in line with the agreed G20 framework for restoring lending and repairing the financial sector.

9. Taken together, these actions will constitute the largest fiscal and monetary stimulus and the most comprehensive support programme for the financial sector in modern times. Acting together strengthens the impact and the exceptional policy actions announced so far must be implemented without delay. Today, we have further agreed over $1 trillion of additional resources for the world economy through our international financial institutions and trade finance. 

10. Last month the IMF estimated that world growth in real terms would resume and rise to over 2 percent by the end of 2010. We are confident that the actions we have agreed today, and our unshakeable commitment to work together to restore growth and jobs, while preserving long-term fiscal sustainability, will accelerate the return to trend growth. We commit today to taking whatever action is necessary to secure that outcome, and we call on the IMF to assess regularly the actions taken and the global actions required.

11.  We are resolved to ensure long-term fiscal sustainability and price stability and will put in place credible exit strategies from the measures that need to be taken now to support the financial sector and restore global demand. We are convinced that by implementing our agreed policies we will limit the longer-term costs to our economies, thereby reducing the scale of the fiscal consolidation necessary over the longer term.

12. We will conduct all our economic policies cooperatively and responsibly with regard to the impact on other countries and will refrain from competitive devaluation of our currencies and promote a stable and well-functioning international monetary system.  We will support, now and in the future, to candid, even-handed, and independent IMF surveillance of our economies and financial sectors, of the impact of our policies on others, and of risks facing the global economy.

Strengthening financial supervision and regulation

13. Major failures in the financial sector and in financial regulation and supervision were fundamental causes of the crisis.  Confidence will not be restored until we rebuild trust in our financial system.  We will take action to build a stronger, more globally consistent, supervisory and regulatory framework for the future financial sector, which will support sustainable global growth and serve the needs of business and citizens.

14. We each agree to ensure our domestic regulatory systems are strong. But we also agree to establish the much greater consistency and systematic cooperation between countries, and the framework of internationally agreed high standards, that a global financial system requires.  Strengthened regulation and supervision must promote propriety, integrity and transparency; guard against risk across the financial system; dampen rather than amplify the financial and economic cycle; reduce reliance on inappropriately risky sources of financing; and discourage excessive risk-taking.  Regulators and supervisors must protect consumers and investors, support market discipline, avoid adverse impacts on other countries, reduce the scope for regulatory arbitrage, support competition and dynamism, and keep pace with innovation in the marketplace.

15. To this end we are implementing the Action Plan agreed at our last meeting, as set out in the attached progress report. We have today also issued a Declaration, Strengthening the Financial System.  In particular we agree:

  • to establish a new Financial Stability Board (FSB) with a strengthened mandate, as a successor to the Financial Stability Forum (FSF), including all G20 countries, FSF members, Spain, and the European Commission; 
  • that the FSB should collaborate with the IMF to provide early warning of macroeconomic and financial risks and the actions needed to address them;
  • to reshape our regulatory systems so that our authorities are able to identify and take account of macro-prudential risks;
  • to extend regulation and oversight to all systemically important financial institutions, instruments and markets.  This will include, for the first time, systemically important hedge funds;
  • to endorse and implement the FSF’s tough new principles on pay and compensation and to support sustainable compensation schemes and the corporate social responsibility of all firms;
  • to take action, once recovery is assured, to improve the quality, quantity, and international consistency of capital in the banking system.  In future, regulation must prevent excessive leverage and require buffers of resources to be built up in good times;
  • to take action against  non-cooperative jurisdictions, including tax havens.  We  stand ready to deploy sanctions to protect our public finances and financial systems. The era of banking secrecy is over. We note that the OECD has today published a list of countries assessed by the Global Forum against the international standard for exchange of tax information;
  • to call on the accounting standard setters to work urgently with supervisors and regulators to improve standards on valuation and provisioning and achieve a single set of high-quality global accounting standards; and
  • to extend regulatory oversight and registration to Credit Rating Agencies to ensure they meet the international code of good practice, particularly to prevent unacceptable conflicts of interest.

16. We instruct our Finance Ministers to complete the implementation of these decisions in line with the timetable set out in the Action Plan.  We have asked the FSB and the IMF to monitor progress, working with the Financial Action Taskforce and other relevant bodies, and to provide a report to the next meeting of our Finance Ministers in Scotland in November.

Strengthening our global financial institutions

17. Emerging markets and developing countries, which have been the engine of recent world growth, are also now facing challenges which are adding to the current downturn in the global economy.  It is imperative for global confidence and economic recovery that capital continues to flow to them.  This will require a substantial strengthening of the international financial institutions, particularly the IMF. We have therefore agreed today to make available an additional $850 billion of resources through the global financial institutions to support growth in emerging market and developing countries by helping to finance counter-cyclical spending, bank recapitalisation, infrastructure, trade finance, balance of payments support, debt rollover, and social support.  To this end:

  • we have agreed to increase the resources available to the IMF through immediate financing from members of $250 billion, subsequently incorporated into an expanded and more flexible New Arrangements to Borrow, increased by up to $500 billion, and to consider market borrowing if necessary; and
  • we support a substantial increase in lending of at least $100 billion by the Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs), including to low income countries, and ensure that all MDBs, including have the appropriate capital.

18. It is essential that these resources can be used effectively and flexibly to support growth.  We welcome in this respect the progress made by the IMF with its new Flexible Credit Line (FCL) and its reformed lending and conditionality framework which will enable the IMF to ensure that its facilities address effectively the underlying causes of countries’ balance of payments financing needs, particularly the withdrawal of external capital flows to the banking and corporate sectors.  We support Mexico’s decision to seek an FCL arrangement. 

19. We have agreed to support a general SDR allocation which will inject $250 billion into the world economy and increase global liquidity, and urgent ratification of the Fourth Amendment.

20. In order for our financial institutions to help manage the crisis and prevent future crises we must strengthen their longer term relevance, effectiveness and legitimacy. So alongside the significant increase in resources agreed today we are determined to reform and modernise the international financial institutions to ensure they can assist members and shareholders effectively in the new challenges they face.  We will reform their mandates, scope and governance to reflect changes in the world economy and the new challenges of globalisation, and that emerging and developing economies, including the poorest, must have greater voice and representation. This must be accompanied by action to increase the credibility and accountability of the institutions through better strategic oversight and decision making.  To this end: 

  • we commit to implementing the package of IMF quota and voice reforms agreed in April 2008 and call on the IMF to complete the next review of quotas by January 2011;
  • we agree that, alongside this, consideration should be given to greater involvement of the Fund’s Governors in providing strategic direction to the IMF and increasing its accountability;
  • we commit to implementing the World Bank reforms agreed in October 2008.  We look forward to further recommendations, at the next meetings, on voice and representation reforms on an accelerated timescale, to be agreed by the 2010 Spring Meetings;
  • we agree that the heads and senior leadership of the international financial institutions should be appointed through an open, transparent, and merit-based selection process; and
  • building on the current reviews of the IMF and World Bank we asked the Chairman, working with the G20 Finance Ministers, to consult widely in an inclusive process and report back to the next meeting with proposals for further reforms to improve the responsiveness and adaptability of the IFIs.

21. In addition to reforming our international financial institutions for the new challenges of globalisation we agreed on the desirability of a new global consensus on the key values and principles that will promote sustainable economic activity.  We support discussion on such a charter for sustainable economic activity with a view to further discussion at our next meeting.  We take note of the work started in other fora in this regard and look forward to further discussion of this charter for sustainable economic activity.

Resisting protectionism and promoting global trade and investment

22. World trade growth has underpinned rising prosperity for half a century.  But it is now falling for the first time in 25 years.  Falling demand is exacerbated by growing protectionist pressures and a withdrawal of trade credit.  Reinvigorating world trade and investment is essential for restoring global growth. We will not repeat the historic mistakes of protectionism of previous eras.  To this end: 

  • we reaffirm the commitment made in Washington: to refrain from raising new barriers to investment or to trade in goods and services, imposing new export restrictions, or implementing World Trade Organisation (WTO) inconsistent measures to stimulate exports.  In addition we will rectify promptly any such measures.  We extend this pledge to the end of 2010;
  • we will minimise any negative impact on trade and investment of our domestic policy actions including fiscal policy and action in support of the financial sector.  We will not retreat into financial protectionism, particularly measures that constrain worldwide capital flows, especially to developing countries;
  • we will notify promptly the WTO of any such measures and we call on the WTO, together with other international bodies, within their respective mandates, to monitor and report publicly on our adherence to these undertakings on a quarterly basis;
  • we will take, at the same time, whatever steps we can to promote and facilitate trade and investment; and
  • we will ensure availability of at least $250 billion over the next two years to support trade finance through our export credit and investment agencies and through the MDBs.  We also ask our regulators to make use of available flexibility in capital requirements for trade finance.

23. We remain committed to reaching an ambitious and balanced conclusion to the Doha Development Round, which is urgently needed.  This could boost the global economy by at least $150 billion per annum.  To achieve this we are committed to building on the progress already made, including with regard to modalities.

24. We will give renewed focus and political attention to this critical issue in the coming period and will use our continuing work and all international meetings that are relevant to drive progress.

Ensuring a fair and sustainable recovery for all

25. We are determined not only to restore growth but to lay the foundation for a fair and sustainable world economy. We recognise that the current crisis has a disproportionate impact on the vulnerable in the poorest countries and recognise our collective responsibility to mitigate the social impact of the crisis to minimise long-lasting damage to global potential.   To this end:

  • we reaffirm our historic commitment to meeting the Millennium Development Goals and to achieving our respective ODA pledges, including commitments on Aid for Trade, debt relief, and the Gleneagles commitments, especially to sub-Saharan Africa;
  • the actions and decisions we have taken today will provide $50 billion to support social protection, boost trade and safeguard development in low income countries, as part of the significant increase in crisis support for these and other developing countries and emerging markets;
  • we are making available resources for social protection for the poorest countries, including through investing in long-term food security and through voluntary bilateral contributions to the World Bank’s Vulnerability Framework, including the Infrastructure Crisis Facility, and the Rapid Social Response Fund;
  • we have committed, consistent with the new income model, that additional resources from agreed sales of IMF gold will be used, together with surplus income, to provide $6 billion additional concessional and flexible finance for the poorest countries over the next 2 to 3 years. We call on the IMF to come forward with concrete proposals at the Spring Meetings; 
  • we have agreed to review the flexibility of the Debt Sustainability Framework and call on the IMF and World Bank to report to the IMFC and Development Committee at the Annual Meetings; and
  • we call on the UN, working with other global institutions, to establish an effective mechanism to monitor the impact of the crisis on the poorest and most vulnerable.

26. We recognise the human dimension to the crisis.  We commit to support those affected by the crisis by creating employment opportunities and through income support measures.   We will build a fair and family-friendly labour market for both women and men.  We therefore welcome the reports of the London Jobs Conference and the Rome Social Summit and the key principles they proposed.  We will support employment by stimulating growth, investing in education and training, and through active labour market policies, focusing on the most vulnerable.  We call upon the ILO, working with other relevant organisations, to assess the actions taken and those required for the future.

27. We agreed to make the best possible use of investment funded by fiscal stimulus programmes towards the goal of building a resilient, sustainable, and green recovery.  We will make the transition towards clean, innovative, resource efficient, low carbon technologies and infrastructure.  We encourage the MDBs to contribute fully to the achievement of this objective.  We will identify and work together on further measures to build sustainable economies.

28. We reaffirm our commitment to address the threat of irreversible climate change, based on the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities, and to reach agreement at the UN Climate Change conference in Copenhagen in December 2009.

Delivering our commitments

29. We have committed ourselves to work together with urgency and determination to translate these words into action. We agreed to meet again before the end of this year to review progress on our commitments.

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

Trend Trading for a Living by Thomas Carr

 Trend Trading for a Living: Learn the Skills and Gain the Confidence to Trade for a Living by Thomas Carr


The title of this book is misleading, this book is not about trend trading. This book is about swing trading. This is a book about specific trading setups for swing trading using technical analysis. It gives you criteria for generating long and short trading ideas using any simple trading software. 
This is a very basic book and goes in to very basic information like how to set up broker account, which broker to look for, what computer you need, what kind of Internet connectivity and so on. The first few chapters take beginner readers through these basic things and basic introduction to chart reading and technical analysis..
The second part of the book deals with determining overall market direction. Thomas Carr describes trend trading as he practices as a way to capture bulk of major moves in a trending stocks. For this one must enter after a new trend has started and exit before the trend ends. The author recommends setting up a watchlist of possible trend trading candidates using three criteria:
  1. Price: between 10 and 100
  2. Average Daily Volume: 500000 plus
  3. Beta: greater than 2
Once you set up a list like that the author suggest using technical analysis to enter or exit. How to play these setups is determined by the trend of overall market. Thomas Carr describes five different kinds of market conditions:
  1. Bullish Strongly trending
  2. Bullish Weakly Trending
  3. Bearish Strongly Trending
  4. Bearish Weakly Trending
  5. Range Bound
He suggests focusing on long plays in first two types of market , short plays in the next two types of market, and a long and short approach in last type of market. He uses 20 and 50 day moving average to determine above 5 kinds of market conditions. 
Part three of the book talks about specific setups. Specific setups are set of conditions a stock must meet to qualify for a bullish or bearish entry. Thomas Carr describes five bullish and five bearish setups. He provides detailed guidelines for scanning for these set ups and narrowing stocks from these scans. He also provides alternative scans for same set ups. 
Five Bullish Setups
  1. The pullback
  2. The coiled spring
  3. The bullish divergence
  4. The blue sky breakout
  5. The bullish base breakout
Five Bearish Setups
  1. The relief rally
  2. The bearish divergence
  3. The gap down
  4. The blue sky breakdown
  5. The rising wedge breakdown
 
 
This section has many good ideas and while the specific setups mentioned in the book may  or may not be profitable, this book will give you lot of ideas to create your own setups.  All these setups can be easily scanned in Telechart. The author discusses various approach to entries and exits post trend identification. Last part of the book deals with options and how to trade the above setups using option. 
 
Overall this is a very simple book on swing trading with some good ideas for trading setups for beginners. One major negative in this book is blatant self promotion by the author of his own prowess and website. It is excessive and irritating. 

Stocks up 50% plus in a month



ADC,Agree Realty Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ADY,American Dairy Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
AP,Ampco-Pittsburgh Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ARST,Arc Sight` Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ASH,Ashland Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ASIA,Asiainfo Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BRY,Berry Petroleum Co Cl A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
BTH,Blyth Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CADX,Cadence Pharmaceuticals Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CAKE,Cheesecake Factory Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CE,Celanese (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CEDC,Central European Dist (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CETV,Central European Media (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CIEN,Ciena Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CNH,Cnh Global Nv (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
COBH,Penn Commerce Bncorp Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
CTRN,Citi Trends Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DB,Deutsche Bank AG (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DIN,Dineequity Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DIOD,Diodes Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DK,Delek US Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DLLR,Dollar Financial (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DRQ,Dril-Quip Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DTSI,DTS Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DUA,Deutche Bank Capital Tr Viii (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
DXB,Deutsche Bank Contingent Capital Trust II (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ELON,Echelon Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
FUN,Cedar Fair (L.P.) (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GCO,Genesco Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GES,Guess? Incorporated (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GET,Gaylord Entertainment Co (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
GPI,Group 1 Automotive Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HAYN,Haynes International Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HBI,Hanesbrand Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HELE,Helen Of Troy Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
HRLY,Herley Industries Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
IGK,Ing Groep N.V. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ISF,Ing Groep Nv (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
IX,Orix Corp Ads (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
JEF,Jefferies Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KBH,Kb Home (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
KCLI,Kansas City Life Insur (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LAMR,Lamar Advertising Co A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LB,La Barge Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LL,Lumber Liquidators` Inc. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LORL,Loral Space & Communications Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LTM,Life Time Fitness (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
LVB,Steinway Musical Instrum (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MET,Metlife Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MHK,Mohawk Industries Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MIDD,Middleby Corporation (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MSFG,Mainsource Fncl Goup Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MW,Men's Wearhouse Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
MWV,Meadwestvaco Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NC,Nacco Industries Inc A (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
NEU,Newmarket Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
OMGI,Orion Marine Group Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PAG,Penske Automotive (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PANL,Universal Display Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PHH,Phh Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
PICO,Pico Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
RJF,Raymond James Financial (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ROC,Rockwood Holdings Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
RSC,Rex Stores Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SCHL,Scholastic Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SCVL,Shoe Carnival Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SDXC,Switch & Data Facilities Company (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SIG,Signet Jewelers Limited (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SNDK,Sandisk Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SSI,Stage Stores Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
STP,Suntech Power Holdings Co Ltd (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
SUI,Sun Communities (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TSL,Trina Solar Ltd. (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
TXI,Texas Industries Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
VCLK,Valueclick Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
WCG,Wellcare Health Plans Inc (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart
ZRAN,Zoran Corp (Google  Yahoo  Earnings  Chart

Bottom Sector

MG328,Office Supplies
MG346,Confectioners
MG348,Beverages-Wineries & Distill
MG426,Closed-End Fund-Debt
MG442,Reit-Office
MG443,Reit-Healthcare Facilities
MG528,Medical Practitionersi
MG529,Specialized Health Services
MG728,Publishing-Periodicals
MG757,Drugs Wholesale
MG771,Major Airlines

Top Sectors

MG132,Copper
MG136,Silver
MG318,Recreational Goods - Other
MG333,Recreational Vehicles
MG629,Textile Manufacturing
MG742,Toy & Hobby Stores
MG743,Jewelry Stores
MG745,Auto Dealerships
MG832,Semiconductor-Memory Chips
MG834,Semiconductor-Integrated Cir
MG836,Printed Circuit Boards

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